(DRAFT) Chemicals Normally Found in Contemporary Breast Milk that is Typical in Developed Countries,

and Autism, Fertility Declines and other Apparent Effects of those Toxins

by Donald P. Meulenberg

Introductory Summary

The greatly increasing numbers of those diagnosed with Autism Spectrum Disorder (ASD, often referred to simply as autism) are well known, as is the fact that this disorder affects more than four times as many males as females.  Related to that, there has been a major decline in fertility levels taking place in most advanced countries, causing serious concern in those countries due to the declines of the younger age groups that are depended on to fund the nations’ social security systems.  Both of these developments appear to be very much related to an identifiable underlying cause, as will be presented in this paper. 

 

The hormone that is produced by the male testicles, testosterone, is known to be critical to development of the infant brain, in addition to its later reproductive-system role.  There are certain neurological toxins that have been high or increasing rapidly in the environment in recent decades that are known to cause testicular atrophy (hence reduction of testosterone) or to otherwise harm mental development:  dioxins, PCBs (which are related to dioxins), DEHP, biphenyl A (BPA), PBDEs, certain pesticides, and diesel emissions. (see Section 1.2)  Apparently those chemicals reach the developing fetus and infant principally as a result of their long-term build-up in the body of the future mother.  In addition to effects on the fetus, the toxins can also affect a postnatal infant at critical stages of neurological development via breast milk in which they are concentrated.  There is ample evidence (and no apparent disagreement) that these chemicals are ingested in many-times greater quantities by breastfed infants than by formula-fed infants or by adults. (Section 1.2.d)  Also, prevalence of breastfeeding, especially extended breastfeeding, has been greatly increasing in recent decades as autism and other male mental impairment have been increasing.  Aside from their importance to neurological development, testosterone levels obviously also have an effect on birth rates, which have been falling sufficiently in high-breastfeeding countries as to cause potentially serious long-term problems in those countries.

 

Organizations and government agencies that promote breastfeeding do so partly on grounds that breastfed children are believed to have fewer of various illnesses than bottle-fed children have.  Two generations ago the case in favor of extended, exclusive breastfeeding was valid.  But the world has changed since then.  This paper will present considerable evidence showing that, in fact, the lifetime physical health effects of extended breastfeeding by most women in developed countries are currently unfavorable.  This is in addition to the apparent effects of breastfeeding in causing harm to mental development and reductions in fertility.  

 

Evidence will be presented in this paper showing the following:

     Very strong correlations between high rates of autism and high rates of breastfeeding in many specific instances:   in various countries, in various U.S. states, among various demographic groups, with various parental characteristics, and with variation in birth order:

    a)  In every advanced country in which breastfeeding is known to be very high, autism has also been found to be very high (if autism data are available for that country) (Section 1.2.s.5); in the European countries with low breastfeeding rates, autism rates are either known to be comparatively low or (where no data are available) there is good reason to believe they are low (Section 1.2.s.4);

 

  b)  the three U.S. states that are highest in autism are also among the highest in breastfeeding rates (Section 1.2.s.7, 1.2.x.1);  of the seven U.S. states that have the lowest rates of breastfeeding, every one of these seven also has an unusually low rate of autism (Section 1.2.x.5); 

    c)  there is a 50% higher rate of breastfeeding among U.S. whites than among blacks, corresponding with a roughly 50% higher rate of autism among whites than among blacks (Section 1.2.s.3);

    d)  higher prevalence of autism is strongly associated with higher parental education levels in countries with only moderate breastfeeding rates, and breastfeeding is nearly twice as prevalent among college graduates or mothers of higher socio-economic status as among less-educated or lower-status mothers in those countries; in the only country with almost universal breastfeeding for which recent detailed autism data are available (Denmark), there is no such parental educational-level difference in autism rates; no education-level difference in breastfeeding apparently = no education-level difference in autism. (Section 1.2.s.1.a)

    e)  older mothers are more likely to breastfeed, and to do so for longer periods; and there is a 20% increase in risk of autism with each 10-year increase in parent’s ages (Section 1.2.s.1.b);

    f)  the Mormon Church is apparently the only major Judeo-Christian church to specifically teach its members that they should breastfeed their infants; in the most in-depth study yet of autism prevalence at various locations in the U.S., the white (almost all-Mormon) children in a group of over 2000 Utah children were found to have an autism rate that is over three times as high as the average white (mostly non-Mormon) groups in the other thirteen locations studied (Section 1.2.s.2);

    The above are only some of many associations that have been found.

 

 

    Proponents of breastfeeding point to the presumed benefit to the infant of the immune cells that are transmitted in breast milk.  This transmission was helpful before modern sanitation came into existence, and still is beneficial where modern sanitation does not yet exist.  But in most parts of developed countries, the benefits are probably only very short term, because those antibodies fend off organisms that would otherwise provide stimulus to the infant’s immune system to properly develop  after birth.  A web page of the U.S. Food and Drug Administration describes favorably the theory that the infant’s immune system needs exposure to germs in order for the system to develop in a way that enables it to launch its own defenses against infectious organisms.

 Of great relevance here is the “hygiene hypothesis” described in a web page of the U.S. Food and Drug Administration, according to which proper infant development depends on “the necessary exposure to germs required to “educate” the immune system so it can learn to launch its defense responses to infectious organisms….   In the period immediately after birth the child’s own immune system must take over and learn how to fend for itself.  The “hygiene hypothesis” is supported by epidemiologic studies….

 

    Average life expectancies in low-breastfeeding countries are longer than in high-breastfeeding countries in four out of five major world regions. (Section 1.2.p.1)  The only region in which higher rates of breastfeeding correlate with higher life expectancy (and then only to a minor extent) is Sub-Saharan Africa;

    Compared with people over age 15 in higher-breastfeeding countries, about 18% fewer over-age-15 residents in low-breastfeeding European countries report a long-standing illness or health problem (Section 1.2.p.2);

    Pertussis (whooping cough) and salmonellosis are diseases that cause many tens of thousands of deaths worldwide annually, principally among children under five years of age; in data reported for the EU, EEA and EFTA, the European countries with the highest rates of breastfeeding had rates of those diseases fifty times as high and over twice as high, respectively, as the countries with the lowest rates of breastfeeding;  type 1 diabetes, another serious, sometimes fatal disease, is twice as high among children in European high-breastfeeding countries as in European low-breastfeeding countries (Section 1.2.p.2);

 

 

      Regarding this map of PCB exposure in the western U.S., bear in mind that dioxins and PCBs (which are two closely-related categories of neuro-developmental toxins) from the environment become concentrated in breast milk. (Section 1.2.d)  For more on the subject shown in this map, and for the complete map, see Section 1.2.x.1.

 

1/800,000th of an ounce:  The amount of a PCB-containing product administered per day to pregnant or lactating female monkeys that was found to cause the offspring to be hyperactive and retarded in learning ability. (Section 1.2.a

600,000 tons:  The amount of PCBs produced in the U.S. between 1930 and 1977, which became part of considerable electrical equipment and appliances that are still in use (often leaking) and that are heavily present in landfills, from where the toxins can be released to the atmosphere or water supplies. (Section 1.2.a)

30 times higher:  The effective concentration of PCBs taken into infants’ bodies in breast milk, compared with the concentrations that entered the mothers’ bodies, according to one study. (Section 1.2.d)

times higher:  The average PCB levels in children who had been breastfed for at least 6 weeks, compared with those of children who had been formula-fed, at years of age, according to a study in the Netherlands. (Section 1.2.d)

1 among several:  PCBs among other known developmental toxins typically contained in breast milk. (Section 1.2.d)

10 times lower:  The toxicity-equivalent concentrations of dioxins in formula-fed infants at 11 months of age, compared with infants that were breast-fed for six to seven months, according to a German study. (Section 1.2.d)  Note that the first year or so of life includes the “window” during which critical development of the brain takes place, if it will ever take place. (Section 1.2.b.1)

Description: C:\Users\Don\AppData\Local\Microsoft\Windows\Temporary Internet Files\Content.IE5\YZNQUC3E\MC900433160[1].jpg70% decrease in a mother’s body burden of dioxins over a two-year period while she was breastfeeding twins, as found in a U.S. study that praised the beneficial effects of breastfeeding (see Section 1.1.b.6)

 

Description: C:\Users\Don\AppData\Local\Microsoft\Windows\Temporary Internet Files\Content.IE5\4YJ9GOC7\MC900433161[1].jpg?? increase in neuro-developmental dioxins in her infants as a result of the above, during the neurologically most vulnerable periods of their lives, while their brains are rapidly growing.  To get some idea of quantities and toxicity that are relevant here, review some of the numbers shown in bold above, starting with 1/800,000th, and also see below.

 

Half as high:  A fourth child’s risk of autism, as compared with that of a firstborn, on average.  And the odds of being diagnosed with autism continuously decrease from first to later children.  Infants later in birth order are less likely to be breastfed, they are breastfed for shorter periods on average, and the milk they receive has toxin levels that have been substantially reduced as a result of excretion to earlier-born infants during previous breastfeeding. (Section 1.2.s.1.c);

2+ times as high:  The percentage of children diagnosed with ASD who had been exclusively breastfed for at least four weeks, as compared with the percentage of children in the general population who received that much breastfeeding, using data from what is apparently the only published study that includes this kind of information. (Section 1.1.b).

 

 

Some chemicals typically present in breast milk are known to cause de-masculinization of male test animals and (in fewer cases) masculinization of female animals (Section 1.2.d).  Studies with human children have provided verification of the de-masculinizing effects of some of these chemicals on humans. (Section 1.6.b)  Possible results of those effects are as follows: 

 

     1) The eight Western European countries that have the highest rates of breastfeeding have an average fertility (birth rate per woman) of only 1.59In contrast with those low fertilities in the high-breastfeeding countries, the two lowest-breastfeeding countries of that region have birth rates of 2.01 and 2.08 per woman; and the four next-lowest-breastfeeding countries have an in-between average fertility rate of 1.78 (see Section 1.1.b.2);

     2) Certain de-masculinizing chemicals are more highly concentrated in typical breast milk in the U.S. than in other countries:  PBDEs (at levels 10 to 100 times as high as in Europe -- Section 1.7.3)  diesel emissions, and dioxins (Section 1.9.4).  The percentage of 25-34-year-old American men never married more than quintupled between 1970 and 2008 (Section 1.2.w), over the same four decades during which breastfeeding rates increased several-fold (Figure 1b).  Aside from births to unmarried women (41% of all U.S. births currently) and births to immigrant women, the current U.S. birth rate is only about 1.1 per woman; and even that very low fertility rate is supported to a significant extent by means of considerable spending on assisted reproductive technology (Sections 1.1.b.2, 1.2.w).

     3)  Japan and South Korea have unusually high breastfeeding rates (Section 1.2.p.1), and their births per woman are only 1.39 and 1.23 (CIA World Fact Book).

     4)  In several U.S. cities in areas that CDC surveys have found to have very unusually high rates of breastfeeding, informal but fairly thorough research has found that there are unusually large numbers of people who lack interest in heterosexual sex. (Section 1.2.v)

 

Japan’s relatively recent very high breastfeeding rate followed a low rate that prevailed before the 1980’s (Section 1.2.b.2-3); in a development that might not be coincidental, national alarm has arisen in Japan about the effeminate nature and lack of interest in heterosexual sex on the part of a very high percentage of the young men who have been coming of age two decades or so after that transition to a high rate of breastfeeding.

 

The case of Japan brings to mind the analogy of the canary in a coal mine, except that in this instance the sign of what may be starting to happen in the mine is not small.  Also, there are already other signs in the coal mine of new, related matters of concern elsewhere in the developed world (briefly mentioned in the indented sections above, with details later in this paper).  What has been occurring in Japan relates not merely to that country’s very high rate of breastfeeding but also to the probably-unusually-high levels of toxins in breast milk in Japan in recent decades, resulting from the fact that the region is both very industrial and densely populated.  But exposures to the chemicals that are probably behind the effects in Japan have been increasing in the developed world in general, both from their sources in the environment (many details will be provided, including in Section 1.9) and by means of their concentrated excretion to infants as breastfeeding rates have been increasing.

 

Much has been said in favor of breastfeeding, and much can be said in rebuttal of the evidence that is used to support that position.  The Surgeon General of the United States, although a strong supporter of breastfeeding, acknowledges that essentially all of the studies that have found benefits in breastfeeding have been (non-randomized) “observational” studies, in which causation is not proven.  Those studies made comparisons between groups that are dissimilar in crucial respects.  Bottle-feeding mothers are very disproportionately likely to be of low income and to smoke, and those factors are well-known to contribute to the same illnesses that breastfeeding advocates instead attribute to formula feeding.  If the researchers make a pretense of adjusting for those biasing factors, there appears to be no reason to find the adjustments to have been sufficient to compensate for the magnitude of the effects of the low income conditions and smoking.  Probably because of the near-impossibility of making proper adjustments when comparison groups are dissimilar, the U.S. Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality apparently does not even recognize the validity of the making of such adjustments.  (For details, see Section 1.1.b.4)

 

Aside from ingestion via breast milk, there are other probable avenues by which infants can ingest or absorb substances that could result in non-normal mental developments.  Those include (1) ingestion of typical soil or dust, containing concentrations of dioxins and other toxins (Section 2.4), (2) absorption of certain widespread chemicals through the skin (Sections 1.2.b.1, 1.6.b), and (3) breathing of air containing recently-prevalent toxins (Section 1.4).  All of these can interfere with activity of male testosterone, which is known to be important to neurological development (Section 1.2.b.1).   Some of these other probable sources of neurological deviations are also dealt with in this paper.

 

The following should be pointed out regarding the seriousness of some of the problems being discussed here:  According to years-old data from the CDC, over 35,000 children are born in the U.S. every year who will probably eventually be diagnosed with Autism Spectrum Disorder alone (the rate has risen substantially since then).  Estimates of the average total lifetime cost of caring for a mentally-impaired person with ASD have varied between $3.2 million and $4.7 million. (c) Those impaired by autism are much less than half of the children currently reported by the Census Bureau to have “serious difficulty” concentrating and remembering (a), and many or most within that much larger and increasing impaired group will also end up being burdens on their parents and on society for their entire lives.  A high percentage of those children who are not judged to be impaired have probably nevertheless been developing to a level well below their genetic potentials, as a result of exposure to these same toxins at levels lower than had been ingested by those who became seriously impaired. 

 

Proposed Remedial Actions:  Mothers should be extremely wary of the likely effects of breastfeeding if they have been receiving typical exposure to the environments in developed countries, especially if they have been eating a typical, omnivorous diet.  For parents-to-be who can plan well ahead, the ideal action might be for the woman (years before pregnancy) to adopt a diet that mainly avoids the meat, dairy products, fish, and snack foods that are high in animal fats, which are the main sources of dioxins, mercury and other developmental toxins into her body, so that there could be a better chance of her being able to feed her future infant good-quality breast milk, and also to minimize effects of toxins on the fetus during gestation.  Other ways to protect future nursing mothers and developing infants from neurological toxins include keeping them away from known sources of toxins (including well-travelled highways, railroad tracks and airports, and downwind from wildfires), aggressive publicity discouraging eating by infants of foods known to contain high levels of dioxins and/or mercury (especially ground beef and foods high in animal fats), thorough air filtration and frequent removal of dust (especially in areas where infants could be kept most of the time during critical stages of their brains' developments), refraining from enclosing the infant male scrotum in (possibly dioxin-contaminated) bleached disposable diapers, separation of infants from tobacco smoke, and minimizing exposure of infants to possible ingestion or absorption of soil and of DEHPs contained in soft plastics.  Keeping infants away from PVC flooring appears to be a good idea. (Section 1.6.b)  Practicality of unusually good air filtration during periods of bad air could be improved by focusing more research on "critical windows of sensitivity" during which the developing brain has been found by scientific research to be especially vulnerable to effects of toxins.  Many more suggestions for remedial actions will be presented later.

 

This author's personal bias, of a kind that many people object to:  I believe that, where there is reasonable doubt about the safety of a substance to which people are exposed in the environment, the benefit of the doubt should be on the side of trying to minimize human exposure to that substance.  In presenting my concerns to various people, some have pointed out that there isn't conclusive proof that the substances in question cause the harm that I am concerned about. They are likely to recommend that high standards of evidence should first be met (involving research that could take place only over many years, requiring funding, personnel and/or equipment that may or may not ever be available) before attempts should be made to discourage a usage or activity that is seriously in question.  In line with that kind of orientation, at least two pesticides, endosulfan and dicofol, had been in use in the U.S. since the 1950's before a study by researchers with the state of California found autism to be several times higher than average among infants residing in areas where it was used.  Not long after that, following a half-century of widespread use (and unknown numbers of lives harmed), the EPA disallowed the registrations for those two pesticides.  Also bear in mind that the causal association between smoking and lung cancer was merely suspected for decades before evidence was finally provided that conclusively proved the connection, following unknown thousands of avoidable lung cancer deaths in the intervening years.  In the case of Thalidomide, identification of that particular chemical’s harmful effects was made relatively easy by various factors including the facts that the effects were quickly very conspicuous and also were traceable to one single chemical.   But even then, it still took over two years and 10,000 malformed babies before general sale of Thalidomide was stopped.  With the environmental toxins that have apparently been causing mental impairment in recent decades, verifying them as causes of harm is greatly complicated by the years of delay between the exposure and the subsequent observability of the effects, and by the relatively small percentage of all children who have been conspicuously impaired.  This author’s position, based on the above:  We should not wait for a conclusive breakthrough discovery before taking constructive steps, if we see things in the environment that appear to be probable sources of serious problems, and if something can reasonably be done about them.

 

Do you have comments about the contents of this website?  The author is eager to hear from you if you have any criticisms to make of any specific passages contained here, if you feel that what is said is not well-supported by the evidence provided.  Please be specific about which statements are not supported by the evidence.  Respond to dm@pollutionaction.org 

 

 

Part I

Section 1.1.a   A preview:  What is in the Environment (as well as What is Eaten, which Contains Substances from the Environment) Makes a Difference.  Toxins in Mild Doses from the Environment and Food Build Up in the Mother’s Body over Many Years and Become Concentrated in Breast Milk.

Figure 1


 

 

Section 1.1.b  Reasons to Suspect Breastfeeding as a Possible Cause of the Increase in Male Mental Impairment

Breast milk contains high concentrations of toxins of kinds that are known to harm neurological development.  (This will be explained in detail, with considerable scientific evidence, in Section 1.2)  Most of those chemicals have been increasing in the environment in recent decades, and human consumption of meat (one of the three principal sources for absorption into human bodies of some of those toxins) has more than doubled in the U.S. in the last 50 years. (Section 1.2.d)  There are many associations between high or low rates of breastfeeding and high or low levels of mental impairment. (These connections are previewed in the indented sections above and are explained in detail later.)

 

A study of interest (Whitely and colleagues) was conducted regarding 1189 children age 3 to 11 formally diagnosed with various forms of Autism Spectrum Disorder, residing in the U.K. and Republic of Ireland, drawing on records received between 2002 and 2007.  The records showed that 65% of the children with those conditions had been “exclusively breastfed” for over four weeks.  (Trends in Developmental, Behavioral and Somatic Factors by Diagnostic Sub-group in Pervasive Developmental Disorders: A Follow-up Analysis, pp. 10, 14   Paul Whiteley ( Department of Pharmacy, Health & Well-being, Faculty of Applied Sciences, University of Sunderland, UK), et al.  Autism Insights 2009:1 3-17  at http://www.la-press.com/trends-in-developmental-behavioral-and-somatic-factors-by-diagnostic-s-article-a1725)   The authors took only minor notice of the 65% figure, apparently because of comparing it with a figure (54%) thought to represent U.K. breastfeeding in general; but that 54% figure was unrealistically high for the general UK population, since it came from a study (Pontin and colleagues) of breastfeeding by mothers who were largely from “more affluent families”, in the words of that study’s authors; more affluent mothers are well known to breastfeed at unusually high rates.  For breastfeeding prevalence data that would apply to the general U.K. population, the authors of the latter study referred the reader to (1) a 2005 study that showed a 33% rate at the end of the first month; note in Figure 1.9 (later) that breastfeeding rates in the U.K. by 2005 (the year of the study that found the 33% rate) had risen significantly just since the years of the births of most of the children whose data would have been reported in the Whitely study; (Patterns of breastfeeding in a UK longitudinal cohort study, Pontin et al., School of Maternal and Child Health, University of West of England, Bristol, UK)  and (2) for a probably still more relevant comparison figure with reference to the Whitely study, Pontin et al. also refer the reader to Infant Feeding 1995 (Foster et al.), which they say shows a 21% figure for exclusive breastfeeding for the next period following the first month; examination of that book reveals that the 21% figure would apply at about eight weeks after birth, and that a figure in the upper 20%’s would apply at just after four weeks.

 

The reader should remember from just above that the Whitely study found 65% of the 1189 U.K. children studied with ASD had been exclusively breastfed for over four weeks.  That figure appears to be over twice as high as what the comparable percentage for exclusive breastfeeding would have been in the UK’s general population at the time when the studied autistic children were infants.  This provides good reason to suspect that exclusively breastfeeding an infant for over four weeks is an extremely strong risk factor associated with autism.  If any reader can think of any other reason why children with autism would have been twice as likely as the average child to have been exclusively breastfed for over four weeks, other than as a result of a causal relation between the breastfeeding and the autism, please inform this author of your idea, at dm@pollutionaction.org . 

 

The above is just the beginning of the evidence that strongly implicates breastfeeding as a possible cause of autism.  See the first indented section in the introductory summary, above, for a preview of the other evidence.

 

(It would be very helpful if we could make a comparison such as the above using data from the U.S.   There are least two major organizations in the U.S. that are doing in-depth, long-term research on causes of autism, both of which (in response to our inquiries) have indicated that their research may at some time include the question of breastfeeding, but they have no data to share at this time (responses of April 18 and May 3, 2012 from the MIND Institute of California regarding its CHARGE study and from the CDC regarding the SEED study).  The CDC said that they are not currently conducting breastfeeding analysis but may do so in the future.

 

Section 1.1.b.1 Breast Feeding Increasing While Mental Disabilities among Young Males have been Increasing

Figure 1b

 

Prevalence of breastfeeding has increased considerably in the U.S. since the 1970's (see Figure 1b), rising especially rapidly during the 1970’s and ‘90’s.  During those same decades, mental impairment rates among males born during that period (not merely those with autism) increased substantially.(1)  (source of Figure 1b:  The Surgeon General’s Call to Action to Support Breastfeeding 2011 U.S. Public Health Service Office of the Surgeon General   at http://www.surgeongeneral.gov/topics/breastfeeding/calltoactiontosupportbreastfeeding.pdf)

 

Some other countries have also been going through increases in breastfeeding rates, following an initiative by the World Health Organization in the mid-1970’s to promote breastfeeding.  See Section 1.2.b.2 regarding Japan’s transition from low-breastfeeding to high-breastfeeding during that period, leading (at least chronologically, and very possibly causally) to a generation of young men a high percentage of whom could apparently be described as effeminate.  Japan is also currently among the countries with the highest rates of autism in the world (Autism and Developmental Disabilities Monitoring Network Surveillance Year 2006 Catherine Rice, PhD et al, National Center on Birth Defects and Developmental Disabilities, CDC, at http://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/preview/mmwrhtml/ss5810a1.htm ) and also with one of the lowest birthrates in the world.

 

See Figure 1.9 for ample illustration of the general upward trend in breastfeeding rates in recent decades in developed countries, and bear in mind that reported autism rates have also been rising dramatically in most countries during the last two decades.  That same general growth in breastfeeding is also seen in the chart in Section 1.2.s.6, but there is also a clear demonstration in the latter chart of how stable the U.K.’s breastfeeding rate was in the years before 2000.  Then bear in mind that, of the various international data showing growth in rates of autism in recent decades, a study in only one country (that this author has been able to find) determined that autism had not been growing within a part of that country; and that country was the U.K.; that study referred to children whose infancies would have transpired largely during the pre-2000 period of a stable breastfeeding rate. (Details in Section 1.2.s.6)

 

The above should be grounds to be concerned about breastfeeding, given the neurodevelopmental toxins known to be increasingly concentrated in most human breast milk in major parts of developed countries in recent decades; high-quality scientific evidence about the concentrations and the developmental  toxicity of chemicals in typical modern breast milk is so extensive (even after considerable effort to condense it) that it must be placed later in this paper, rather than getting bogged down in so much sheer volume at first.  Suffice it to say at this point that government agencies that advocate breastfeeding do so while in no way disputing the evidence that breastfed infants receive unusually high concentrations of chemicals that are known neuro-developmental toxins.  But they feel, based on their interpretations of selected studies, that the benefits of the breast milk are so great as to outweigh the risks from the toxins contained therein.  So a logical place for this paper to start is in critically examining the claims about health benefits of breast milk and the studies on which those claims are based. 

 

Section 1.1.b.2  A Brief Look at Apparent Effects of varying Levels of Breastfeeding on Fertility Rates in Europe:

The declining birth rates in most of Europe, to far below replacement levels, have been of serious concern partly because of the rapidly declining populations of younger people who will be paying into the countries’ social security systems, and partly because of the increasing lifespans of the retirees who are supported by the declining younger population.  Various theories have been advanced as to why birthrates have declined so substantially, and the assumption always seems to be that the low birth numbers have been entirely intentional.  However, in a 2006 Eurobarometer survey by the European Commission, women were asked how many children they would like to have, and the average result was 2.36. (No Babies? -- Declining Population in Europe  Russell Shorto, The New York Times Magazine  June 29, 2008)   Aside from couples’ intentions, human mating and pregnancies are also inevitably heavily influenced by non-intentional factors that people are much less likely to discuss:  sexual attractions between males and females (or possibly lack thereof), the strength (or weakness) of the male sex drive, and the sperm content of male semen. 

 

Male-female attractions and male sexual potency are in turn heavily influenced by male hormones and/or by the health and normalcy of the male reproductive system.  According to reports issued by the CDC and the EPA, dioxins (which are highly concentrated in typical breast milk -- see Section 1.2.d) have been found in tests with laboratory animals to cause testicular atrophy, impaired testosterone synthesis, feminization of male sexual behavior, de-masculinization of males, and alterations of the developing male reproductive system. (more details in Section 1.2.b)   PBDEs, which have anti-androgenic properties (Section 1.7.1) have been rapidly increasing in breast milk in recent decades (Section 1.7.3).  Many new pesticides have been introduced into use in recent decades; some are known to have anti-androgenic properties, some are known to de-masculinize male test animals or masculinize female animals (Section 1.6.b), and at least some pesticides are known to be excreted in breast milk. (Being breastfed in infancy and adult breast cancer risk among Japanese women  Y. Minami/ M. Kawai (Division of Community Health, Tohuku University Graduate School of Medicine) et al.  Cancer Causes Control, 2012)   Various studies have confirmed the applicability to humans of the animal studies that demonstrate effects of some of the increasingly-prevalent chemicals that are known to be contained in breast milk; testosterone-producing cells were vulnerable to exposure to phthalates, and “incomplete virilization in infant boys exposed to phthalates” was also observed. (see Section 1.6.b)

 

In line with what has been learned from extensive research about toxins known to be typically concentrated in breast milk, it is worth looking at the map of Western Europe with shadings according to rates of breastfeeding and fertility rates in the various countries.

 Fig 1.1B

Using data from the CIA’s World Fact Book of 2011, these countries can be grouped according to their numbers of births per woman (see “Fertility Rates” map on right):

  Medium fertility rates, shown in olive:  France - 2.08, Ireland - 2.01, United Kingdom - 1.91.

  Lower fertility rates, shown in brown:  Netherlands - 1.78, Luxembourg - 1.77, Norway - 1.77, Denmark - 1.74, Finland - 1.73, Sweden -1.67, Belgium - 1.65,  Portugal - 1.51, Spain - 1.48, Switzerland - 1.47, Germany and Austria - 1.41, Italy - 1.40

 

Obviously these maps don’t show the many variations in breastfeeding and fertility rates that exist among these countries.  It should be noted that, within the “higher-breastfeeding” group, the two countries with the lowest breastfeeding rates in that group (Luxembourg and the Netherlands -- see Figure 1.9) have the highest birthrates within the “lower birthrate” group.  Aside from those two, the Scandinavian countries have higher birthrates than most in the lower-fertility group, and their birth rates are almost certainly affected by government-paid subsidies to childbearing in those countries.   “In Scandinavia, thanks in part to state support, the more children a family has, the wealthier it is likely to be….”  In Norway, the birth of a child brings a government payment of about 4,000 Euros (over $5000, as of April, 2012); and mothers are entitled to 12 months off work with 80% pay or 10 months with full pay, paid for by the government.  (Russell Shorto, in “No Babies? -- Declining Population in Europe” The New York Times Magazine, June 29, 2008).  In Sweden, each parent is entitled to 18 months of government-paid leave.  Public day care is also heavily subsidized. (BBC News website, Mar. 24, 2006)  Other European countries also offer accommodations to childbearing, but the Scandinavian subsidies stand out; those of Ireland, France and the U.K. are far less generous.  Also, average breast milk in Norway, Sweden and Finland, because of the low population densities of those countries, may be lower in toxins than is typical in the rest of Europe.

 

It is worth trying to determine which is more influential in causing Europe’s declining birth rates -- couples’ intentions, or the possible declines in masculinity, male sex drive and male reproductive viability.  The declines in European birth rates to below replacement level seem to have caught the public’s attention only in the last decade or so.  The only birthrate statistic for the early 1990’s that this author has found so far is for Sweden in 1992, indicating a birth rate of 2.1 per woman at that time. (BBC News website, March 28, 2006).  One might ask what might conceivably have come about in the last two decades that could have caused couples to intentionally plan on fewer children.  The typical suggested motivations -- financial concerns, or women’s worries about conflict with work -- don’t sound like things that would have first come about or increased substantially in the 1990’s and early 2000’s.  On the other hand, in the environment of the latter part of the 20th Century there were major increases in levels of chemicals that are known to de-masculinize males and harm their reproductive capacities, and rates of breastfeeding (known to deliver concentrations of most of those chemicals to suckling infants) increased greatly beginning in the 1970’s and rose rapidly in Europe during the 1980’s. (see Section 1.2.p.1)  So the children who were being breastfed at greatly increased rates during the 1970’s and 1980’s, with breast milk containing rapidly-increasing levels of de-masculinizing chemicals, have been filling the ranks of those of reproductive age in the first decade of the 2000’s.

 

There are good reasons to look beyond the general assumption that the decline in birthrates has been voluntary, supposedly resulting from women seeing conflicts with employment or whatever.  A 2008 New York Times article quoted an analysis of recent studies (especially regarding contemporary Europe) that showed that “high fertility was associated with high female labor-force participation… working mothers are having more babies than stay-at-home moms….  80 percent of French women (France has Europe’s highest birthrate) between ages 25 and 50 are employed.”  (Hans-Peter Kohler of the University of Pennsylvania quoted by Russell Shorto, in “No Babies? -- Declining Population in Europe” The New York Times Magazine, June 29, 2008)   Humans have to remember that, despite our advanced civilizations and modern ways, we are still biologically like the rest of the animal kingdom in ways that greatly affect rates of procreation.  We should reflect on the fact that many chemicals that came into prevalence in the environment in the late 20th Century are known (based on many tests with animals, and also on some human studies) to have effects that reduce sexual activity and potency.  Male-female attractions have probably been reduced in comparison with those of earlier generations, and even when physical mating does take place, pregnancies may be following at lower rates than in earlier times.  If such things were occurring, who would notice and report about those changes?  The young people who are the ones who would normally be procreating have no basis for comparison; if their attractions to the opposite sex were less than had been the case for earlier generations, how would they or anybody know that?  And, if a given amount of sexual activity were to unintentionally result in fewer pregnancies than would have occurred in earlier generations, would anybody notice and report about that?

 

Regarding possible lessening of attraction between the sexes, one may want to look in census data for clues, such as the fact that, in the 25-34-year-old age group in the U.S., the percentage of men never married more than quintupled between 1970 and 2008. (see Section 1.2.w)   Regarding a possible reduction in pregnancies following a given amount of sexual activity, one may see a clue in the fact that a very high percentage of American couples who want a child (likely over half -- see Section 1.2.w) are unable to conceive.  Even with considerable artificial assistance in conceiving, native-born American women have a birth rate of only about 1.1 when counting only births to married women, according to data taken from the 2010 Census.  (Births to unmarried women, 41% of all births currently, and to immigrant women are preventing population decline. See Section 1.2.w))    These outcomes would have been completely predictable if one were to merely think about the known effects of certain chemicals that have been increasing in the environment; some of those chemicals are concentrated in breast milk, and in some cases the concentrations are known to have increased greatly.  There appears to be no particular reason to think that intentional avoidance of pregnancy has been behind the recent decline in birthrates.  On the other hand, there are excellent reasons to believe that increases in ingestion of de-masculinizing chemicals by developing infants a generation ago would be strongly affecting current birthrates.  See the pair of maps above.

 

The “de-masculinizing” effects that may well have been occurring are not effects that would ordinarily call attention to themselves in human males.  Possible reduced mating activity and 10%-15% smaller male reproductive organs, while observable in animals in laboratory conditions, could not normally be readily observed in human males.   But de-masculinization of most young males in Japan during recent years, following Japan’s rapid increase in breastfeeding rates in the 1980’s, has been so conspicuous that no studies have been necessary to observe it.  According to a Japanese government study conducted in 2010, 36% of males aged 16 to 19 surveyed described themselves as “indifferent or averse” towards having sex, and that percentage has been rising rapidly in recent years.  60% of young Japanese men identify with a social category whose most obvious characteristics seem to be effeminate behavior and lack of interest in heterosexual sex. (see Section 1.2.b.2-3)

 

So we see an outcome in Japan that may be merely a more extreme case of what has been happening elsewhere in the developed world.  Japan is both very industrial and densely populated, and is also downwind from considerable, polluting Chinese industry, which means that its typical breast milk contains unusually high concentrations of developmental toxins.  And its rate of breastfeeding is at the very highest level, matched among developed countries only by a very few (Norway, Sweden, Finland, Denmark, and possibly Germany and Switzerland -- see Section 1.2.p.1) where pollution levels are almost certainly lower than in Japan. (South Korea probably also shares the top ranks).  So most present-day young Japanese men received during their infancies what is probably just a more potent form of the same toxins that European young men received in their infancies during the 1980’s.  The de-masculinizing effects that are conspicuous in Japanese young men (probably having resulted to a great extent from toxins transmitted in breast milk) could be present in milder form in many young men in many other developed countries, especially in the countries with high breastfeeding rates and low birth rates.  Note in the above pair of maps that the European countries with high breastfeeding rates a generation ago are almost entirely the same countries that have low birthrates today.

 

The U.S. is another place to look for comparison.  Breastfeeding rates in the U.S. have not been as high as those of the high-breastfeeding European countries, but the contents of typical U.S. breast milk have been much higher in at least certain developmental toxins (PBDEs and probably dioxins) than has been the case in European breast milk. (see Sections 1.7.3 and 1.9.4).  As mentioned, in the 25-34-year-old age group in the U.S., the percentage of men never married more than quintupled between 1970 and 2008; obviously there are various causes for that, but any decline in male testosterone levels and sex drive would clearly be expected to have had a significant influence on that.  In connection with that trend, note (in Figure 1.b) that the breastfeeding rate in the U.S. as of the 1980’s had recently increased to well over 50%, following a very large and rapid increase during the 1970’s.  As mentioned, the number of births per U.S. native-born woman is now only about 1.1, if considering only births to married women.  In order to keep up even that very low birth rate, Americans have been going to great expense in utilizing Assisted Reproductive Technology to achieve pregnancy.  Again, de-masculinization of most young men such as has taken place in Japan has not conspicuously taken place in the U.S., but a close look can reveal some signs along those lines.  This author, assisted by a school-age observer, has noticed that the percentage of 17-year-old boys who could grow a beard seems to have declined by 40% or so in the last four decades.

 

Another sign of what may be occurring in the U.S. can be seen in trends in the Mormon Church, which is matched only by minor sects in its encouragement of large families.  In the 1960s, women of childbearing age in (mostly-Mormon) Utah averaged 4.3 children. That number as of 2005 was down to 2.6 children per woman. (Mormon portion of Utah population steadily shrinking  By Matt Canham ©2005, The Salt Lake Tribune  July 24, 2005 2:27 am)

 

“Studies in three cities (Boston, MA, Copenhagen, Denmark, and Turku, Finland) demonstrate a significant secular trend in serum testosterone … these studies suggest that testosterone has declined around 1% per year for the past 40 to 50 years.”  (Fetal and postnatal environmental exposures and reproductive health effects in the male: recent findings Shanna H. Swan, Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, University of Rochester, School of Medicine 2008)

 

 

Section 1.1.b.3   A Critique of the Claims and Studies about Possible Health Benefits of Breastfeeding

As promoters of extended breastfeeding point out, breastfeeding transmits immune cells and antibodies from the mother's immune system to the baby, which help protect the infant from bacteria.  But it should be kept in mind that by far the greatest protection the human body can have against pathogens in the environment is a properly-functioning immune system, which works by means of pathogen-fighting blood components produced by that individual's own immune system.  Of great relevance here is the “hygiene hypothesis” described in a web page of the U.S. Food and Drug Administration, according to which proper infant development depends on “the necessary exposure to germs required to “educate” the immune system so it can learn to launch its defense responses to infectious organisms….   In the period immediately after birth the child’s own immune system must take over and learn how to fend for itself.  The “hygiene hypothesis” is supported by epidemiologic studies….  (http://www.fda.gov/biologicsbloodvaccines/resourcesforyou/consumers/ucm167471.htm).  A study found on the NIH’s website discusses “the microbial exposure which may be critical for immune priming” and suggests it would be helpful to re-name “hygiene hypothesis” as “microbial deprivation hypothesis.” (Clin Exp Allergy. 2006 April; 36(4): 402–425.  Blackwell Publishing Ltd  Too clean, or not too clean: the Hygiene Hypothesis and home hygiene  SF Bloomfield et al.)  In the early days of our species when there were no standards of sanitation, and when other possible infant foods would often have been contaminated, immune cells from the mother would have been helpful in promoting the health of the infant.  But for most infants in developed countries today, that kind of protection from environmental challenges is probably actually harmful to the infant’s long run health.  By providing antibodies from an external source, breastfeeding repels the environmental organisms that would otherwise be providing “the necessary exposure to germs required to “educate” the immune system so it can learn to launch its defense responses,” in the words of the FDA’s respectful summation of this hypothesis.

 

 More data will be provided later (Section 1.2.p.1), but suffice to say here that, in four of the five regions of the world in which comparison is possible, countries in which breastfeeding is low have longer average lifespans than the countries in which breastfeeding is high.  Only in Sub-Saharan Africa is breastfeeding associated with longer lifespans, and the difference there is less than one year.  As will be shown in the appendix, the evidence presented for benefits of extended breastfeeding is very much subject to error resulting from the drawing of essentially all of its data from dissimilar comparison groups, in non-randomized studies.  All of the “associations” found in the studies could well be traceable to the lower income conditions and household smoking that are known to be disproportionately characteristic of households in which bottle feeding takes place.  Other evidence provided by major international organizations shows not only longer average lifespans in low-breastfeeding countries but also far lower rates of important, often fatal, predominantly childhood diseases. (Section 1.2.p.2)

 

Aside from fending off microbes that would otherwise provide natural stimulus to the infant’s own immune system to develop, there is excellent evidence that known typical contents of breast milk are harmful to the very sensitive developing immune system.  As related in section 1.2.d, typical breast milk is high in various developmental toxins, and especially high in dioxins.  According to a researcher reporting on a State of California website, “The developing thymus (which is a crucial part of the immune system) is a system that is remarkably sensitive to TCDD (dioxin).”  His team’s research found that fetal mice, after exposure to dioxin in the range of one 200-thousandth as large a dose as adult mice received, had about as much effect in the thymus as the adults had.  And it appears that even such a tiny dose has an effect of suppressing the immune system. (Development and Maturation of the Immune System: Vulnerability to Toxicants   at http://oehha.ca.gov/public_info/public/kids/pdf/Holladayed.pdf, p. 8)

 

 

Section 1.1.b.4   Various Things are Wrong in “The Surgeon General’s Call to Action to Support Breastfeeding”:

There is a great deal that can be said in rebuttal of the evidence presented in the above-mentioned Call to Action.  A summarized rebuttal is presented just below, but this paper’s more complete statement on that matter has been made into Appendix 1 (following Section 3.2) for the following reasons:   (1) Proper presentation of the case requires several pages of text that many readers would find boring; (2) even if one accepts the evidence in the Surgeon General’s Call to Action to be valid, the conclusion drawn by the Surgeon General that breastfeeding should be promoted is an improper conclusion, for reasons that will be presented shortly.  Here follows a very brief summation of the contents of Appendix 1:    

 (1) “Natural” doesn’t necessarily mean healthful; water from local rivers or ponds is also a “natural” source of drinking water for humans, but that doesn’t mean that it’s good for humans to drink such water in modern-day congested, developed regions; typical breast milk in major parts of present-day developed countries contains high concentrations of multiple developmental toxins, many times more concentrated than in alternative infant feeding materials; that is well established from reputable sources, and apparently no authoritative source disagrees with that.

 (2) At least one of the findings presented in favor of breastfeeding appears to be outright misquoted from the study that is cited.

 (3) The Surgeon General inconspicuously points out that most of the studies on which her case depends are observational studies (in which the comparison groups are not randomized) and she acknowledges that there is therefore no proof that formula-feeding is a cause of the illnesses that are indicated.  But that single, page-2 acknowledgement is vastly overshadowed by bold headings and many statements of “health risks” that are presented as results of failure to breastfeed, giving the incorrect impression that there is conclusive scientific evidence that the associations mentioned are true.

 (4) Low income and/or tobacco smoking are very well established as strong causal factors behind essentially all of the adverse health outcomes that the Surgeon General alleges to be results of formula-feeding; bottle feeding is also conclusively recognized to be very disproportionately prevalent among low income women and among mothers who smoke; it is entirely likely that the “health risks” alleged by the Surgeon General are not at all results of formula feeding, but are instead results of an infant’s being in a low-income household or in a home in which parents smoke, where bottle feeding is also far more likely.

(5) Observational studies, such as are being relied on by the Surgeon General, are recognized to be subject to false conclusions, and proper use of such studies does not include basing major public initiatives on them.  That is especially true if the comparison groups are known to be dissimilar, as was the case in the studies cited by the Surgeon General.  And that is most especially true if the comparison groups are dissimilar due to underlying factors (low income and parental smoking in these cases), which factors are well known to be capable of causing adverse health outcomes such as the Surgeon General attributes to breastfeeding.  The evidence provided is not sufficient to be a proper basis for a call to action by the Surgeon General of the United States that, in effect, promotes heavy exposure of infants to concentrations of known developmental toxins.  Especially if there is good evidence of widespread negative effects from precisely such exposure (see Introductory Summary, indented sections).  The reader is encouraged to go to Appendix 1 for more detail.

 

 

Section 1.1.b.5   Even IF the Surgeon General’s Evidence about Health Benefits to the Child were Strong, would those Benefits Outweigh the Probable Harm Resulting from Breastfeeding?

Probably not.  The Surgeon General makes no attempt to address the many effects that are occurring in the world that can very plausibly be traced back to toxins that are known to be high in breast milk, as presented in this paper.  Those probable, serious harmful effects (rapidly growing mental impairment among male children (see Sections 1.2.d, 1.2.s ff) and loss of fertility in countries that are trying hard to keep populations from declining (Sections 1.2.v-w)) are at least as well substantiated by evidence as the benefits she attributes to breastfeeding.  The benefits she alleges to result from breastfeeding are principally regarding child health; and even if true, there are many excellent reasons to believe that the overall health of the person actually suffers very significantly from breastfeeding. (Section 1.2.p.1)  Longer average life expectancies in countries in which extended breastfeeding is relatively uncommon, in four out of five major world regions, is only part of the reason.  The Surgeon General’s evidence for benefits of breastfeeding, as weak as it is, applies only to a very limited number of the many different possible illnesses; for excellent evidence that several illnesses she did not mention are far less prevalent in low-breastfeeding countries than in high-breastfeeding countries, found by this author with very little effort, see Section 1.2.p.2.

 

Considering the serious, life-threatening illnesses that are more prevalent in countries in which breastfeeding is higher, the shorter average lifespans in most high-breastfeeding countries than in low breastfeeding countries, and the minimal quality and selectiveness of the evidence for health benefits of breastfeeding, one should not place great value on the side of health benefits of breastfeeding for the infant.

 

Section 1.1.b.6   Other Health Benefits Alleged to Result from Breastfeeding

Unlike the presumed benefits to the infant claimed to result from breastfeeding, the benefits to the mother are somewhat more likely to be real, for the following reason:   As related earlier, some important environmental toxins collect in fat within the body, therefore they become concentrated in the breast.  In a Japanese study of breast cancer risk, the authors pointed out regarding certain widely-used pesticides, “Organochlorines, which are poorly metabolized, accumulate in the human body via food intake, leaving breastfeeding as the primary means of excretion.” (Being breastfed in infancy and adult breast cancer risk among Japanese women  Y. Minami/ M. Kawai (Division of Community Health, Tohuku University Graduate School of Medicine) et al.  Cancer Causes Control, 2012)   It is very possible that accomplishing that excretion is beneficial to a mother’s long-term health (although the above study of breast cancer risk did not find any such benefit).  A U.S. study found especially high benefits accruing to a mother who breastfed twins for two years, finding a decrease of about 70% in the mother’s body burden of dioxins over the two-year period. (Chemosphere. 1996 Feb;32(3):543-9.  Decrease in milk and blood dioxin levels over two years in a mother nursing twins: estimates of decreased maternal and increased infant dioxin body burden from nursing.  Schecter A, Papke O, Lis A, Ball M, Ryan JJ, Olson JR, Li L, Kessler H  Department of Preventive Medicine, State University of New York, Health Science Center-Syracuse,USA.)  That may be beneficial to the health of the mother, but one needs to consider that this resulted in high levels of neuro-developmental toxins’ being ingested by the infants while they are going through a period of rapid development of their brains, before their brains’ barriers to toxins have developed.  One study of dioxin concentrations in infants of various birth orders found that, the closer the infant had been to first in birth order, the higher the dioxin concentrations in the deceased infants’ tissues, “thus showing that the mothers can decontaminate themselves by breast feeding.” (more details in Section 1.2.s.1)  Obviously there’s no need to think about the effect those excreted developmental toxins are having on the vulnerable, developing infant, who is ingesting them while passing through his or her only possible period for potentially normal neurological growth.  See Section 1.2.d for more detail concerning the high levels of various developmental toxins that are absorbed by infants who have been breastfed, in amounts many times higher than in infants who have been bottle fed. 

 

As beneficial as this excretion of toxins is to the mother, how many mothers want to accomplish this by means of feeding developmental toxins to their infants, at the most vulnerable times of the infants’ lives?

 

The last sentence should be carefully re-read if the reader hasn’t already stopped to think about it.

It is possible to excrete breast milk (and the toxins contained in breast milk) without feeding it to an infant.

 

Another benefit claimed for breastfeeding is that it builds a mother-child bond.  But, as nice as that sounds, one should consider the long term effect, especially for male infants.  The reader is encouraged to read in Sections 1.2.b.2-3 about the mostly-effeminate (or at minimum mostly non-masculine) generation of young Japanese men that became conspicuous in recent years following Japan’s changeover during the 1980’s to a very high level of breastfeeding.  Be sure to notice what is quoted about the typical attachments of these young men to their mothers.  But, even for girls, is it conceivable that there is such a thing as a person’s being too attached to one’s mother?  There should be ample other opportunity during the many years of childrearing to develop a sufficient bond between mother and child.

 

Section 1.2

Section 1.2.a   PAHs, Dioxins, and BPA acting as Mutagens or Endocrine Disruptors

In essentially the words of the U.S. Agency for Toxic Substances and Disease Registry, with emphasis added:  The proper development of infants depends on the timely action of hormones, particularly sex steroids; interfering with such actions can lead to a wide array of effects that may include altered sexual and neurobehavioral functions. Such effects can occur as a result of exposure to certain chemicals during fetal life or later via maternal milk or other direct exposure. (ATSDR  web page  Public Health Statement for DDT, DDE, and DDD, September 2002, Section 3.2.2.6)

 

Dioxins and certain PAHs (Polycyclic Aromatic Hydrocarbons) are categories of chemicals widely distributed in the environment that are implicated as sources of neurological impairment.  The specific means by which they cause harm is by acting as "endocrine disruptors" (in the cases of dioxins, BPA and at least one PAH) or as mutagens (in the case of some PAHs). A web page of the National Institutes of Health says that endocrine disruptors are "chemicals that may interfere with the body’s endocrine system and produce adverse developmental, reproductive, neurological, and immune effects in both humans and wildlife. …. ." (emphasis added)   The determination of dioxins and dioxin-like substances as being endocrine disruptors is well established.  At least one PAH appears to be clearly in the category of endocrine disruptors; screening of other chemicals for endocrine disruption properties is a very incomplete, ongoing process, as of October, 2011. (http://www.epa.gov/oscpmont/oscpendo/ ) )  In addition, some PAHs have been identified as mutagens, which can have adverse effects on the ways organs including the brain develop.

 

The EPA's web pages and documents on dioxins and PAHs point out major sources of dioxins and PAHs, as follows: 

(a) dioxins are unintentional byproducts of several industrial chemical processes and of most forms of combustion, including fuel emissions, forest fires, and waste combustion, and are also found in weed killers used on agricultural lands;

(b) PAH's are also unintentional products of typical forms of combustion, including cigarette smoking and residential wood burning.

(c) BPA appears to be absorbed by humans primarily via food packaging.

 

Quoting from the NIH's web page on endocrine disruptors, "Endocrine disruptors …may mimic or interfere with the function of hormones in the body. Endocrine disruptors may turn on, shut off, or modify signals that hormones carry,….   In 2000, an independent panel of experts convened by NIEHS and NTP (National Toxicology Program) found that there was credible evidence that some hormone-like chemicals can affect test animals’ bodily functions at very low levels — well below the “no effect” levels determined by traditional testing......People may be exposed to endocrine disruptors through …. the diet, air, skin, and water" (emphasis added) (h)

 

Continuing, "Research shows that endocrine disruptors may pose the greatest risk during prenatal and early postnatal development when organ and neural systems are developing.  Endocrine disruptors can bind to a receptor within a cell and block the endogenous hormone from binding. The normal signal then fails to occur and the body fails to respond properly.  Examples of chemicals that block or antagonize hormones are anti-estrogens and anti-androgens. (They also can) interfere or block the way natural hormones or their receptors are made .....”

 

According to the Committee on Developmental Toxicology of the National Academy of Sciences, ”Agents that interact with one or more of these receptors and are known to produce abnormal development include ……dioxin (TCDD).  The mechanism by which TCDD induces developmental toxicity has been studied extensively (for a review, see Wilson and Safe 1998) and is one of the best understood.   It ….. alters the expression of several dozen genes, one or more of which might result in an adverse developmental outcome." (i)  (emphasis added)  Given that there are various different genes that guide the growth of different parts of the brain, exposure to a toxin that ”alters the expression of several dozen genes" can help explain why the autism spectrum disorders and other neurological damage can take many different forms.

 

From one of the EPA's documents on dioxins, (j) "Some of the effects of dioxin and related compounds such as …. changes in hormone levels and indicators of altered cellular function have been observed in laboratory animals and humans at body burdens comparable to exposures at or near levels to which segments of the general population are exposed."   It will be explained in the next section that any effect of changing hormone levels can be hazardous to development of the brain.  Later in the same EPA document, it is spelled out that the adverse impacts that can occur as a result of relatively typical exposure to dioxins include impacts on "developmental and/or reproductive biology". The authoritative recognition that (probably harmful) effects of dioxins have been observed in humans at or near levels of substantial human exposure is of special significance in light of the following:  A study in the Netherlands has found that breast-fed infants have a 50-fold higher daily dioxin intake than adults after adjusting for body weight. (aa8).

 

“There is considerable literature documenting the toxic effects of dioxins on the male reproductive system.  Prenatal and lactational exposure of male rats to TCDD (dioxin) profoundly disturbed the developing male reproductive organs…. spermatogenesis was inhibited, sexual behavior was feminized and demasculinized…. The effects were elicited by a single maternal oral dose of TCDD on day 15 of pregnancy [ED50 approximately 0.16 pg/kg; at this dose, TCDD had no discernible effect on the mother. Most of the effects were found at the lowest dose level tested (0.064 pg/kg)….” “All of the best evidence available points with some certainty to a rising tide in Europe and many other countries of human male reproductive disorders involving sperm counts (and probably sperm quality)….” (p. 764)  “The most fundamental change has been the striking decline in sperm counts in the ejaculate of normal men; recent evidence from Paris indicates that this decrease amounts to about 2% per year over the last two decades. The result is that many otherwise normal men now have sperm counts so low that their fertility is likely to be impaired.” (p. 768) (Emphases added) (Male Reproductive Health and Environmental Xenoestrogens Jorma Toppari,et al. Environmental Health Perspectives - Vol 104, Supplement 4 - August 1996)

 

The U.S. Agency for Toxic Substances and Disease Registry says that dioxins are normally found in the environment in "… ash, soil, or any surface with a high organic content, such as plant leaves." (k)  The ATSDR and the EPA point out that dioxins are released by municipal solid waste and industrial incinerators, hospital waste incinerators, backyard burning, vehicle exhaust (mainly of diesel vehicles), emissions from oil- or coal-fired power plants, soil erosion and surface runoff.  Note that most of the above sources are related to population density and combustion processes. 

 

The EPA reports that major sources of dioxins in the atmosphere have declined greatly in recent decades as a result of regulatory efforts, but dioxins are extremely persistent in the environment, especially in soil.  Regulatory efforts succeeded in reducing various sources of dioxins, but backyard burning (including its typical major component of plastics trash, which contributes to formation of dioxins) is difficult to control.  So backyard burning has become the largest source of dioxin releases in the U.S. environment as of the latest EPA inventory (for year 2000)(above source, Table 1-4)The worst effects of the pollution generated would be on infants and child-bearing women living in the areas near where the burning is done, but the dioxins released would also enter the food chain of the general population (this burning is mostly done in rural areas).  The emissions released would also be deposited on soil, water supplies, and in the form of dust, to which all infants downwind could be exposed.

 

BPA (Bisphenol A) is another recognized endocrine disruptor, to which people including future mothers and nursing mothers are especially exposed via its use in plastic packaging of food and drinks, including in linings of metal cans. Production of BPA in the U.S. increased over 100-fold between 1991 and 2004.  The National Toxicology Program (NTP) has “some concern” for effects on the brain, behavior, and prostate gland in fetuses, infants, and children at current human exposures to BPA.  The U.S. Geological Survey is “confident” that adult exposure to BPA affects the male reproductive tract, and that long-lasting effects in response to developmental exposure to BPA occur in the brain, male reproductive system, and metabolic processes. (ToxTown of National Library of Medicine, at http://toxtown.nlm.nih.gov/text_version/chemicals.php?id=69) 

 

In addition to possible or known endocrine-disruption properties, at least some PAHs are known to be potent mutagens (EPA/600/8-90/057F  May 2002, Health Assessment Document for Diesel Engine Exhaust, Table 2-22.  National Center for Environmental Assessment, Office of Research and Development, EPA).  In addition, even after some PAHs degrade, many of their derivatives, also, "have been found to be highly mutagenic." (same EPA source, p. 2-90)  Mutagens should be of special concern because they can affect the descendants of a person who outwardly appears to be unaffected. Later in this paper there will be various references to possible effects of environmental toxins on pregnant women and developing infants, and for brevity the possible effects on the genetic material in future parents of both genders will not be mentioned at the same time.  But it should be kept in mind that mutagens could be affecting genes of both men and women now in ways that may not be apparent in them but which could be expressed in their future children.

 

Aside from the general knowledge about the presence of dioxins (and therefore endocrine disruptors) in many typical types of combustion emissions, research has specifically observed endocrine disruption resulting from exposure to diesel exhaust, which contains dioxins (see Section 1.4). 

 

A number of studies indicate that dioxins and dioxin-like compounds (which include some types of PCBs) decrease circulating thyroid hormone levels, which can impair the brain development of offspring.  "Even low levels of dioxin or PCB exposure during the perinatal period can greatly influence neurological development" in this way and "can cause irreversible neurological damage."  (Industrial Health 2000, 38, 259–268 Review Article:  The Effects of Dioxin on Reproduction and Development  Junzo YONEMOTO  National Institute for Environmental Studies, Japan  p. 262;  Glorieux et al., 1988; Rovet et al., 1987; Haddow et al., 1999)." (Prioritization of Toxic Air Contaminants  -- Children's Environmental Health Protection Act (State of California), October, 2001).  Most major sources of releases of PCBs to the environment were discontinued in 1979, which helps explain the major decline in mental impairment among girls born in recent decades. But they are extremely persistent in the environment and (along with other variations of dioxins and dioxin-like chemicals) are still very significant in harmfulness.   As of 2006, the EPA reported that "one-third of general population TEQDFP (dioxin toxic equivalency) exposure is due to PCBs."* *(EPA/600/P-03/002F, November 2006: p. 11-28)    Field studies have provided evidence that impaired reproduction and immune function in seals were caused by the presence of PCBs in the food chain. (Reijnders, P.J. (1986) Reproductive failure in common seals feeding on fish from polluted coastal waters. Nature, 324, 456–457.)

 

To illustrate the potency of some of these developmental toxins, it is worth considering a test performed on rhesus monkeys with Aroclor 1248, a commonly-used commercial product that contained PCBs.  According to the U.S. ATSDR, Aroclors were “useful in a wide variety of applications, including dielectric fluids in transformers and capacitors, heat transfer fluids, and lubricants…. PCBs are combustible liquids, and the products of combustion may be more hazardous than the material itself.” (from the  ATSDR website page on Aroclors)  Other common uses of PCBs included fluorescent light ballasts and plasticizers. (http://www.deq.state.or.us/lq/cu/nwr/PortlandHarbor/docs/SourcePCBs.pdf)  “In rhesus monkey infants whose mothers were or had been exposed to Aroclor 1248 during gestation and lactation, behavioral testing showed hyperactivity and retarded learning ability….  These effects were reported at doses of about 0.006 mg Aroclor 1248/kg bw/day to the mothers.” (Ahlborg UG, Hanberg A, Kenne K. Risk Assessment of Polychlorinated Biphenyls (PCBs). Environmental Report in the Nord Series. Nord 26. Copenhagen: Nordic Council of Ministers, 1992.)  Assuming a recognized average weight of 5.3 kg (12 pounds) per female monkey, this works out to 0.032 mg per monkey per day, or a dose of less than one 800,000th of one ounce of Aroclor per day per gestating/lactating female monkey.   When considering the effects of 1/800,000th of an ounce of a PCB-containing product, also bear in mind that 600,000 tons of PCBs were produced in the U.S. between 1930 and 1977, that they are very stable and are contained in considerable equipment that is still in use (and sometimes leaking); they are also heavily present in landfills, which are a major source of emissions of toxins to the atmosphere (especially during fires), not to mention the landfills’ drainage to water supplies.  Although PCBs are no longer produced in the U.S. and have recently been banned in most countries, their continued presence in imported products is open to question.  Also, indoor air in houses with floors finished with PCB-containing wood finish have been found to contain high levels of PCBs (Environ Health. 2008; 7: 2. Published online 2008 January 17. doi: 10.1186/1476-069X-7-2  Rudel et al; licensee BioMed Central Ltd.  PCB-containing wood floor finish is a likely source of elevated PCBs in residents' blood, household air and dust: a case study of exposure Ruthann A Rudel, et al.)  And, at what seems to have been a typical rate of wide use of a chemical for a half century or more before determining that it is too toxic, one may reasonably wonder about the safety of the materials that are now being used in place of PCBs.  (Yes, most of the thousands of chemicals introduced into use in recent decades have not been tested for safety.)

 

To review:  Endocrine disruptors and mutagens can produce adverse neurological effects, especially during the period when the brain is developing.  Some of these effects can take place at or near relatively frequently-occurring background levels.  Infants are often likely to ingest or absorb toxins at far higher levels than adults, adjusted for body size.

 

 

Section 1.2.b.1 The Special Significance of Testosterone/Androgens in Development of the Brain, and Window(s) of Sensitivity

It is important to look into the specific hormones that, when subject to the effects of endocrine disruptors, can fail to perform important functions in neurological development.  According to one expert, "Sex steroid hormones (testosterone in males, estradiol and progesterone in females) play a role early in brain development in the "organization" of neural circuits…  A wide variety of neural processes are influenced by sex steroid hormones, including neurogenesis, …growth of the neuronal cell body, dendritic growth, differentiation and synapse formation….and neuronal excitability. "(l) (italics added)

 

According to another specialist, B.S. McEwen, ”Gonadal, adrenal, and thyroid hormones affect the brain directly, and the sensitivity to hormones begins in embryonic life….   ….any agent that disrupts normal hormone secretion can upset normal brain development. Likewise, exogenous substances that mimic the actions of natural hormones can also play havoc with CNS (central nervous system) development and differentiation." (m)  It may be noteworthy that gonadal hormones are the first of the various types mentioned by the author regarding their importance to the developing brain.

 

Other authors (S.B. Klein and B.M. Thorne) (n) point specifically to testosterone for the way it "clearly affects brain development."  They refer to the "critical period for the testosterone organizational effect" which apparently can take place only within a limited window of time while the brain is developing. They cite observations of male rats that are castrated after birth to remove their normal principal source of testosterone, followed by injections of testosterone at various later times.  Injections of testosterone during the first two days after birth were effective in leading to some specifically male rat behavior when adulthood was reached.  But the effectiveness of the replacement hormones in promoting normal male brain development rapidly declined to "little effect" when not administered until 13-14 days after birth.  Other researchers have said that "Androgens are thought to organize the male brain" (o) (testosterone is one of the androgens).

 

McEwen points out that testosterone has a developmental influence on the cortex (the part of the brain that  plays a key role in memory, attention, perceptual awareness, thought, language, and consciousness).(m)   Klein and Thorne also cite observations by Rhees and colleagues (1990) and Davis and colleagues (1995) of structural differences in adult rats' brains depending on presence or absence of testosterone at specific stages of early infancy.  (It should be pointed out here that, although testosterone is a predominantly male hormone, females also have some testosterone in their bodies, and it is important to development of the female brain also; just less so than in males.)  The validity of the concept of "critical windows of sensitivity" during neurological development is also accepted by the National Research Council of the National Academy of Sciences (p), and by authors writing for the EPA (q).  Wigle et al. refer to bimolecular research showing the dependence of fetal and child development on a complex orchestration of genes in specific cell types at different times.(r)

 

The importance of testosterone in infant brain development may help explain why far more boys than girls become mentally disabled, since testosterone's production is extremely vulnerable to disruption in male infants. It is produced in endocrine glands (testicles) that are uniquely exposed to effects of toxins in air, water, and diapers, often shielded on almost all sides by nothing more than a thin, permeable enclosure which provides only minimal protection from microscopic substances in the surrounding area.  All of the other endocrine glands have far greater shielding from environmental toxins. Exposure of the testicles to toxins from the environment is greatly amplified during the critical brain development period by the fact that infants are normally bathed in tubs, promoting soaking into the scrotum of substances that may have been (a) deposited into the tub from the air, cleaning agents, or runoff from shower curtains, (b) gathered onto the infant's body from the air, dioxin-containing diapers or soil, and/or (c) brought in via the water supply.  The same exposure of the testicles to dioxins (and other toxins) could take place when a boy spends time in a swimming pool or pond into which the toxins have settled out of the atmosphere, or in which neurological toxins (such as bromine – see below) are used as disinfectants. 

 

When considering the last sentences above, it is worth remembering from the preceding text the following:

(a) dioxins and at least one PAH are endocrine disruptors, which are known to (among other things) interfere with secretion of hormones;

(b) Endocrine disruptors can be absorbed from the environment through the skin, and

(c) “…any agent that disrupts normal hormone secretion can upset normal brain development."

 

Fig. 1.2Winter and colleagues plotted hormone levels in boys during normal postnatal development, showing relatively high levels of male hormones during part of infancy, before the hormones decline to the prepubertal range.(17)  This should receive very special attention, since those high levels at this stage are apparently not for purposes of stimulating reproductive development.  But as explained earlier in this section, male hormones do promote proper development of the male brain during infancy. And that crucial activity (binding to receptors in the brain to cause proper neurological development) is extremely vulnerable to interference by environmental toxins.

The above researchers refer to a four-month post-natal period after which the male hormones decline to the pre-pubertal level.  The timing as shown here could help determine when the "critical window(s)" occur, during which neurological development could be obstructed by interference with creation of male hormones or by interference with connections of hormones to receptors in the brain.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Should it be surprising that four to five times as many boys as girls are diagnosed with autism (u), considering that

a) development of the brain depends on the undisrupted effects of certain hormones (see early paragraphs of this section), and

b) those specific, crucial hormones are produced in boys in a location that is uniquely and extremely vulnerable to harm by external toxins?

 

In an article authored by a PhD at the CDC, it was pointed out that some recent studies have identified male-to-female ratios of autism as being double the four-to-one ratio often indicated in older studies.(t).   That provides reason for added focus on toxins that specifically affect male infants more than females. 

 

Although the above discussion focuses mainly on the very early life of a child (since that is the period of greatest neurological development), it should be pointed out that development of the brain continues into early adulthood <<ref>>, which means that serious attention should also be paid to minimizing time during which the scrotum of a developing boy soaks in water that could contain dioxins, which is to say most outdoor pools and lakes.  The same applies to bromine, which is a known neurological toxin (http://www.hpa.org.uk/webc/HPAwebFile/HPAweb_C/1246260027938  (HPA is  Health Protection Agency of the UK) Bromine Toxicological Overview) that has been coming into wider use as a substitute for chlorine in swimming pools and spas.  Like dioxins, bromine can be absorbed through the skin. (www.newsmaxhealth.com, Dr. Brownstein)  Even chlorine, since it is reactive, might well be harmful to testosterone (and therefore to development of the brain) if it soaks through the thin protective layer of skin surrounding the scrotum.

 

Aside from their role as endocrine disruptors in general, dioxins are known to affect male endocrine glands specifically, that is to say affecting the source of the testosterone that is essential to normal infant male brain development.  According to another CDC report, dioxins have been demonstrated in animal studies to have effects including neurotoxicity, teratogenicity (causing birth defects), altered transcription of genes, altered thyroid function, and testicular atrophy. (National Report on Human Exposure to Environmental Chemicals  Dioxin-Like Chemicals: Polychlorinated Dibenzo-p-dioxins, Polychlorinated Dibenzofurans, and Coplanar and Mono-ortho-substituted Polychlorinated Biphenyls   Centers for Disease Control and Prevention  Atlanta, GA    Accessed at   http://www.cdc.gov/exposurereport/data_tables/DioxinLikeChemicals_ChemicalInformation.html  Page updated April 2010)  According to researchers for the EPA, "In tests by at least two different research teams, dioxins were found to have effects on the male reproductive systems in rats tested, as follows: impaired testosterone synthesis, and possibly central nervous system sexual differentiation, feminization of male sexual behavior." (Environmental Endocrine Disruption:  An Effects Assessment and Analysis, by Thomas Crisp et al, EPA,  in Environmental Health Perspectives, Vol. 106, Feb. 1998, Supplement. P.27)  "   Scientists at the University of Wisconsin, on the basis of testing of rats, found that "if TCDD (dioxin) interferes with any of (various) processes during late gestation and/or early neonatal life, it could irreversibly demasculinize and feminize sexual behavior…in male rats in adulthood.(Developmental and Reproductive Toxicity of Dioxins and Related Compounds:  Cross-Species Comparisons" Richard E. Peterson et al, School of Pharmacy and Environmnental Toxicology Center, Univ. of Wisconsin   EPA/600/J-93/470 Critical Reviews in Toxicology, 1993)    "In mammals, postnatal functional alterations involving learning behavior and the developing male reproductive system appear to be the developmental events most sensitive to perinatal dioxin exposure."(Crisp et al., p.  324) 

 

Most of the research cited above was based on testing of laboratory animals, but there has also been research that found de-masculinization of human males resulting from infant exposure to similar toxins. (Section 1.6.b)

 

Dioxins have been found in bleached paper products, which include disposable diapers, usage of which has been becoming far more widespread during the same recent decades during which autism has also been increasing rapidly.  In that regard, keep in mind again that

a) dioxins and some other endocrine disruptors can be absorbed through the skin, and

b) glands that produce hormones which are important to male brain development are uniquely exposed to toxins that can be absorbed through skin. 

 

Section 1.2.b.2   Reasons for Special Concern about the De-masculinizing Effects of Various Recently-Prevalent Toxins:  Reduced Mental Development that Depends on Testosterone, and the Case of Japan

There are good reasons for special concern about the above-mentioned effects that have been demonstrated in tests with animals, quite aside from what first comes to mind.  The de-masculinizing effects observed in test animals are almost certainly a sign that testosterone levels had declined.  As indicated in Section 1.2.b.1, testosterone is an essential ingredient for normal brain development, and it would be especially important for development of the male brain.   When we see that mental impairment in children has gone from gender-equal to twice as high for males during recent decades (, and also that academic performance of young males has deteriorated (see Section 1.2.b.4-5), we should see special reason to look into anything that could be affecting neurological development in males specifically. 

 

The above declines in young human males are what one would expect from the scientifically-observed de-masculinizing effects of recently-widespread toxins, combined with knowledge of the importance of testosterone in mental development.  But the probable effects on males go well beyond development of mental abilities, as will be explained.  Japan (with a long-term breastfeeding rate that is among the very highest in the world – see Section 1.2.p.1) would be a logical country to look at for an especially sensitive demonstration of effects of toxins that are widespread in modern developed regions, since that country is both densely populated (ten times the density of the U.S.) and industrial.  According to a 2010 article in The Atlantic, “Japan is in a national panic over the rise of the “herbivores,” the cohort of young men who are… gardening, organizing dessert parties, acting cartoonishly feminine, and declining to have sex.” (July/August 2010 ATLANTIC MAGAZINE  The End of Men  By Hanna Rosin)  The literal translation applied to the Japanese word for the young men who fit this description is “grass-eating boys,” and lack of interest in sex is a consistent theme in descriptions applied to them. (Herbivorous men, where's the beef? www.japantimes.co.jp ;  Wall Street Journal  January 13, 2011, No Sex, Please, We’re Young Japanese Men  Yuri Tomikawa)   Multiple surveys suggest that about 60 percent of young Japanese men — in their 20s and early 30s — identify themselves as herbivores. The lead character in a popular television show has secret passions that include sewing, baking and crocheting clothes for his stuffed animals. (NPR, Nov. 25, 2009)   A Japanese advertising-affiliated consulting company applies the 60 percent figure to men in their early 20s and a roughly 42 percent figure to those men aged 23 to 34, indicating a gradual transition that may have been taking place as the present-day young men were developing as infants during the 1980’s and early 1990’s.  These men are also described as “often close to their mothers.”  “They're more likely to buy gifts for their mothers than for their significant others."  (New York Magazine, Oct. 25, 2010   Japan Now Ruled by Gentle Metrosexual ‘Herbivores’ By Nitasha Tiku)   “Men are now leading purchasers (in Japan) of hair products, make-up, fashion accessories and manicures.” (http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/asia/japans-generation-xx-1704155.html  June 13, 2009)   As part of the considerable national discussion about this development (with special concern due to Japan’s current very low birth rate and shrinking population since 2005), there is much speculation about possible causes:  “poor communication skills,” or result of “efforts to make the workplace more egalitarian,” among others (Slate:   The Herbivore's Dilemma  Japan panics about the rise of "grass-eating men," who shun sex, don't spend money, and like taking walks.  Alexandra Harney, June 15, 2009).

 

The trends are as noteworthy as the basic figures.   According to a study conducted in September  2010 and published by the Japan Family Planning Association (a government agency), 36% of males aged 16 to 19 surveyed described themselves as “indifferent or averse” towards having sex, and that figure was twice as high as the result of the same survey conducted only two years earlier.  And that 36% figure compared with only 6% of 30-to-34-year-old men being disinterested in sex. (above-cited WSJ article).  The head of the agency conducting the survey, speaking on Japan’s national public radio station, provided his own explanation:  “The findings seem to reflect the increasing shallowness of human relations in today’s busy society.”

 

Yes, that must be the reason, plummeting sexual desire in young males must be attributable to a reduced search for deep meaning in human relations.  Or could it be the “poor communication skills”?  Then again, it might be the egalitarian workplace.  Other observers’ suggestions include the effect of a lagging economy, or rebellion against the ways of the previous generation. (Surely it’s clear that a soft economy or rebellion against the parents’ generation normally leads to mass loss of interest in sex, isn’t it?)   Why not think about the fact that certain chemicals widespread in a densely-populated, industrial environment (and concentrated in breast milk in such an area) have been found in tests with laboratory animals to cause de-masculinization? (see Section 1.2.b.1, near end of section, and Section 1.2.d)  This should be especially of interest to the country that may have had the highest rate of extended breastfeeding of any developed country in the world in recent decades (see Section 1.2.p).  There is nothing else on a par with laboratory tests with animals as a means of predicting effects of chemicals on humans.   The animals have basically the same organs that humans have, and such testing is recognized to be good (though sometimes imperfect) at predicting the effects that specific chemicals will have on humans.  Is there any reason to think that the scientifically-observed effects of these chemicals are not presently showing up in humans, given that these chemicals have been increasing in the environment and are concentrated in breast milk? 

 

Section 1.2.b.3   Time Trend of Breastfeeding in Japan, as Related to Birth of a Generation of mostly-Effeminate Young Men

After World War II, breastfeeding in Japan became rare.  In 1974-75, the Japanese government in cooperation with the World Health Organization began promoting breastfeeding.  By 2001, Japan’s long-term-exclusive breastfeeding rate had become one of the highest in the world (see Section 1.2.p.1) Deference to authority is very deeply engrained in Japanese culture, so unusually great compliance with the government’s promotion of breastfeeding should not have been surprising.  In trying to estimate what the curve of the transition from low- to high-breastfeeding looked like (in absence of actual historical data), we can consider the following:  An observer writing in 2003 pointed out (regarding the grandmothers visiting with the new Japanese mothers who were breastfeeding in 2003) that “now most grandmothers (in Japan) have no breastfeeding experience” (Breastfeeding trend in Japan:  Japanese Culture and Breastfeeding  Cynthia D. Payne, IBCLC, quoting Hiroko Hongo, MSW, IBCLC and Kazue Nakamura MD, IBCLC  Report from the 2003 LLLI Conference From: NEW BEGINNINGS, Vol. 20 No. 5, September-October 2003, pp. 181, accessed at http://www.lalecheleague.org/nb/nbsepoct03p181.html); looking back a generation from 2003, this implies that breastfeeding was still relatively rare through most of the 1970’s and probably not widespread even into the early 1980’s.  But it should be safe to assume that Japan’s transition to a high rate of breastfeeding was well underway by the mid-to-late1980’s, since it had reached a very high level by 2001.

 

In assessing the likely effects of breastfeeding, environmental factors can be even more important than actual rates of breastfeeding, in that they determine the levels of toxins that are built up in a woman’s body by the time she excretes those toxins in breast milk (see Sections 1.2.u, 1.2.w).  Japan, smaller than the state of California but second in the world in use of fossil fuels (as of the 1980’s), is both very industrial and congested, meaning high levels of environmental toxins are emitted close to a high percentage of the population.  Japan’s atmosphere suffers not only from what is domestically generated but also from pollution drifting over from China.  In 1984 it was reported that Japan had more than 85,000 recognized victims of environmental pollution, with an estimated rate of increase of 6 percent a year.  A 1989 survey found that 52% of Japanese citizens felt that environmental pollution was as bad as or worse than in the past.  (U.S. Library of Congress, at http://countrystudies.us/japan/49.htm).

 

So it is probably safe to assume that, by the mid-to-late 1980’s, consumption of breast milk by Japanese infants was well on its way to becoming among the very highest in the developed world.  And it is almost certain that typical breast milk in Japan at that time would have included unusually high and growing levels of neuro-developmental toxins, including toxins that are known to cause de-masculinization of males. (These would have been toxins of the same types that became concentrated in breast milk in most developed economies during recent decades, just in higher quantities in Japan -- see Sections 1.2.a, 1.2.b.1, 1.9).  And then, 20+ years later, a generation of young Japanese men has grown up who are mostly effeminate.  Should that be a surprising outcome?  Do people really have to grasp for implausible, non-biological explanations for the decline in masculinity such as “increasing shallowness of human relations in today’s busy society,” or “poor communication skills”? 

 

1.2.b.4  Other International Trends probably Related to Exposures of Children to Chemicals that are Increasing in the Environment

As mentioned, testosterone levels have been found to be lowered in laboratory animals by exposure as infant animals to certain toxins that are concentrated in breast milk and that have been increasing in the environment in developed countries. (see Sections 1.2.a, 1.2.b.1, 1.9)  Testosterone is also known to be important in development of the brain, especially the male brain. (Section 1.2.b.1In the United Kingdom, a considerable national discussion started in the mid-1990’s about the “genuine problem of under-achievement among boys,” quoting the then Secretary of State for Education.  “Her Majesty’s Chief Inspector (said) that the failure of boys was ‘one of the most disturbing problems we face in the whole educational system’ ” (https://www.education.gov.uk/publications/eOrderingDownload/RR636.pdf)   Data regarding a “science reasoning test” that has been given over a 30-year period to 11- and 12-year-olds in the U.K. is of interest.  On one question, boys showed a 69% decline in correct answers over those years, while girls showed only a 37% decline.  The author relating this pointed out that, although the drop in correct answers to this particular question was especially dramatic, “the overall pattern as between results at the beginning and the end of the study, and between boys and girls is similar for the other questions in the test.” (http://www.hepi.ac.uk./files/41Maleandfemaleparticipation.pdf, see item 69 also).   This is very much in line with reports about development among boys in the U.S. (see the introductory summary)   As explained earlier, the effects of neuro-developmental toxins that have been increasing in the environment in recent decades affect infants in general, but (by especially affecting testosterone levels and the mental development that depends on testosterone) they affect males more than females.

 

Performance in school is clearly related not only to intelligence but also to ability of a child to concentrate and pay attention to his work. Spending on ADHD medications for use by children under age 5 increased 349% between 2001 and 2004, and use of those medications among all children was increasing at the rate of 23% per year. (The Minds of Boys: Saving our Sons from Falling Behind in School and Life, Gurian and Stevens, Jossey-Bass, 2005, p. 215)   Summing up the situation, Gurian and Stevens (who may have studied the matter more than any others) state, “Overall, it’s clear that something is going on among our children, especially our sons, in the areas of brain disorders…. Over two thirds of children labeled learning-disabled and 90 percent of children labeled behaviorally disabled are boys.  As the learning or behavioral disability becomes more severe, boys constitute an increasingly higher statistical number.” (Gurian et al, pp. 216, 219)  About a third of all boys in U.S. schools are considered to have a learning or brain disorder. (judging from the statement in Gurian and Stevens that just under one-quarter of students are considered to be in those categories, about 70% of whom are boys, which would mean that .7 x 24 = 17 out of 100 total students would be boys with the problems, or one third of boys).

 

Other international data point in the same direction.  According to the Programme for International Student Assessment, 2009, the differences between 15-year-old boys and girls have become especially high in Norway, Sweden and Finland, reaching an average 50.2-point difference in favor of girls (on a test with average scores of about 500) in reading, interpretation and evaluation tests, compared with an average difference of only 33 points among students in France, Belgium and Northern Ireland (information for Ireland was not provided, so data for Northern Ireland is used here in its place).  Note that the first group, with the higher gap between boys and girls, is in the highest-breastfeeding group of western European countries (see Figure 1.9), and the second group, with the smaller gap, is a low-breastfeeding group of countries.  In math and science, the former average advantage that boys had in aptitudes in those subjects has given way to a 2.8-point average advantage in favor of girls in the high-breastfeeding Western European countries.  Boys in the equivalent low-breastfeeding countries have held onto an 11.5-point average advantage over girls. (http://www.nfer.ac.uk/nfer/publications/NPDZ01/NPDZ01.pdf)

 

1.2.b.5  Probable Effects visible in Higher Education

In almost all countries of the OECD, women have caught up with and surpassed men in enrollment in higher education since the 1990s.  (Education at a Glance 2008  OECD INDICATORS Chart C4-3  www.oecd.org/edu/eag2008The inequality has continued to increase in recent years, at least in the U.K. (U.K. HEPI report, item 84)   OECD members were ranked in order of how far women exceeded men in their countries’ enrollments in higher education.  The group of four European countries that are lowest in breastfeeding (Ireland, France, UK and Belgium) had an average position of fifteenth from the top in this ranking (indicating smaller male-female differences in enrollment), whereas the three highest-breastfeeding countries (see Figure 1.9) had an average rank of fourth from the highest.  Norway, the country with the top-of-the-chart breastfeeding rate, also had the very highest ratio by which women in any country exceeded men in higher education enrollment. (Education at a Glance 2008  OECD INDICATORS CHART C4.3 www.oecd.org/edu/eag2008

 

But the male-female differences in enrollment in higher education may well understate the actual differences between the two sexes in present-day mental abilities.  In an American study published in 2006 of the growing female advantage in college completion, the authors observed that “the female advantage over males is largely attributable to the superior performance of women in college…”   They point out that this generalization applies less to certain minorities than to whites, but the general finding is clear that females “do better in college.”  The authors point out that this performance advantage starts in middle school and high school, but only becomes especially conspicuous in college via ”the higher dropout rate from 4-year colleges for males.”  Tracing the history of male-female mental differences, they point out, “Using data from six U.S. national probability samples spanning 1960 through 1992, Hedges and Nowell (1995) found … a gradual reduction of the male advantage in math and science tests and no reduction in the female advantage in tests of reading and writing ability.”  Given recent trends, college admissions officers “are considering affirmative action for male applicants.” (The Growing Female Advantage in College Completion: The Role of Family Background and Academic Achievement  C. Buchanan et al., American Sociological Review, Vol. 71, No. 4 Aug. 2006)  That sort of thing may have been contributing to keeping the female-male enrollment ratios from becoming even more imbalanced than they already are, in most countries, at the expense of admitting a significant number of males who aren’t able to succeed at university-level work.

 

1.2.b.6  Possible Effects of these Toxins in Leading to Alternative Sexual Orientations or at least Reduced Signs of Masculinity

In various countries of the developed world, extremely close associations are found between high levels of breastfeeding and apparently-high levels of homosexuality.  Section 1.2.v provides details about the many associations that appear to indicate effects of toxins known to be concentrated in breast milk in contributing to non-normal sexual orientations.  One observer has found many examples in current American pop culture of absence of traditional masculinity in the principal male characters depicted in American movies, advertising and novels. (July/August 2010 ATLANTIC MAGAZINE  The End of Men  By Hanna Rosin)     Informal observations by this author and a recruited observer have led to a very tentative finding that just over half as many 17-year-old boys in the U.S. currently would be able to grow a beard as was the case in the 1960’s.  See Section 1.2.b.3 about the new generation of very conspicuously un-masculine young men in Japan.

 

 

Section 1.2.c   Even Low Exposure to Dioxins can Cause Developmental Harm:  Media attention regarding dioxins normally centers on their cancer-causing effects (which are either "known" or "probable" depending on which particular governmental body is speaking).  But close reading of the CDC's web pages on dioxins will reveal statements indicating that dioxins are also closely connected with developmental harm, even at low doses.  "The results of the oral animal studies suggest that the most sensitive effects (effects that will occur at the lowest doses) are immune, endocrine, and developmental effects."  (found at http://www.atsdr.cdc.gov/phs/phs.asp?id=361&tid=63 , Section 1.5) The CDC web page continues:  "It is reasonable to assume that these (effects of low dioxin doses on development, as observed in animals) will also be the most sensitive effects in humans."   

 

In addition to the previously-mentioned special vulnerabilities of infants to toxins in general, their brains are particularly subject to damage by dioxins in particular, for the following reason:  Dioxins are "lipophilic" (attracted to fat, which is the major content of nerve tissue, including the brain).  "Lipophilic xenobiotics (chemical compounds foreign to the organism) may more readily penetrate the central nervous system in infants and young children until the blood-brain barrier reaches maturity in the third year of life." (The symptoms of autism are typically observable before age 3, so the brain may well have already been permanently damaged by incoming toxins before the blood-brain barrier has matured.)  Also, "...infants may have decreased excretion and clearance of xenobiotics, prolonging half-life and potentially increasing toxicity." (parenthetical expressions added) (Protecting Children from Harmful Chemical Exposures Chemical Safety and Children’s Health Prepared by: IFCS FSC Working Group Chaired by Hungary  Chemical Safety in a Vulnerable World IFCS/FORUM-IV/11 INF 7 October 2003 FORUM IV Fourth Session of the Intergovernmental Forum on Chemical Safety Bangkok, Thailand, p. 9 accessed at http://www.who.int/ifcs/documents/forums/forum4/en/11inf_en.pdf)

 

Section 1.2.d   Breast Milk as a Source of Toxins to Infants: <<coordinate w/ Sec. 1.9.11,  1.9.9>>  An EPA document estimates that an average breastfeeding infant receives 20 to 60 times the dioxin toxic equivalency compared with an average adult. (http://www.cqs.com/epa/exposure/part1_v1.htm)   According to the National Academy of Sciences, a leading U.S. government regulatory agency points out regarding dioxin exposure from breastfeeding that "the average daily intake by the infant over the first year of suckling would be 87 times the adult daily intake."  The NAS apparently saw no reason to disagree with that estimate. (National Academies Press: Health Risks from Dioxin and Related Compounds: Evaluation of the EPA Reassessment (2006), Board on Environmental Studies and Toxicology, National Academy of Sciences; the original source is not quoted directly because it is part of a draft, not for quoting)   As indicated in Section 1.7.3, one study found that PCBs in breast milk received by infants were effectively received in concentrations 30 times as high as the concentrations in the food ingested by the mothers.  Also in that section is presented information about PBDEs in breast milk growing very rapidly in recently decades and being especially high in the U.S.  "Breast-feeding for 6 months or more is predicted to result in an accumulated (dioxin) exposure 6 times higher than a formula-fed infant during the infant's first year of life.." (EPA Home/Research/Environmental Assessment: An Evaluation of Infant Exposure to Dioxin-Like Compounds in Breast Milk)   Also note the following quote from a web page of the State of California OEHHA:  "Current background levels of human exposure to dioxins in particular are within the range at which various toxic responses have been observed in animals."  (in Prioritization of Toxic Air Contaminants - Children’s Environmental Health Protection Act, October, 2001:  Dioxins)  Current background levels of dioxins therefore are such that toxic effects can be expected in humans, based on studies with animals.  And breastfeeding infants, with their special vulnerability as their brains are developing, and with their incomplete defense mechanisms, are receiving exposure that vastly exceeds that of the average adult.  Not to mention the fact that some humans are far more sensitive to toxins than others.

 A German study produced data in line with the above, finding that intake of dioxins was up to 50 times higher in breast-fed infants compared with formula-fed, and also that high proportions of the dioxins were intestinally absorbed by the breastfed infants.  At 11 months of age, the dioxin toxicity-equivalent concentrations in the formula-fed infants were less than 25% of maternal values and about 10 times lower than in the infants that were breast-fed for six to seven months. (Intake, fecal excretion, and body burden of polychlorinated dibenzo-p-dioxins and dibenzofurans in breast-fed and formula-fed infants. Abraham K, Knoll A, Ende M, Päpke O, Helge H.  Children's Hospital, Virchow-Klinikum, Humboldt-Universität Berlin, Germany).

 

In order to appreciate the fact that typical breast milk in nursing mothers these days is very different from that in earlier times, one should be aware of the following:­­­

1) Estimates from various studies suggest that rates of dioxin deposition in the environment (mostly from the air) increased more than 10-fold between1930s and the late 1960s. (Regulatory Toxicology and Pharmacology, 37 (2003) 202 217 Dioxin risks in perspective: past, present, and future  Hays and  Aylward  at  http://acdrupal.evergreen.edu/envirohealth/system/files/Dioxin+risks+in+perspective.pdf )  Mercury deposition has also increased substantially, and continues to rise.   Chemical “body burden” studies found 167 different contaminants in the blood and urine of nine adult volunteers and an average of 200 contaminants in umbilical cord blood samples from each of 10 babies. In addition to pesticides, plastics and industrial chemicals, other compounds detected in these studies include solvents of all kinds, and waste byproducts from burning coal, fuel, and garbage. (Challenged Conceptions:  ENVIRONMENTAL CHEMICALS AND FERTILITY" 2005,  a publication of Stanford University School of Medicine, p. 4)

2) The American Toxic Substance and Disease Registry says that "eating food, primarily meat, dairy products, and fish, makes up more than 90% of the intake of CDDs (dioxins) for the general population." (http://www.atsdr.cdc.gov/toxfaqs/tf.asp?id=363&tid=63)  Farm animals and fish ingest and build up dioxins in their tissues largely as a result of what they eat, meaning vegetation and sediment onto which the greatly-increased levels of dioxins and mercury from the environment have been deposited; in addition there is "biomagnification" as toxins are passed up the food chain (via animal products included in the feed of farm animals, and also via smaller fish being eaten by larger fish).

3) "Meat consumption has more than doubled in the United States in the last 50 years."  ( "Paying a Price for Loving Red Meat" in Personal Health, by Jane E Brody, New York Times: April 27, 2009)

4) Regarding dairy products as sources of dioxins, it should be emphasized that fat is the component of animal matter to which dioxins especially gravitate.  Therefore butter, eggs, most cheeses, and whole milk, as well as lard (commonly found in bakery products) are very much on the list of significant sources of dioxins in a typical diet.  The average dioxin content per ounce of dairy foods is much higher than in earlier times, following the increases of the toxins in the environment.  That is especially important for people whose typical meals are high in dairy fat content, such as (a) those who eat typical Scandinavian diets, and (b) children and others who eat meals consisting to a great extent of pizza or other foods with high cheese content or other animal fat content. 

 

Some agencies downplay the significance of the extraordinarily high dosage of dioxins received by infants in breast milk, pointing out that, if one looks at that dosage spread out over a typical 70-year lifespan, it becomes a relatively minor addition to the typical total lifetime exposure to dioxins.  The problem with that viewpoint is that permanent, life-impairing damage can occur during infancy while effective exposure levels are many times higher than the later lifetime average, early levels that are especially high in relation to the infant's immature defense mechanisms and vulnerable stage of neurological development.

 

Dioxins are far from the only neurological toxin of concern contained within breast milk.  Quoting from page 12 of the above IFCS FSC Working Group paper, "Heavy metals such as methylmercury and lead are also secreted in breast milk."   "Several toxic effects on the thyroid system or on neurodevelopment have been reported in experimental animals exposed to PBDEs. It is likely that human exposure is predominantly through the ingestion of contaminated food and/or mother's milk." ((Shokuhin Eiseigaku Zasshi. 2004 Aug;45(4):175-83. PubMed – NCBI   Polybrominated diphenyl ether flame retardants in foodstuffs and human milk. Akutsu K, Hori S.  Osaka Prefectural Institute of Public Health: 1-3-69, Nakamichi,Osaka 537-0025, Japan)  Remember from Section 1.2.b.1 that increases or decreases in thyroid levels have been reported to "cause irreversible neurological damage" during development of the brain.  Also note, as will be mentioned in Section 1.7.1, that samples of breast milk in the U.S. were found to have levels of PBDEs 10 to 100 times as high as those found in humans in Europe.  Also note in Section 1.7.1 about anti-androgenic, testosterone-reducing effects of PBDEs

 

Bromine is another neurological toxin excreted in breast milk (CAS No: 7726-95-6)  Health-based Reassessment of Administrative Occupational Exposure LimitsCommittee on Updating of Occupational Exposure Limits, a committee of the Health Council of the Netherlands); bear in mind that a mother could absorb bromine through her skin while in a pool or spa treated with bromine as a disinfectant.

 

Pesticides also, including some that are used residentially, have been widely found in breast milk. (http://ehpnet1.niehs.nih.gov/docs/2001/109p75-88lakind/abstract.html Environmental Health Perspectives, Vol. 109, No.1, Jan. 2001).  Section 1.6 will provide details about connections between various pesticides to which fetuses and infants are exposed and (a) autism, (b) other changes in social behavior and brain development, (c) attention deficit disorders and hyperactivity disorders, (d) feminization of males and (e) masculinization of females.

 

Most of the research that has found developmental harm to result from exposure to these chemicals was based on tests with animals, but “the chemical structures of hormones and their receptors are very similar among vertebrates, including humans. A chemical that binds with an estrogen receptor in mice is almost certainly going to bind with an estrogen receptor in people.” (Challenged Conceptions:  ENVIRONMENTAL CHEMICALS AND FERTILITY" 2005,  a publication of Stanford University School of Medicine, p. 10)

 

 

Section 1.2.p   Possible Effects of Variations in Breastfeeding Levels, viewed Internationally

Section 1.2.p.1  Possible Effects On Lifespans and Health in Five Major World Regions

Human breast milk is known to have several ingredients that are especially nutritious for human infants, and various alternative milk formulas for infants are thought to have disadvantages by comparison.  Two generations ago the case would probably have been strong in favor of extended, exclusive breastfeeding.  But the world has changed since then. 

 

An article in Scientific American aptly refers to “that most essential proof of robustness—the power to stay alive.” (November 2010, “Why Women Live Longer”).  By that standard, which seems reasonable, more breastfeeding apparently takes a back seat to less breastfeeding in all major regions of the world in which comparisons can reasonably be made except Sub-Saharan Africa.  But other health measures will also be presented later showing that breastfeeding does not provide overall health advantages over the course of a lifetime.

 

Description: brefdinttl.bmpFig. 1.8

 

 

Among nations, low rates of breastfeeding apparently do not detract from long-term health, and may even help:

Irish breastfeeding rates are by far the lowest in Western Europe and North America.  French and Belgian rates are second and third from the lowest in this measure of "ever breastfed."  (chart from  OECD Family database www.oecd.org/els/social/family/database)

 

See below for how long-lived the Irish, French and Belgians are in relation to other countries, including the countries that are high in breastfeeding rates.

 

Fig. 1.9

This chart from the World Health Organization’s website shows long-term data indicating Norway and Sweden as European countries with very high breastfeeding rates.  Finland’s data on this chart appear significantly below the top levels, but an “expert study” carried out in 1984 found Finland’s breastfeeding rates to be the highest in Europe at that time. (Verbreitung, Dauer und zeitlicher Trend des Stilles in Deutschland, Bundesgesundheitsblatt Gesundheitsforschung Gesundheitsschutz. 2007 May-Jun;50(5-6), p. 624)  Germany’s rates aren’t shown in this chart, but data from a German study show that country’s 3-month breastfeeding rate to look like very much like a smoothed-out version of Finland’s for the years 1985-2005. (same document,Abb. 2).   Separate WHO data indicate that, for the stricter standard of exclusive breastfeeding for six months, Germany and Japan have what may be the developed world’s highest known breastfeeding rates at six months after birth (both considerably exceeding Finland’s rate; such data not available for Norway or Sweden). (http://apps.who.int/ghodata/?vid=9200&theme=country).  Japan’s  2005 “ever-breastfed” rate of about 97%, as shown in Figure 1.8, should also be noted.  Switzerland’s rates also aren’t shown on this chart, but a 1994 study showed that 92% of Swiss mothers initiated breastfeeding and by four months 48% were exclusively breastfeeding, both of which figures place that country in the higher breastfeeding category. (Breastfeeding in countries of the European Union and EFTA: current and proposed recommendations, rationale, prevalence, duration and trends Agneta Yngve et al., Public Health Nutrition: 4(2B),  p. 641)

 

Denmark, Portugal, Spain, and Austria, are all (at least until recently) a step below the highest level, which we will call “medium high.”  Italy appears to have gone through a transition from medium low to medium high.  Note that, by the early 1990’s, Denmark appears to have reached the highest-level group by this particular measurement, but has only one data point indicating that; however, the 2005 standard for “ever breastfed” (figure 1.8) shows Denmark to be second only to Norway, at 98%.

 

France, Ireland, Belgium and the UK are shown here as having low rates.  There is obviously not much data here for France and Ireland, but the LaLeche League’s website’s data shows Ireland’s breastfeeding rates to be by far the lowest of any European country for which they provide data, and it shows France as being the only country that is close to Ireland’s bottom rank for breastfeeding percentage at initiation.  Figure 1.8 (above) from the OECD shows that also.  Luxembourg and the Netherlands, being a step above the low group, form a grouping that we will call “medium low.”

 

Since practices like breast feeding are part of culture, passed down through the generations, we will be looking at data such as these and considering it to be reasonable to think that, when considering a large number of countries, breastfeeding rates for high-breastfeeding and low-breastfeeding countries were on the average also either relatively higher or lower in years that preceded the currently-available data.  The rationale is summed up in the principal conclusion of a study with 909 participants in France (researchers were seeking ways to encourage breastfeeding in France but were finding resistance resulting from deeply-ingrained cultural feelings):  "The results of this study showed a strong impact of society and cultural norms on feeding choice." (Birth. 2008 Dec;35(4):303-12. Attributions of breastfeeding determinants in a French population. Hernández PT, Callahan S.). 

 

There was a rapid upward trend in breastfeeding prevalence in Europe during the 1980’s and 1990’s, as shown in Figure 1.9.   As is seen in Figure 1b, the 1970’s were a period of rapid growth in the U.S. rate of breastfeeding, and the period of increases in other western countries also began in the 1970s. (Tides in Breastfeeding Practice, M.M. Coates, Jones and Bartlett Publishers, LLC p. 62-63)   Norway’s rate doesn’t appear to have increased in Figure1.9, but that is only because the data on this chart don’t go back far enough in the case of Norway; a separate WHO document states that Norway’s rate in 1969 was only 25%-30%, rising to 80% by 1985. (Fleischer Michaelsen K et al.,  Feeding and Nutrition of Infants and Young Children: Guidelines for the WHO European Region, with Emphasis on the former Soviet Countries. Copenhagen, World Health Organization, 2003)

 

If formula feeding of infants were to be a long-term disadvantage to health, the average lifespans of Irish, French, Belgian and UK citizens would be expected to be below average.  But that is not at all the case.  According to the U.S. Central Intelligence Agency's "World Fact Book", the average of the life expectancies at birth for those countries (at 80.4) is longer than the average for the European Union countries (79.8), and  also slightly higher than the 80.2 average of the ten medium-high and high-breastfeeding-rate European countries. 

 

(For reference to U.S. data, (a) all of those countries' life expectancies are significantly longer than that of the U.S., and (b) the U.S. has a substantially higher rate of breastfeeding than that of Ireland, France, Belgium or U.K.)

 

Average lifespans for the high vs. low breastfeeding groups in other major world regions will be presented here, using breastfeeding data mainly from the website of the LaLeche League and average lifespan data from the CIA’s World Fact Book.  Middle East and North Africa:  the 6 countries with the lowest breastfeeding rates, ranging from 5% to 18%, have an average lifespan of 73.7; the two countries with the highest rates (both 56%) have an average lifespan of 71.7.   Asia:  the 6 countries with the lowest rates, ranging from 2% to 24%, have an average lifespan of 72.5; the six countries with the highest rates (including South Korea), ranging from 53% to 99%, have an average lifespan of 70.3.  Latin America:  the 4 lowest-breastfeeding countries, ranging from 5% to 19% (excluding the tiny, atypical former British colony, Belize), have an average lifespan of 75.6; the three highest-breastfeeding countries, with rates of 33% to 77%, have an average lifespan of 73.8.  Eastern Europe is not considered here on the grounds that the post-Soviet-era disruption would have excessively reduced the meaningfulness of any data, and the available data are conflicting.   North America does not have enough separate countries to allow valid comparison.  That leaves Sub-Saharan Africa, where the six high-breastfeeding countries (with rates ranging from 52% to 90%) have an average lifespan of 57.0, barely exceeding the average lifespan of 56.4 for the 17 countries with breastfeeding rates ranging from 1% to 14%.  The advantages of breast milk over the locally-available alternatives in much of Africa might have been expected to lead to a more significant lead than that.

 

The reader is invited to carefully consider the above and to try to think of any reasons why the data don’t imply an advantage to less breastfeeding as opposed to more, in most of the world. There might be underlying causes that explain the differences, just as there are underlying factors that lead separately to both the low breastfeeding and the high illness rates in the same households in the studies cited by the Surgeon General.  It was easy to find the underlying conditions (low income and smoking) that explained why there were not necessarily cause-and-effect relationships in most (possibly all) of the cases of the “health risks” alleged by the Surgeon General.   When considering the average lifespan data, remember what was explained in Section 1.1.b.2 about the probable long-run benefits of having an immune system that has received moderate challenges during an infant’s development and has therefore been stimulated to develop while it can best do so.  That is to say, an immune system that received stimuli that weren’t preemptively overcome by externally-originating substances (antibodies in breast milk) before the infant’s own developing immune system received stimulation.  This author eagerly solicits any reader’s thoughts as to what else could be underlying causes of the nearly world-wide indications of beneficial effects of bottle-feeding.  Please send any thoughts to dm@pollutionaction.org .

 

 

Only Three Countries appear to Compete with Norway and Sweden for having the Highest Long-term Breastfeeding Rates in the Developed World:

Before leaving this section and Figure 1.9, we should focus on which countries hold the very top ranks in breastfeeding rates in the developed world:   As of this writing, data equivalent to that of Figure 1.9 is not available for Japan, but Figure 1.8 shows Japan close to the top with about 97% “ever breastfeeding”, and 2001 WHO data related to a far stricter standard (“exclusively breastfed for the first six months of life”) is available, according to which Japan has a 21% rate, much higher than the equivalent 15% rate for high-breastfeeding Finland; no “exclusively-breastfed for six months” data is available for Norway or Sweden. (http://apps.who.int/ghodata/?vid=11200&theme=country In the absence of comparable data for those other countries, note that Japan could be essentially tied for the highest position in the “exclusively breastfed for 1st six months” rate among the developed countries for which this data is available. And that is combined with an almost-at-the-top position at initiation. This is especially significant in that Japan is industrial, has unusually high population density (10 times that of the U.S.), and is downwind from the pollution of eastern China, meaning that exposure of women to Japan’s environment will almost certainly cause breast milk in that country to have very unusually high concentrations of neuro-developmental toxins.  See Section 1.2.b.2 regarding what many people consider to be a very bad outcome in Japan, chronologically following Japan’s transition from low breastfeeding to high breastfeeding.

 

As indicated early in this section, Germany (at 22%) also holds a very top-level position according to the 6-month exclusive breastfeeding standard.

 

One study indicates a very high rate for South Korea as of 1979: “Of these countries (including South Korea) the percentage of ever-married women who had breastfed in the last closed interval was between 94-99%...  South Korea also has the highest level of breastfeeding.”  (Breast-feeding in some developing countries  Ahmad MEgypt Popul Fam Plann Rev. 1979 Jun-Dec;13(1-2):168-86.)   Another study, published in 2007, estimated 20% exclusive breastfeeding after six months, which is very high for that type and duration. (Public Health Nutrition: 11(3), 225–229 DOI: 10.1017/S136898000700047X  Breast-feeding in South Korea: factors influencing its initiation and duration  Woojin Chung1 et al.)

 

 

 

Section 1.2.p.2   Some Additional Examples that Shed Light on Breastfeeding’s Alleged Health Benefits to the Infant

This chart is of special interest because it highlights the kind of thing that is omitted from the Surgeon General’s listing of conditions that are associated with bottle feeding.  The Surgeon General points out that type 2 diabetes is higher among bottle-fed children.  As mentioned, she failed to acknowledge that low-income conditions in the bottle-feeding group could well be the underlying, real cause of that elevated level of diabetes type 2.  Another logical question that comes up is, what about type 1 diabetes?  This chart shows the answer to that question.  The high-breastfeeding Scandinavian countries can’t be missed, bunched at the high end of the type 1 diabetes rates, in this data set that is omitted from the Surgeon General’s presentation.  The average incidence for the higher-breastfeeding countries is 25.1, and if it’s restricted to the highest-breastfeeding countries, the incidence is 36.08. (no data for Switzerland and Austria)  The average incidence for the lower-breastfeeding countries is 17.95 (no data for Belgium and Luxembourg)  Does this give a clue about how evidence is selected or excluded on the basis of whether or not it leads to the pre-determined conclusions of the proponents of maximum breastfeeding?  There are obviously numerous illnesses that were also not included among those listed by the Surgeon General in the comparison between bottle-fed and breast-fed children, and this chart may provide insight into the kind of data that would be found for many conditions that didn’t make it onto the list.

 

 

Other effects of breastfeeding.   The Surgeon General presents data, as subject as it is to error, only concerning associations between certain physical conditions and bottle feeding. That is certainly not for lack of studies trying to find associations between mental development and bottle feeding vs. breastfeeding.  The various studies on this subject have apparently generally failed to find benefits to mental development resulting from breastfeeding.  In that regard, the reader should bear in mind that a finding that “breastfeeding is not protective” is apparently as far as studies in this area are ever expected to depart from finding breastfeeding to be beneficial. (see Section 1.1.b.5)  That is probably also as far as studies in this area ever do go away from finding beneficial effects of breastfeeding, no matter how far a thorough processing of the data would lead if the analysis weren’t brought to a halt upon finding no beneficial effect of breastfeeding.  So it is important to look at whatever data can shed some light on the matter. 

 

As mentioned elsewhere, the state that has the second highest rate of autism in the United States, at two times the national average rate (Oregon), has the second highest rate of breastfeeding in the U.S. (see Section 1.2.x.1)  The states with the highest and third-highest rates of autism in the U.S. (Minnesota and Maine -- Sections 1.2.s.7, 1.2.x.1), and the state with the highest level of autism in the entire southern half of the U.S. (California), are also among the states that are highest in breastfeeding rates.  Every one of the seven U.S. states with the lowest rates of breastfeeding are in the bottom third of states ranked according to prevalence of autism. (Section 1.2.x.5)  The country that may have the highest rate of breastfeeding in the developed world (Norway) also has what may be the highest prevalence of autism in the world.  The other countries that are highest in breastfeeding are also at the highest levels of autism in the world. (Section 1.2.s.5)   African-Americans on the average have a rate of breastfeeding that is half as high as that of whites, and their average rate of autism is half as high as that of whites. (Section 1.2.s.3)  Other associations indicating probable harmful mental effects of breastfeeding can be found in Section 1.2.s.  Japan is also one of the highest-breastfeeding/high-autism countries, but a different kind of mental development among most of its young men, 20+ years after a transition to a high level of breastfeeding, is of even greater concern to that country. (Section 1.2.b.2

 

Pertussis is also known as whooping cough.  (These charts provide the only compilations of this data that are readily available on the internet as of April 16, 2012.)

 

 Pertussis is estimated to cause 295,000 deaths per year worldwide. (Bettiol S, et al. (2010). Bettiol, Silvana. ed. "Symptomatic treatment of the cough in whooping cough". Cochrane Database Syst Rev (1): CD003257. doi:10.1002/14651858.CD003257.pub3. PMID 20091541)   The CDC’s web page on pertussis shows that by far the greatest incidence of pertussis is among infants less than one year old (which is the group that clearly includes those most closely affected by breastfeeding)And that age group includes those “who are at greatest risk for severe disease and death” from this disease, according to the CDC.

 

The average rate of reported cases of pertussis for the higher-breastfeeding countries (except Germany and Switzerland, for which no rates are given) is 17.03, and the average for the three highest-breastfeeding countries (Norway, Sweden and Finland) is 43.9

By contrast, the average rate for the lower-breastfeeding countries is 8.025, and the average for the four lowest-breastfeeding countries (Ireland, Belgium, U.K. and France) is  0.83

The reader should stop and think about this.  A disease that causes hundreds of thousands of deaths per year, especially affecting those who are under one year old, with a reported incidence in the highest-breastfeeding European countries fifty times as high as in the lowest-breastfeeding countries.  And this is just one of many associations of breastfeeding with negative outcomes. 

 

(Charts and data from European Center for Disease Prevention and Control, http://ecdc.europa.eu/en/publications/Publications/1111_SUR_Annual_Epidemiological_Report_on_Communicable_Diseases_in_Europe.pdf)

 

 

 

 

 

 

The CDC’s web page on salmonellosis points out that “the rate of diagnosed infections in children less than five years old is about five times higher than the rate in all other persons,” and that about 400 people die every year in the U.S. alone from this illness.  So it is clearly a serious disease, and it is another one that affects those who are most closely affected by breastfeeding or formula feeding.

 

The higher-breastfeeding countries (except for Switzerland and Spain, for which no data are given) had an average salmonellosis rate of 35.39 per 100,000, and the four highest-breastfeeding countries had an average rate of 49.25.  The lower-breastfeeding countries (except Netherlands) had an average rate of 25.08, and the four lowest-breastfeeding countries had an average rate of 22.85.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


 

 


 

  In the chart below, adults in the low-breastfeeding countries (Ireland, UK, Belgium, France) reported “good or very good health” in a slightly higher overall average percentage than adults in the high-breastfeeding countries of Sweden, Norway and Finland.  Although the difference was rather insignificant, at least it should help lay to rest the idea that breastfeeding is beneficial to the child overall.  Also, using a standard that is more specific than that first one, and less subject to under- or over-reporting depending on psychological factors, the average percentage reporting “Long-standing illness or health problem” in the low-breastfeeding countries was 28.7, compared with 35.3 for the high-breastfeeding countries.  That is a very large difference, especially in that (a) it draws its data from data provided by major international organizations, and (b) this lower level of illness applies to average lifespans in the lower-breastfeeding countries that are at least as long as the average for the higher-breastfeeding countries (Section 1.2.p.1).

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The above illustrations show that the alleged health benefits of breastfeeding are very dubious at best.  Think about these in addition to the fact that average life spans are longer in the higher-breastfeeding countries than in the lower-breastfeeding countries in four out of five major world regions.  Also bear in mind that (a) the Surgeon General inconspicuously acknowledges that essentially all of the “risks” that she relates to formula-feeding are in question, given that there could be causes other than breastfeeding for the “associations,” and (b) there are other factors (low income and smoking) that are known to lead to all of the health conditions in question, which factors are known to be very disproportionately prevalent among the people who are less likely to breastfeed. 

 

 

Section 1.2.r  Review of Some Pros and Cons of Breastfeeding in a 21st Century Industrialized Country, on the part of Women Who have been Eating a Typical Diet:   There are good reasons to look into the fact that high rates of autism in certain countries and U.S. states coincide with unusually high rates of breastfeeding in those same countries and states. The uniformly low rates of autism in the U.S. states with the lowest rates of breastfeeding should add weight to the need for a serious re-examination of the widespread promotion of breastfeeding.  The higher rate of autism in the white ethnic group, compared with autism rates that are either certainly lower or probably lower in ethnic groups with low breastfeeding rates, adds still more reason to doubt the desirability of general breastfeeding promotion.  Breastfeeding is more common among more highly-educated women, and autism is more common among the children of more highly-educated women.   All of those geographical, national and social data would be enough by themselves to raise a major red flag.  The logical next step is to see if there is scientific evidence showing that contents of breast milk are capable of causing harm to neurological development.  See the considerable content earlier in this paper providing exactly that, as regards breast milk in current, more polluted times.  And then look at the history of the recent decades concerning changes in rates of breastfeeding and rates of mental impairment in male children during those years.  <<provide chart>> 

 

One of the various studies finding health benefits in breastfeeding points to the significantly lower rates of colds, cases of diarrhea, ear infections, and doctor visits among infants that are breast fed.  And they point out that health care providers should therefore have an interest in encouraging breast feeding, which may well be true.  If the burdens of dioxins, mercury and PBDEs in contemporary women's bodies were the same as they were in the middle of the 20th century, such promotion would be beneficial to infants.  But they aren't, and it isn't. 

 

Many women probably tend to think that, since their foremothers may have breastfed for long periods and their children turned out well, and since breastfeeding is widely encouraged, then that must mean that breast feeding is risk-free.  But high levels of dioxins, mercury, and PBDEs in the environment, and therefore in breast milk, are a relatively recent development.  Researchers cite various studies suggesting that rates of dioxin deposition in the environment increased more than 10-fold between the 1930's and the 1960's (Regulatory Toxicology and Pharmacology, 37 (2003) 202 217 Dioxin risks in perspective: past, present, and future  Hays and  Aylward  at http://acdrupal.evergreen.edu/envirohealth/system/files/Dioxin+risks+in+perspective.pdf).  Bear in mind that dioxins are essentially a product of many typical forms of combustion, requiring presence of a source of chlorine as part of the burning, such as is included in the plastics waste that skyrocketed in the U.S. environment in the mid- and late-twentieth century.  Mercury is released by combustion of mercury-containing materials, especially ones such as in coal, which has been increasing rapidly with growing populations and industrialization in various parts of the world; since airborne mercury drifts around the globe, considerable emissions from Asia's rapidly-expanding, polluting industries, and from ships going back and forth, are in the U.S. air supply and in the water habitat of fish.  PBDE's are something new in recent decades.  All of the above mean that breast milk today is very different from that of earlier periods. New releases of dioxins by U.S. industry have declined recently, but other sources that closely affect humans (especially diesel emissions) have increased greatly at the same time.  Dioxin-containing soil is often ingested by infants, and is partly ingested by farm animals after which the dioxins become part of meat and dairy products; dioxins are almost certainly continuing to increase in a major part of the environment due to the extremely long lives of dioxins in soil, even though they are increasing less rapidly than in earlier decades.  A long-term, mostly-vegetarian diet is apparently the only way for a woman to avoid major buildup of dioxins and mercury within her body.  Minimizing breathing of air in the vicinity of electronic devices (especially where ventilation isn't good) might be the only way to avoid buildup of PBDEs.

 

As was pointed out with several international examples earlier (Section 1.2.p.1), countries in which breastfeeding is relatively rare have average life expectancies longer than countries in which breastfeeding is more common, in every world region in which valid comparisons are possible except for Sub-Saharan Africa.  But the case against claims of health benefits from breastfeeding is much stronger than that.  The people whose lifetimes have been forming the basis for current average life expectancies were breastfed at a time before environmental levels of dioxins and other toxins had come anywhere near their present levels.   Dioxins, which accumulate in the body over the years, are also very much associated with usually-adult diseases (especially cancer) (see www.epa.gov/dioxin/).  So present day breastfeeding, by mothers with body burdens of dioxins that are typical in modern industrial countries, would be getting infants off to a start in accumulation of toxins that could lead to disease decades later.  (Remember from Section 1.2.d the quote from the National Academy of Sciences about a breastfed baby during its first year effectively receiving 87 times the average adult dosage of dioxins.)   National life expectancy comparisons drawing data mainly from death reports of people born before 1960 understate the probable effects of breastfeeding vs. bottle-feeding currently, since they don't reflect the greatly increased typical present-day levels of persistent toxins in breast milk.  It would only be prudent to assume that the current increased level of toxins, when combined with additional, accumulating exposures to toxins later in life, would have long-term effects of kinds that scientific studies have found to be caused by those toxins.   Additional apparent neurological effects of breastfeeding (greatly increased autism, lowered mental capacities especially among young males, and unusually large numbers of people with non-traditional sexual preferences) have already been presented.

 

Section 1.2.s  Connections between Varying Rates of Breast Feeding, Parental Characteristics, and Autism Prevalence

Section 1.2.s.1.a  Socio-economic status (SES) in the U.S. and U.K. is related to both far higher rates of breastfeeding and substantially higher rates of autism

Education and income are associated with autism in the U.S. and the U.K.:   An in-depth study of autism in California "…showed autism clusters to be highly associated with the education of the parent population" (meaning higher autism in areas with higher educational levels).  The research team looked at many other environmental factors that could have been associated with formation of the clusters, but found that "…none of the effects approach the magnitude of parental education."  The authors pointed out that services for the autistic were available regardless of income, so ability to pay was not seen as something to reduce use of autism-treatment services by less-educated families.  The authors also pointed out that the association of higher parental education with autism had also been found in two other studies in the U.S. and in one study in the U.K.  (Geographic Distribution of Autism in California: A Retrospective Birth Cohort Analysis  Karla C. Van Meter et al., Autism Research 3: 19–29, 2010)    In a U.S. study published in 2007 (Bhasin and Schendel), it was found that median family income was positively and significantly associated with autism prevalence. (Parental age and autism: Population data from NJ  at http://paa2008.princeton.edu/download.aspx?submissionId=80822)   

 

But there are apparently no such associations in Denmark or Sweden:  The authors of the above California study pointed out that, whereas their study and other studies in the U.S. and the U.K. found a positive association of high parental education with autism, that same relationship was researched but not found in two studies carried out in Denmark.  (Oxford Journals aje.oxfordjournals.org Am. J. Epidemiol. (15 May 2005) 161 (10): 916-925. doi: 10.1093/aje/kwi123 Risk Factors for Autism: Perinatal Factors, Parental Psychiatric History, and Socioeconomic Status  Heidi Jeanet Larsson et al   J Child Psychol Psychiatry. 2005 Sep;46(9):963-71. Effects of familial risk factors and place of birth on the risk of autism: a nationwide register-based study. Lauritsen MB, et al.)    Another study since then has researched the same topic and also not found a positive association of socio-economic status with autism in Sweden, according to a study published in 2012; in fact, in this study of about 5000 cases of autism in Stockholm county, the researchers concluded that lower socio-economic status seemed to be associated with a risk of autism in offspring.  (Rai D. et al. Parental socioeconomic status and risk of offspring autism spectrum disorders in a Swedish population-based study. JAACAP. 2012; 51: 467-476)  

 

Why should the above observed differences exist?  Higher educational levels and/or socio-economic status is associated with autism in some countries, but in other  countries there was either no such association or it was in the opposite direction.  The authors reporting on the above differences speculated about possible differences between the countries in means of ascertainment of autism, or variations in forms of ASD in different countries.  But there is a perfectly logical explanation that is based in science, which nobody seems to have considered.  There is ample evidence, including from the EPA, that breast milk contains toxins that are known to harm neurological development and that have been greatly increasing in the environment and in breast milk in recent decades; it is also known that breastfed infants receive many times higher doses of these toxins than formula-fed infants. (see Section 1.2)  This author has done very considerable research on this topic and has never seen any responsible expression of disagreement (that is, from a scientist, researcher, or official) with the substance of the previous sentence.

 

It is also known that, in the U.S., mothers of low socio-economic status (SES) are far less likely to breastfeed than mothers with higher SES, by differences of nearly 2 to 1, compared with college graduates.  (http://www.cdc.gov/breastfeeding/data/NIS_data/2000/socio-demographic.htm  Also The Surgeon General’s Call to Action to Support Breastfeeding 2011   U.S. Public Health Service  at http://www.surgeongeneral.gov/topics/breastfeeding/calltoactiontosupportbreastfeeding.pdf, p. 8)    The U.S. Surgeon General provides data (p. 8 of her Call to Action) showing that mothers receiving WIC (low-income) supplements breastfeed at a 38% lower rate at six months after birth than mothers who are not eligible for the subsidies.  Research cited by the Surgeon General also points out that “income is associated with breastfeeding regardless of race or ethnicity.” (Surgeon General’s Call to Action, 2011, p. 9).  The same kind of difference applies in the U.K., as evidenced by the following quote, referring to breastfeeding in England and Wales in 2000:  “Mothers in higher occupations were also more likely to be breastfeeding at 6 weeks; 60% compared with 28% of lower occupation mothers.” (at http://www.northamptonshireobservatory.org.uk/docs/doc_Breastfeeding-in-the-East-Midlands.pdf_151937220606.pdf)   An Australian study found that “breastfeeding rates at 3 months varied from 75% in middle class Bayside to 33% in less advantaged Brimbank,” which was in line with other comparisons by socio-economic status. (J. Paediiitr. Cliihl Health (2()00) 36,164-168  Rates of breastfeeding in Australia by State and socio-economic status: Evidence from the 1995 National Health Survey  S DONATH and LH AMIR The Key Centre for Woirien's Heatth. University of Melbourne. Melbourne. Victoria. Australia) 

 

Therefore it is obvious that fewer infants of low-SES parents in the U.S., U.K. and Australia would receive the high concentrations of neuro-developmental toxins that are contained in breast milk.  By contrast, in the Nordic countries (Norway, Sweden, Denmark and Finland), almost every mother breastfeeds, at least initially (see Section 1.2.p.1); and their rates of breastfeeding are still very unusually high after three and more months.  There seems to be no data indicating lower rates of breastfeeding among mothers of low SES in the Nordic countries.  It appears that, when (after the early period) breastfeeding becomes less universal, the decline may not be among the same groups as in the U.S. and U.K.; whereas in the U.S. and U.K. later children are likely to be breastfed for shorter periods (see below), the opposite was found to be the case in a Norwegian study. (Lande, B., et al. (2003), Infant feeding practices and associated factors in the first six months of life: The Norwegian Infant Nutrition Survey. Acta Paediatrica, 92: 152–161. doi: 10.1111/j.1651-2227.2003.tb00519.x)  Apparently infants from all sectors of society in the Nordic countries receive the same exposure to the developmental toxins in breast milk at least at first, and probably later also.  Therefore it should not be surprising that it has been found that autism rates in those countries are:

(a) uniform across socio-economic strata, and

(b) very high, since (unlike the norms in countries with lower breastfeeding rates) typical infants in no sectors of their societies have reduced exposure to the developmental toxins in breast milk.  See later in this Section concerning the very high autism rates in Nordic countries.  An autism rate for children in the U.S., at about half the rate that appears to be prevalent in the Nordic countries, has been well publicized.  In the historically relatively low-breastfeeding U.K., autism among children is reported to be about 1% (http://www.autism.org.uk/about-autism/some-facts-and-statistics/statistics-how-many-people-have-autism-spectrum-disorders.aspx), which is even less than half that of the high-breastfeeding countries. 

 

It would at first thought seem to be only logical that, as has been the case in some countries, autism rates would be no higher among high-SES mothers than among low-SES mothers, and should if anything be expected to be lower.  After all, parents with higher SES are likely to have reached those levels to a great extent (in a modern market economy) through above-average mental and/or social abilities; genetically, children of higher-status parents should be expected to have at least the same freedom from mental and social impairment as children of lower-status parents.  And that appears to be exactly the way it is in countries (such as Denmark and Sweden) in which there are no differences in breastfeeding rates according to SES levels.

 

The seemingly-contradictory outcome of lower autism rates among children of lower-SES parents has apparently been found only in those countries in which breastfeeding rates are known to be unusually low among low-SES mothers.  As mentioned, it is established and not disputed that breastfed infants receive far higher dosages of certain known developmental toxins than bottle-fed infants receive.   This is a perfectly logical explanation for a phenomenon that appears to have no other good explanation.   However, there are widespread and very strongly-held views that “breast is best,” so it is understandable that scientists have not ventured into what this author considers to be the correct explanation for a serious problem.

 

Section 1.2.s.1.b  Parental age and breastfeeding:  In a U.K. study, finding the same relationship that has been found in previous surveys, it was found that an average of only 58% of mothers under age 20 breastfed, compared with 87% over age 30. (Infant Feeding Survey 2010: Early Results   A survey carried out on behalf of the NHS Information Centre by IFF Research, University of York, UK, Section 2.2.1)   In an Australian study, it was found that breastfeeding at six months was positively associated with older maternal age, with “Adj OR per 5 year increase in age 1.58…,” which sounds like a greatly increased breastfeeding percentage with each additional 5 years of age. (Factors associated with breastfeeding at six months postpartum in a group of Australian women  Della A Forster et al. International Breastfeeding Journal, 2006  1:18)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

It has also been found in several studies that older mothers continue breastfeeding for longer periods than younger mothers, including in the U.S. (Research Handbook on the Economics of Family Law, Cohen and Wright, p. 176, citing Scott et al, 1999, and Ynge and Sjostrom, 2001; Maternal and Child Health Journal  Volume 2, Number 3 (1998), 167-179, DOI: 10.1023/A:1021879227044  Factors Associated with Very Early Weaning Among Primiparas Intending to Breastfeed  Melissa Avery et al;  Clinician Support and Psychosocial Risk Factors Associated With Breastfeeding Discontinuation  Elsie M. Taveras, et al., Pediatrics, 2003, Vol. 113)

 

 

Parental age and autism in the U.S.:

In the largest study of its kind (as of January, 2009), researchers looked at more than 1,200 cases of autism and more than 300,000 US births.  The team found a 20% increase in the risk of autism with each 10-year increase in the parents' ages.   (Am J Epidemiol. 2008 December 1; 168(11): 1268–1276. Published online 2008 October 21. doi: 10.1093/aje/kwn250  American Journal of Epidemiology © 2008  Advanced Parental Age and the Risk of Autism Spectrum Disorder  Maureen S. Durkin et al.)   Similar results regarding parental age and autism were found in a study in northern California, USA (Maternal and Paternal Age and Risk of Autism Spectrum Disorders Lisa A. Croen,et al.)

 

On the subject of the association between parental age and autism, one report (ANRV305-PU28-21 ARI 22 December 2006 7:53  The Epidemiology of Autism Spectrum Disorders  Craig J. Newschaffer et al., Drexel Univ. School of Public Health) cited six studies finding a direct association between parental age and at least one form of autism.  This report also cited two studies that were said not to find such an association.  Of those two studies that failed to find the association, one was very small (61 participants) (Juul-Dam N, Townsend J, Courchesne E. 2001. Prenatal, perinatal, and neonatal factors in autism, pervasive developmental disorder-not otherwise specified, and the general population. Pediatrics 107:E63), and the other was a study of Danish children.  (J Autism Dev Disord. 2001 Jun;31(3):279-85. Obstetric complications and risk for severe psychopathology in childhood.Eaton WW, Mortensen PB, et al.  Department of Mental Hygiene, Johns Hopkins University)    In that regard, bear in mind that breastfeeding is very high in Denmark, so that (unlike in the U.S. and the U.K.) infants of younger parents are as likely as children of older parents to be breastfed.   So it appears to be clear that higher rates of breastfeeding are associated with parental age only in those countries in which breastfeeding doesn’t reach the essentially-universal level.

 

To sum up preceding paragraphs:    In some countries, older mothers are more likely to breastfeed, and they are also likely to breastfeed for longer periods, compared with younger mothers.  In those countries, children of older mothers are much more likely to be autistic than children of younger mothers.  However, in the only comparison involving a country in which all mothers are about equally likely to breastfeed, there was not found to be an association between parental age and prevalence of autism.

 

Section 1.2.s.1.c   Birth order and risk of autism in the U.S.:   Birth order associations point in the same direction as socio-economic status and parental age:  In all cases, if a category normally includes less breastfeeding, there are fewer children who turn out to be autistic.  The same study cited above (using ADDM Network data) found a couple's fourth child has half the risk of ASD compared with the first, regardless of the parents' ages.  And the odds continuously decrease from first to later children. ((Am J Epidemiol. 2008 December 1; 168(11): 1268–1276. Published online 2008 October 21. doi: 10.1093/aje/kwn250  American Journal of Epidemiology © 2008  Advanced Parental Age and the Risk of Autism Spectrum Disorder  Maureen S. Durkin et al.)  

 


 In a U.K. study, it was found that mothers of first babies were more likely than mothers of later babies to breastfeed in every country of the U.K. (England, Wales, Scotland, and Northern Ireland), with an 8% higher average likelihood of breastfeeding the first baby. (Infant Feeding Survey 2010: Early Results   A survey carried out on behalf of the NHS Information Centre by IFF Research, University of York, UK, Section 2.2.1).  Another data set, from the U.K. Department of Health for 1995, shows a 17% decline in rate of breastfeeding rate between the first and later births. (at http://www.doh.gov.uk/public/infantfeedingreport.htm, p. 8)  Apparently many women experience pain or other difficulties in breastfeeding, which results in not breastfeeding subsequent babies.  In a Canadian study, it was found that “not having previous breastfeeding experience predicted its continuation,” which is to say that later babies, if breastfed at all, will normally be breastfed for a shorter period than a first baby.  (Factors Influencing Full Breastfeeding in a Southwestern Ontario Community: Assessments at 1 Week and at 6 Months Postpartum  Tammy J. Clifford, PhD  Human Lactation, 2012)

 

First babies in countries with moderate or lower rates of breastfeeding are not only (a) more likely to be breastfed, and (b) likely to be breastfed for longer periods, but they are also (c) fed much more potent doses of developmental toxins.  The mother’s body burden of persistent toxins is partially excreted in breast milk; with each succeeding baby, the mother’s lifetime accumulation of toxins has been reduced by breastfeeding of the preceding baby.  A study of breast cancer risk factors published in 2008 looked into concentrations of dioxins that were measured in various tissues of 27 infants that had died unexpectedly; information was provided by the parents about birth order and breastfeeding history of the infants.  It was found that the closer the infant had been to first in birth order, the higher the dioxin concentrations in the deceased infants’ tissues, “thus showing” (according to the study’s authors) “that the mothers can decontaminate themselves by breast feeding.” (Dioxin emissions from a municipal solid waste incinerator and risk of invasive breast cancer: a population-based case-control study with GIS-derived exposure  Jean-François Viel, et al. International Journal of Health Geographics, 2008, Volume 7, Number 1, 4)    Having observed that, the authors had no hesitation about encouraging breastfeeding as a means of “decontaminating” the mothers, even after seeing clear evidence that the excreted toxins were absorbed by the infants, in direct proportion to the excretion from the mothers.  “Because of the well-known beneficial effects of breast feeding and considering the results of the present study, this type of infant nutrition can be recommended without any restrictions.”   This is an illustration of the blinders that many people in health fields are wearing, which allow them to only see breastfeeding’s benefits, without ever seeing a possible dark side to its promotion.

 

To sum up preceding paragraphs:    Babies later in birth order are less likely to be breastfed, they are likely to be breastfed for shorter periods, and the levels of toxins in later breast milk will be lower as a result of the earlier breastfeeding’s.  And those babies are much less likely to become autistic than babies earlier in both order, by wide margins.  This follows the same kind of pattern seen with parental age and parental socio-economic status.

 

 

Section 1.2.s.2   Other Social Differences:   Rural women are also less likely to breastfeed. (Tides in Breastfeeding Practice, M.M. Coates Jones and Bartlett Publishers, LLC  Undated, but it refers to 2007 as "now")  

Religious teachings of a kind that could be leading to high rates of autism:  The Mormon (Latter Day Saints, or LDS) Church promotes breastfeeding, as indicated by quotes including the following:

“Our Heavenly Father made the mother’s body so it could produce milk…. It is better for babies than milk from animals.”  “Breast milk and feeding has many advantages:” (followed by nine reasons and six testimonials). (http://library.lds.org/nxt/gateway.dll/Curriculum/mpandrs.htm/latterday%20saint%20woman%20b.htm/homemaking.htm/maternal%20and%20infant%20care%20lesson%2022.htm)   In the “Basic Manual for Women,” intended also to provide materials for use by those teaching Mormon lessons, promotion of breastfeeding is prominent. (http://www.lds.org/manual/the-latter-day-saint-woman-basic-manual-for-women-part-a/lesson-23-nutrition-for-mother-and-baby?lang=eng&query=breast+feeding+infants)  As clear as the church’s teachings are, at least as important in this case is how conscientious Mormons typically are in following their church’s teachings (as indicated by the expectation of tithing and the high frequency of young men becoming missionaries for two years).  Substantial search by this author has failed to bring up evidence of any other Judeo-Christian religion that specifically promotes breastfeeding.   Effects of this promotion of breastfeeding can be seen in the fact that the state of Utah, about 60% Mormon, had the third-highest rate of breastfeeding in the United States in the CDC’s 2000 survey; the margin of error of the sample/survey was such that Utah could well have been first if a higher percentage of the population had been surveyed.

 

Utah has an autism rate that is extraordinarily high -- one child out of 47 according to 2008 data. (http://www.utahautismregistry.com/2008-asd)  By contrast, overall ASD prevalence for the United States as of 2008 was reported to be one out of 110, although that figure was in 2012 updated to be one out of 88.  By comparison with either national figure, one out of 47 for Utah clearly merits serious attention.  But it becomes even worse as one looks closer.  In the 2008 Autism and Developmental Disabilities Monitoring (ADDM) study in Utah, it was found that one out of 25 white children in the Utah study area had ASD (see the 40 out of 1000 figure in this snippet).  (Community Report From the Autism and Developmental Disabilities Monitoring (ADDM) Network  Prevalence of Autism Spectrum Disorders (ASDs) Among Multiple Areas of the United States in 2008, Funded by CDC)   Considering the disproportionate male-female ratio of autism, that works out to about one out of 17 white boys.

The authors withheld the identity of this location from their report, but there is apparently only one place in Utah that fits the data provided in the ADDM report, which is West Valley City:  (1) about 2000 students in a single-year age group (U.S. Census 2000 data), and (2) the lowest proportion of whites in the state (the percent of white 8-year-olds in the ADDM study area was even lower than West Valley City’s white percentage, but West Valley’s white percentage is the lowest in Utah, and only one other city or county in Utah even comes close to such a low percentage of whites).  

 

95% of Mormons in Utah identify themselves as white (Gender gap widening among Utah Mormons, but why?  Peggy Fletcher Stack The Salt Lake Tribune  Dec 14 2011), 53.25% of the residents of the apparent ADDM study city are identified as Mormon, (bestplaces.net/religion) and 53.7% of that city’s residents are white (Census Bureau Quickfacts).  So it appears likely that almost all of study area’s whites are Mormon, and probably almost none of the area’s non-white residents are Mormon.  This should be borne in mind as one sees in this snippet from an ADDM publication that, in this study location, ASD prevalence is six times as high among whites (basically meaning Mormons) as among other ethnicities in the very same city (basically meaning non-Mormons). 

 

The ASD rate for whites for this Utah location, 40 out of 1000, also stands out in relation to the data for whites in the other thirteen ADDM study locations.  That average for all of the other thirteen sites is 12.8 per 1000.   So the essentially-Mormon population has an autism rate that is not only six times that of non-Mormons in the same city, it is also over three times as high as the average autism rate of whites at all thirteen other U.S. study sites.  There are only two other sites that are even as much as half as high in autism prevalence among whites as the Utah study site.  The problem here is not a problem of whites, and it is not a problem in Utah’s environment (see Figure 1, as well as the data for Utah non-whites).  It is a problem that is probably traceable to something that is distinctive in Mormon teachings. (See beginning of this section.)

 

The reader should stop and think about the ratios noted above, combined with the fact that the four-out-of-100 rate of white (Mormon) autism in this study location exceeds the highest ASD rate reported for any country in the world. The only known national rates that even approach this percentage are countries in which breastfeeding is nearly universal (Norway, Sweden, Finland, Denmark and South Korea -- see Section 1.2.p.1).  Mormons appear to be the only major religious group that specifically promotes breastfeeding to its members.  And, equally importantly, most Mormons are apparently very observant of their religion’s teachings.  See Section 1.2.d concerning the toxins known to be concentrated in breast milk that are harmful to neurological development.

Fig. 1.3

Section 1.2.s.3   Ethnic differences:  

The CDC shows rates of breastfeeding among blacks or African Americans at 6 and 12 months after birth as being about half as high as among whites (http://www.cdc.gov/breastfeeding/data/NIS_data/2000/socio-demographic.htm ). According to another source, breastfeeding among blacks after the first days is even lower than half of the rate among whites:   “Not only have Black women initiated breastfeeding at roughly half the rate of White women, but the majority of Black women who do breastfeed introduce formula to their infants while still in the hospital.”  (Am J Public Health. 2003 December; 93(12): 2000–2010. Low Breastfeeding Rates and Public Health in the United States  Jacqueline H. Wolf, PhD)   And autism rates among blacks are also generally about half as high as among whites, as reported by many sources.  

 

Hispanics:   At least two studies have found breastfeeding rates among Hispanics to be consistently lower than among whites: (Colley and colleagues,1999; Ryan and colleagues,1991). (Breastfeeding Initiation and Duration: A 1990-2000 Literature Review Cindy-Lee Dennis, RN, PhD, in JOGNN in Review, Vol. 31. No. 1)   Note in Figure 1.3 that ASD rates among U.S. Hispanics are also lower than those of whites.  (Lower autism among Hispanics could also relate to a diet that is typically higher in grains and beans, with less dioxin-containing meat and fish compared with the typical American diet.) 

 

A CDC survey reported breastfeeding rates in California to be about 18% lower among Hispanics than among whites.   In line with that, the state of California reports that 36% of Californians are Hispanic, but only 28% of those with diagnoses of autism are Hispanic. (http://www.dds.ca.gov/Autism/docs/AutismReport_2007.pdf)  (The only individual-state breakdown of Hispanic vs. white rates of breastfeeding that this author has found so far is for California.)

 

Section 1.2.s.4 Low-Breastfeeding / Low Autism Countries:

Irish breast-feeding rates, at least at initiation, are the lowest of any major people in Western Europe or North America, with the closest second being France. (See Figures 1.8 and 1.9; Also data provided by LaLeche League for Northern Ireland, accessed at http://www.lalecheleague.org/cbi/bfstats03.html, in line with data for Dublin area from:  Public Health Nutrition. "Breast-feeding practices in Ireland",  Tarrant RC, Kearney JM., School of Biological Sciences, Dublin Institute of Technology, Republic of Ireland, accessed at Proc Nutr Soc. 2008 Nov;67(4):371-80. Epub 2008 Aug 20.And Irish rates of autism also appear to be unusually low.  Irishhealth.com reports autism prevalence in Ireland to be one out of 166 (Research to determine autism incidence [Posted: Fri 03/04/2009 by Deborah Condon www.irishhealth.com]), well under 1%, which is very low compared with the only known rates for the high-breastfeeding countries. (see Section 1.2.s.5)

 

In the historically relatively low-breastfeeding U.K., autism among children is reported to be about 1% (http://www.autism.org.uk/about-autism/some-facts-and-statistics/statistics-how-many-people-have-autism-spectrum-disorders.aspx), which is again very low as compared with the known (and reasonably estimated) rates in the high-breastfeeding countries.

 

French breast-feeding rates are also very low (see Section 1.2.p).  The most recent data that this author has been able to find for autism rates in France is for 1997, which found a prevalence of one out of 613 children. (J Am Acad Child Adolesc Psychiatry. 1997 Nov;36(11):1561-9. Autism and associated medical disorders in a French epidemiological survey.  Fombonne E et al., Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale (INSERM), Paris.)  In 2010, a blogger wrote, “Just one bit of anecdotal evidence: I’ve been living in France for 25 years (I’m a lapsed American), and only once have I seen or even heard of an autistic child in my entourage…  I’ve never even heard of autistic kids, and my wife was long involved in school issues.” (kirkmcon 25 Mar 2010 at http://www.sciencebasedmedicine.org/index.php/vaccination-are-we-number-1/It is entirely possible that the major reason why there is no more recent autism data for a large developed country such as France is that autism is not the serious problem in France that it is in most other developed countries.

 

Belgian breastfeeding rates are also very low (see Section 1.2.p).  But no data seem to available regarding autism rates in Belgium.  Again, there are various possible explanations for the lack of data concerning autism in Belgium, and one very plausible reason is that the problem is unusually rare in that country.

 

Section 1.2.s.5  High Breastfeeding / High Autism Countries:

South Korea’s breastfeeding rate appears to be very high. (Section 1.2.p.1)   In the CDC’s “Summary of Autism Spectrum Disorder (ASD) Prevalence Studies” (at http://www.cdc.gov/ncbddd/autism/data.html”), a 2011 study of over 55,000 7-to-12-year-old South Korean children was indicated as having found a 2.64% prevalence of ASD.  Of all countries’ autism rates for which data have been made public, only top-breastfeeding Norway has an autism rate as high as this rate for South Korea (those two countries’ rates appear to be virtually identical).

 

Fig. 1.9

Autism symptoms were identified in an exceptionally high 2.7% of children in Norway in one study, as indicated in an article by a researcher with the CDC. (Autism and Developmental Disabilities Monitoring Network Surveillance Year 2006 Catherine Rice, PhD et al, National Center on Birth Defects and Developmental Disabilities, CDC, at http://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/preview/mmwrhtml/ss5810a1.htm )  In that regard, note the line at the top of this chart, which is the breastfeeding rate for Norway.  A blogger calling herself “Norwaymom” wrote, “Norway has a near 100% breastfeeding rate and most mothers nurse throughout their 48 week long maternity leave.” (July 29, 2009 at http://autism.about.com/b/2009/07/28/autism-caused-by-breast-milk.htm)

 

Japan was another country indicated by the above-cited CDC author as having an unusually high rate of autism; Japan’s breastfeeding rates are also very high. (Section 1.2.p.1)

 

Sweden’s very high rate of breastfeeding is conspicuous on this chart.  The only studies that have apparently been published regarding autism in Sweden applied to children studied in 1992 and 1994, and the averaged rate from those studies was the highest rate ever reported for any country that applied to the years preceding 1995Denmark appears (in this chart) to have reached the high-breastfeeding category by the early 1990’s.  The only published study of autism prevalence in Denmark applied to children observed in the 1994-1999 period, and at that time Denmark had the highest autism rate of all countries for which studies of prevalence up through the 1990’s are available. (data from CDC Summary, cited above)

 

The only available data for autism in Finland are as follows):  “In Finland, there are approximately 50,000 people with autism spectrum disorders.” (from The Finnish Association for Autism and Asperger´s Syndrome (at http://www.autismiliitto.fi/files/570/Association.pdf) dated 12/2008)  Considering that Finland’s population is about 5 million, and that an extremely disproportionate number of those with ASD are typically those born just in the last two decades, the percent born since 1995 who have been becoming autistic could be 3% of the population of children born since 1995.  For Switzerland, breastfeeding rates are not shown here, but they are very high (See Section 1.2.p.1); there are also apparently no figures for autism among children in Switzerland, but Der Bund newspaper (Switzerland’s third largest) estimated in 2011 that 1% of the entire population has autism. (Autisten mit Spezialbegabungen ersetzen indische Informatiker von Hans Galli. Aktualisiert am 21.10.2011)   As in the case of Finland, going by the general trend that the vast majority of those diagnosed with autism have been born in the last 15 - 20 years, 1% of the entire population could mean 3% of the recently-born children.  For additional insight into how major the problem is in Switzerland, one can go to Google/Switzerland and do a search for “autismus in der Schweiz” and see many listings of websites of organizations devoted solely to dealing with problems of autism, which one would not necessarily expect for such a relatively small country.

 

For the only remaining European country in which breastfeeding is known to be high, Germany, there does not seem to be information available about autism prevalence.  There is a major organization in Germany that is devoted to dealing with problems of autism, but in their website’s only section that deals with prevalence, they have to acknowledge lack of data for Germany and instead can only provide statistics from the U.S., Canada and the U.K. (http://w3.autismus.de/pages/startseite/was-ist-autismus.php) 

 

To sum up, in every advanced country in which breastfeeding is known to be very high, autism has also been found to be very high if autism data are available for that country.

 

 

Section 1.2.s.6  Breastfeeding and Autism BOTH being Unusually Stable during the Same Time Period in the UK  The reader should notice in this chart the conspicuous stability in the rate of breastfeeding in the UK in the years leading up to 2000, in contrast with the general upward trend or high levels in most countries.  The general upward trend is also obvious in the variations of this chart presented earlier.  In connection with the unusual stability in the breastfeeding rate in the UK before 2000, it should be mentioned that there was a study in the UK that is sometimes referred to by those who hold that autism hasn’t really been increasing, because it found that there had not been an increase in autism in a certain town in the UK among children born in the years preceding 1999. (Pervasive Developmental Disorders in Preschool Children: Confirmation of High Prevalence  Suniti Chakrabarti, M.D., et al. Am J Psychiatry 2005;162:1133-1141. 10.1176/appi.ajp.162.6.1133)   A study that failed to find increasing prevalence of autism for any time period during the last two decades appears to be unusual if not unique; and it may be more than coincidental that this study was done in a country in which the prevalence of breastfeeding had also not been increasing during the relevant period.

 

 

Fig. 1.4aDescription: Scanrisk.bmp

 

Section 1.2.s.7  Certain High- or Low-Autism U.S. States

The maps shown here (files from the Wikimedia Commons, apparently drawing on U.S. Census 2000 data.  Found in Wikipedia under "Maps of American Ancestries"), indicating concentrations in Minnesota of descendants of Norwegian and Swedish immigrants, help illustrate apparent effects of different levels of breastfeeding by mothers with alternative dietary habits. (German ancestry is also high in Minnesota, and Germany’s rate of breastfeeding is also very high.)  As could have reasonably been predicted from the fact that breastfeeding rates are culturally influenced and very unusually high in the above three countries, Minnesota is at the very highest level in breastfeeding; it was ranked third highest among U.S. states in a CDC national survey of breastfeeding at six months after birth, but the margins of error in the sampling were such that the true rate could very easily have been the highest in the U.S. (CDC National Immunization Survey,  2000)  Knowing the developmental toxins concentrated in the breast milk of the typical U.S. mother (see Section 1.2.d), and knowing other factors contributing to high levels of toxins in Minnesota (to be presented later), it should not be surprising that prevalence of autism in Minnesota is the highest in the U.S. (IDEA data, averaging years 2005-2008 -<<show more detail>>)  And not just moderately higher than the average:  More than twice as high as the median for the U.S. states.

 

When observing the above, remember also that two of the mother countries, Norway and Sweden, both with unusually high rates of breast feeding, were found to be extremely high in autism (Norway and Sweden).  (Autism data for Germany has not been found by this author.)

 

With a breastfeeding rate even higher than that of Minnesota, the state with the very highest rate of breastfeeding in the U.S. is Oregon, which also has the second-highest rate of autism in the U.S., at almost exactly twice the national median.

 

 

Section 1.2.t  Dietary and Other Factors that Tie in with Breastfeeding, affecting Toxin Levels in the Milk

As has been noted, diet (mostly animal-based fats) is considered by the EPA and ATSDR to be the source of about 90% of the average body burden of dioxins.  Typical Scandinavian cuisine would normally only add to the levels of dioxins in breast milk consumed by infants in Minnesota.  Recipes for favorite traditional Norwegian dishes (easily found with a web search) show very high animal-fat content, especially butter.  Swedish cuisine is very similar to that of Norway (http://recipes.wikia.com/wiki/Swedish_Cuisine). An article in The Canadian Physician (VOL 39: January 1993)refers to ”the very high level of cholesterol and fat in the normal Scandinavian diet."  The only comment found on the subject of intergenerational transmission of culinary traditions includes the following:  "WHEN I WAS OLD ENOUGH MY GREAT GRANDMOTHER STARTED TO TEACH ME THE OLD WAYS OF COOKING IN SWEDEN ….TODAY AT 59 YEARS OLD I STILL MAKE THOSE DISHES THAT MY GREATGRAND MOTHER TAUGHT ME AS A YOUNG CHILD."(same source as above)  That sort of maintenance of cultural traditions would be especially likely to hold sway in communities where there are concentrations of people with common ancestry (as shown in the above maps), along with Lutheran church festivities and other vehicles that promote continuation of an ethnic heritage.  It also makes sense that a diet high in fat -- an excellent source of energy for keeping warm, which promotes comfort during long, cold winters in the (very northern) old country -- would be continued in a new cold domicile in the U.S.; Minnesota has 17 of the nation's coldest 21 cities with populations over 50,000 (City-Data.com)  Supply of dairy products in Minnesota is also very ample, keeping prices down and encouraging consumption:  The region consisting just of Minnesota and its neighbor Wisconsin produces more milk than any of the other three USDA regional groupings of major dairy states in the eastern and southern two-thirds of the U.S. (USDA data found at http://www.ers.usda.gov/publications/err47/err47b.pdf)

 

So it is probably safe to assume that consumption of dairy products and fat is unusually high in Minnesota.  And knowing what was stated earlier about dairy products and animal-based fats as sources of dioxins in humans, it is very likely that dioxin content in typical breast milk in Minnesota is unusually high.  That could only contribute to the likelihood that the high level of breastfeeding in Minnesota is causally connected with that state's place at the very top of U.S. states in prevalence of autism.

 

As pointed out earlier (Figure 1.3 and accompanying text), rates of autism among Hispanics are significantly lower than among whites.  That is partly associated with what is probably a lower rate of breastfeeding among Hispanics, and partly connected with the way the Hispanic diet differs from the typical American diet, which in turn affects the levels of toxins in the typical Hispanic breast milk. Compared with whites, Hispanics are reported to purchase less dairy products and snack foods, such as potato chips, candy, and cakes. (At  http://www.faqs.org/nutrition/Pre-Sma/Regional-Diet-American.html)  Remember from above the importance of dairy products and fats (such as are at high levels in most snack foods) as sources of dioxins in the diet.

 

 

Section 1.2.u  The Case of Washington State:  Back to the subject of regional variations in diet and the effect of those variations on toxins in breast milk:  Prevalence of breastfeeding in Washington state is very high; but reported autism rates in this case (although above average) are much lower than those reported for Minnesota and Oregon, departing from the simplified pattern that has been discussed so far.  There are good reasons for this deviation, as follows:

   1) Noticing the far lower levels of Norwegian and Swedish ancestries in Washington than in  Minnesota, it is reasonable to expect dioxin ingestion from dairy fat consumption to be much lower in that state;

   2) Regarding the other largest sources of dioxin and mercury body burdens (meat, dairy products and fish), it is significant that there are over 2-½ times as many vegetarian restaurants per million population in Washington as in Minnesota (www.happycow.com and  U.S. Census Bureau data);

   3) Regarding the general environmental pollution that underlies toxin levels in much of Washington's food supply, and regarding the pollution levels that affect what mothers and infants in that state breathe, absorb and ingest directly, note the following:  

The State of Washington is very unusually strong in preventing pollution:

  -- Bearing in mind that residential wood burning is a known substantial source of emissions of dioxins, particulate matter and lead, as contained in the air immediately around breastfeeding mothers and infants, note that Washington prohibits outdoor wood boilers and has very strict regulations about other residential wood burning; there are residential "burn bans" if pollution exceeds a certain level.(aa19). A search for regulations on websites of other state governments' environmental agencies (especially including the high-autism states) yields nothing of similar restrictiveness. Three of Washington's publications regarding wood smoke pollution are of such recognized quality that they are recommended reading even on a state environmental website from distant Minnesota.(aa12)

  -- A detailed 2010 study of pollution levels in Washington's Puget Sound found that most contaminants were at far lower levels than had been projected, some by as much as 99%; and the study's lead researcher concluded that "Regulations and increased public focus on pollution prevention appear to be paying off."(aa13)

  -- The above are merely examples, which are probably representative of many other aggressive actions taken by the Washington Department of Ecology that promote low levels of toxins in the environment.  And it is unlikely that a state's environmental department would be so unusually active and effective unless many of the state's citizens were supportive of efforts to reduce pollution. 

 

There should be little doubt that such unusual legal requirements (and probable public involvement) have substantially reduced emissions of developmental toxins in Washington.  And those actions appear to stand out in comparison with the lack of such measures on the parts of the states that, in contrast with Washington, have the very highest rates of autism.

So therefore the association of autism with high levels of breastfeeding obviously needs to be refined.  High levels of autism appear to be associated with high levels of breastfeeding in an area if there are reasons to expect women's body burdens of dioxins and mercury to be typical or high in that specific area.

Section 1.2.v  Possible Sexual-Orientation Effects of Dioxins and other Endocrine Disrupters in Breast Milk

Before introducing another set of possible causes and effects, this author will explain his personal position on the subject of alternative sexual orientations. I vigorously oppose any limitations on or disrespect shown toward any person based on that person’s personal preferences or behavior that causes no harm to others or to the environment. However, I also realize that most parents would like to know which kinds of infant feedings are associated with specific sexual-orientation outcomes as the child matures; and I see it to be in the general interest that most infants in advanced countries develop in a way that leads to their eventually procreating.  For those reasons, I present the following (which further relates to the previously-mentioned concern about the known de-masculinizing effects of chemicals that are contained in breast milk):

 

In 1981, Norway became the first country in the world to enact anti-discrimination laws protecting gay men and lesbians under both civil and criminal legislation.(http://www.glbtq.com/social-sciences/norway.html )  This "first" was not for lack of a Christian influence in that country; the Church of Norway claims about 86% of the population as baptized members.(http://www.kirken.no/english/engelsk.cfm?artid=5730).  It is very possible that it was merely a bow to political reality in a democratic country with a large gay population. Probably many voters (if not themselves homosexual) have gay fellow workers, relatives and/or friends, and the resulting familiarity caused most people to realize that gay people are good citizens and worthy human beings, not deserving of being discriminated against.  It is also likely that a large gay population is associated with Norway's extraordinarily high rate of breastfeeding, given the high levels of certain ingredients typically present in breast milk in modern industrialized countries, including ones found to cause feminization in sexual behavior of male laboratory animals (see Section 1.2.b.1).   

Sweden "is one of the most gay friendly nations on earth" with considerable legislation protecting gay and lesbian rights; "businesses face up to one year’s imprisonment if they fail to provide their normal level of service to someone because of his/her homosexuality." (http://www.gaytimes.co.uk/Hotspots/GayGuide-action-Country-countryid-912.html )  Again, unusually forceful national action favoring gays is probably related to an unusually large gay population within that nation.  And again, it is a country with a high rate of breastfeeding that probably has the unusually large gay population.

 

Minneapolis is the capital of what is the most heavily Swedish/Norwegian U.S. State, with its confirmed very high rate of breastfeeding.  Breastfeeding was very heavily promoted in Minneapolis by public health workers in the early 20th Century, resulting in a 96% rate of breastfeeding through the second month after birth at that time; (Am J Public Health. 2003 December; 93(12): 2000–2010. Low Breastfeeding Rates and Public Health in the United States  Jacqueline H. Wolf, PhD);  more recent data doesn’t seem to be available specifically for Minneapolis, but there is no reason to think that this city does not continue to have a very unusually high rate of breastfeeding.   And perhaps not surprisingly, Minneapolis was named Number 1 on the 2011 list of "Gayest Cities in America" by a gay-oriented publication. (http://www.advocate.com/Print_Issue/Travel/Gayest_Cities_in_America_February_2011/). (These annual rankings first started in 2010.)  In the absence of a census of the homosexual population, this publication did a study that seemed to be reasonably thorough when coming up with their list of the top 15 gay cities. They counted personal profiles placed on Gay.com for each city, numbers of openly-gay elected officials, performances by gay-oriented entertainers in the city during the previous five years, numbers of gay and gay-friendly religious congregations, lists of officiates for gay weddings, and other indicators of homosexual population size for each city, and then adjusted for the cities' total population sizes.  This is probably a good index of the relative proportions of gays in various cities' populations.  And Minneapolis, the capital of the state with the greatest concentration of the ethnicities that stand out with high rates of breastfeeding, and one of the three or four states that stand highest in the CDC’s 2000 survey of breastfeeding rates, was at the very top in the 2011 ranking as "the Gayest City." 

 

But keep in mind that the probable effects of breastfeeding in Minnesota relate not only to its prevalence but also to the likely contents of the breast milk; the high-fat Scandinavian diet increases the intake into women's bodies of the dioxins that have been found to feminize male laboratory animals (see Section 1.2.b.1) and possibly also toxins of the kind that masculinize female animals (see Section 1.6.a). 

 

Washington, one of the three states joining Minnesota on the list of states with the highest rates of breastfeeding, has two cities among the top nine on the above-mentioned 2011 list of Gayest Cities.  No other state matches that.  It should be noted that King County, Washington (the county in which one of those gayest cities, Seattle, is located) was found in the CDC’s 2000 breastfeeding survey to have the highest rate of breastfeeding among the 27 cities and counties for which data were reported. 

 

Note that the possible neurological effects of breastfeeding discussed here, seen to be strong in Washington, aren't in conflict with the previous finding that, in another area, the effects of breastfeeding in that state did not appear to be unusually high.  There are many different variations of dioxins (so-called "congeners") in the environment, as well as various other kinds of endocrine disruptors (such as BPA) contained in breast milk, with varying effects on neurological development; some of them are successfully minimized by Washington's anti-pollution efforts, and some of the others are probably not so minimized, before they enter and accumulate in the bodies of mothers-to-be.

 

Update:  The above was written before the 2012 list of 15 Gayest Cities compiled by the same publication was publicized.  On the basis of a modified set of criteria, Minneapolis and Seattle were two of only five cities that made the list in 2012 as well as 2011.  New on the 2012 list were (a) Portland, Oregon (Oregon always seems to be first or second from the top on the CDC’s various surveys of breastfeeding rates) and (b) Salt Lake City, Utah, in first place.  Utah was third from the highest in the CDC’s 2000 breastfeeding survey, but the survey’s margins of error were such that it could easily have actually been in first place if the whole population had provided information.  Salt Lake City’s top ranking at the gayest U.S. city was a surprise, given the until-recently staunch anti-homosexuality of the Mormon Church, which dominates in that state. (http://www.religioustolerance.org/hom_lds.htm  and http://www.affirmation.org/history/prologue.shtml)  It could be that the Church’s opposition was no match for the sheer numbers of gays in this mostly-Mormon home base of (apparently) the only major church in developed countries that strongly promotes breastfeeding. (See Section 1.2.s.2

 

When considering the odds that a particular city would turn out at random to be number one in the list of Gayest Cities, note that there are 110 U.S. cities with populations at least as large as that of Salt Lake City. (2000 Census)   It may be not entirely coincidental that in both of the last two surveys , based on different selection criteria each time, the city that was the number one Gayest City in the U.S. each time was a city that almost certainly had one of the very highest rates of breastfeeding in the entire United States.  Bear in mind what was pointed out earlier about findings in research with laboratory animals that showed de-masculinization or feminization of male test animals to result from exposure to dioxins and other chemicals that are known to be highly concentrated in breast milk.

 

 

 

1.2.w  Effects on U.S. Marriage Rates and Fertility Levels of Recently-Widespread Chemicals, often Concentrated in Breast Milk

It is also interesting to look at marriage trends and fertility rates that could be affected by possible de-masculinization of a large percentage of the men born in recent decades.  In the 25-34-year-old age group in the U.S., the percentage of men never married more than quintupled between 1970 and 2008, reaching 58% in the 25-29 age group. (data drawn from U.S. Census Bureau, found at http://www.infoplease.com/ipa/A0763219.html, "Percent Never Married")  Although there are clearly various causes behind such a gigantic change, any reductions in male sex drive and masculine sex appeal to women, and any increase in homosexual percentage of the male population, could only contribute greatly to such a trend.  Laboratory tests would predict that exactly those changes would have been likely to take place as a result of the major increase in the last half century of certain developmental toxins in the environment, which are concentrated in breast milk (see Sections 1.2.b-d and 1.9).  Bear in mind that breast milk in modern industrialized countries contains concentrations of dioxins, BPA, PBDEs and DEHP, all of which have been found in tests with animals to cause de-masculinization, testicular atrophy, or reduction of testosterone synthesis (see Sections 1.2.b.1,1.6.b and 1.7.1), or to affect the male reproductive system.  Research with human data has verified the results from animal tests regarding the testosterone-reducing, de-masculinizing effects of phthalates. (Section 1.6.b)

 

In connection with the above-mentioned likelihood of reduced male-female attraction resulting from an increase in toxins transmitted in breastfeeding, it could also be predicted that the number of births per woman would decline.  And that has certainly happened.  In a 2005 "Consensus Statement" from a group of 40 experts and researchers in reproductive epidemiology, biology, toxicology, and clinical medicine, evidence is cited that "12% of the reproductive age population in the United States, or 7.3 million couples, reports experiencing difficulty conceiving and/or carrying a pregnancy to term.  ….This appears to be a rising trend…"  (VALLOMBROSA CONSENSUS STATEMENT ON ENVIRONMENTAL CONTAMINANTS AND HUMAN FERTILITY COMPROMISE  OCTOBER 2005, a product of a workshop  spronsored by  the Stanford University School of Medicine’s Women’s Health@Stanford program and the national Collaborative on Health and the Environment )  Considering the modest percentage of the reproductive-age population who are currently married with a spouse present (35.5%) (Census Bureau 2006-10 American FactFinder data for 15-44 age groups) and the likely far lower percentage who want to have a birth (or want an additional child), 12% of that entire age group is an absolutely huge percentage to be trying unsuccessfully to have a baby.  It could easily be that most of those who currently want a pregnancy are unable to achieve conception.  A related publication stemming from this same conference ("Challenged Conceptions:  Environmental Chemicals and Fertility",  2005,  Stanford University School of Medicine) points out that the recent increase in infertility has been 3½ and 7  times as high among women below age 25 as among the two older age groupings. This calls into serious question the idea sometimes expressed that recent fertility problems have been mainly a result of widespread intentional postponement of childbearing until a later age.  A huge reduction in human mating and a dramatic rise in infertility (both occurring in recent decades) are exactly what could have been predicted on the basis of what was happening 20 to 40 years ago:  a greatly increased percentage of infants being breastfed, ingesting the rapidly-increasing concentrations of chemicals that are now known (on the basis of considerable scientific research) to de-masculinize males, which chemicals are contained in breast milk.

 

The Consensus Statement also points out that "recent research with animals has demonstrated effects on specific aspects of reproductive system development at very low levels of exposure to environmental contaminants."(emphasis added)   Dioxins, bisphenal A, and PBDEs are the first environmental contaminants mentioned in this Consensus Statement as chemicals that laboratory research has identified as harmful to mechanisms that are important to an individual's fertility. (item 9 of the statement). (Notice in Section 1.2.d that two of those three toxins are known to be in high concentrations in breast milk.)  It then goes on to explain the great similarity between the activities of hormones in test animals and those in humans, specifically in the area of reproduction, justifying the use of laboratory tests with animals for judging toxicity of various chemicals for human fertility.  And it notes that measurements of contaminants in people have detected some at levels that have been determined to affect reproductive processes.

Take note of something regarding the above-mentioned current inability to conceive on the part of what could easily be half or more of all couples who want to conceive, and also regarding the fact that infertility is growing far faster among younger women than among older women:   The average number of children born per woman in the United States in the 19th Century was four, and that was before so many modern methods of promoting conception had come into existence.  Currently, the average number of children born per married, native-born woman in the U.S. is slightly over one (Census Bureau data), and even that figure is made possible only by­­ substantial use of artificial means of promoting conception. (Rapid dwindling of the American population is being prevented by the current 41% of all U.S. births that are to unmarried women, along with the effects of immigration.)<<cite specific Census document>>  An earlier statement bears repeating:  A huge reduction in human mating and a dramatic rise in infertility are exactly what could have been predicted on the basis of what was happening 20 to 40 years ago:  a greatly increased percentage of infants being breastfed, ingesting rapidly-increasing concentrations of chemicals that are now known to de-masculinize males.  Special attention should be directed toward the word “concentrations” here, since conversion of weak incoming dosages into concentrated dosages in excreted milk is what takes place with many of the toxins that enter a woman’s body.  Can anybody think of a more logical explanation for what is happening?

 

Section 1.2.x   Various Locational Effects:

Section 1.2.x.1   PCBs, a "Dioxin-like" Toxin that Becomes Concentrated in Breast Milk, and another Dioxin Source:

As noted earlier (Section 1.2.a), PCB exposure (like that of dioxins in general) even at low levels during the perinatal periods is reported to be able to influence development in a way that can "cause irreversible neurological damage."  In addition to the above, there is other evidence from research involving humans (to follow) that moderate, background-type exposure of infants to PCBs harms mental development.  The following is taken from a State of California website. ("Prioritization of Toxic Air Contaminants:  Dioxins" - Children’s Environmental Health Protection Act October, 2001  (State of California) At  http://oehha.ca.gov/air/toxic_contaminants/pdf_zip/dioxin_Final.pdf, p. 17 ff).  Various researchers "have reported persistent neurological effects" of PCB exposures.  Another study, with 395 children, "reported that exposure in utero to 'background' PCB concentrations is associated with poorer cognitive functioning (cognitive abilities and verbal comprehension) in preschool 42-month-old children."  Another study, of 212 eleven-year-olds, involved children born to mothers who were known to have consumed Lake Michigan fish contaminated with PCBs, comparing them with a control group without such exposure.  The study found that the most highly-exposed children were "three times as likely to have low average IQ scores and twice as likely to be at least two years behind in reading comprehension." (emphasis added)  Other strong effects were related to memory and attention. 

Fig. 1.5

Description: PCBmap.bmp

The EPA does not provide data about total dioxin levels broken down by state, but it does provide a map showing levels of (the related) PCBs.     

 

Oregon, as mentioned, has an autism rate twice as high as the national median.  Nothing stands out on this map of PCB concentrations like western Oregon. And that specific dark area is also the section of Oregon with the highest levels of autism, within a very high-autism state.  There are also many paper and pulp mills in that same area, and such mills are known sources of dioxins and other neurological toxins.  So the environment in which the average nursing mother in Oregon has been eating and breathing seems to be unusual, and not in a good way.

 

Description: ORpaper.bmp

In this side-by-side map of Oregon, notice how similar the area with the most paper and pulp mills is to the area (in black) with higher-than-median levels of autism.

 

Maine is the state with the third-highest level of autism, and it was seventh in the U.S. in rate of breastfeeding at six months in the 2000 CDC survey.  The state also has unusually large numbers of paper and pulp mills (19, most of which include the more-polluting pulp operation), and it (along with Minnesota) has the least benefit from solar radiation among the 48 contiguous states. (http://www.cpbis.gatech.edu/data/mills-online?state=Maine)

 

One has to look closely in Figure 1.5 to see the small state of Vermont, which is essentially the un-colored section directly below the "a" in "Concentrations" in the map's heading.  The lack of color in that thinly-populated, very non-industrial state's location on this map says something about the kind of environment in which Vermont's mothers live, and about the probably-low average levels of toxins in their breast milk. There is apparently only one company in Vermont with a paper and pulp mill (www.cpbis.com for Vermont).  The above helps explain why Vermont can be among the states with higher levels of breastfeeding while at the same time having a medium level of autism.

 

 

PCBs are one major segment of the overall group of dioxins, and dioxins in general are known to be endocrine disruptors and therefore neurodevelopmental toxins. (See Section 1.2.a)   Dioxins are a product of most forms of combustion when there is a source of chlorine present, and hydrochloric acid (HCL) is a very effective source of chlorine for the formation of dioxins during combustion.  As indicated in the EPA-provided map on the left, Vermont is the only state among the U.S. northeastern states that, as an entire state, has low levels of HCL in its atmosphere.  The only other places in northeastern states where low levels of HCL show up are in the least-populated parts of the states.  How exceptional Vermont’s environment is can also be seen in the next map.  One would have to go over 1000 miles to reach another U.S. state with air quality so uniformly good.  Between its unusually-low population density, its relative freedom from atmospheric toxins, and the scarcity of HCL to enable formation of dioxins during typical combustion, dioxin levels in Vermont’s environment (and therefore in its air, water, soil, and much of its food) must be unusually low.  Therefore typical breast milk in Vermont must be low in the developmental toxins of the kinds that contribute to high levels of mental impairment in other states that have high rates of breastfeeding.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Section 1.2.x.2   Effects of Coastal vs. Inland Locations:  But there are, as usual, other factors that help explain the differences observed.  According to a study of mercury levels in U.S. women by a researcher with the EPA and others, "Women living near the coastal areas had approximately three to four times greater risk of exceeding acceptable levels of Hg (mercury) exposure than did noncoastal-dwelling women."(Adult Women's Blood Concentrations Levels Vary Regionally in the U.S., by Kathryn R. Mahaffey,1et al (1Office of Science Coordination and Policy, EPA) found at http://www.medscape.com/viewarticle/587407_4). That could help explain why the states with the second and third highest rates of autism in the U.S. (and  high rates of breast feeding) are states with the bulk of their populations near an ocean (Oregon and Maine), while the landlocked states with high breastfeeding rates generally have relatively low autism rates. Highest-autism Minnesota isn't coastal, but it is home to the most active port on the Great Lakes (Duluth) as well as the Mississippi River port in St. Paul.  Over 5 million tons of commodities passed through Twin Cities river terminals in 2010, apparently with most of that activity right in the middle of the city of St. Paul. (http://www.sppa.com/river-shipping-terminals/)   An earlier statement is worth repeating:  High levels of autism appear to be associated with high levels of breastfeeding if there are reasons to expect women's body burdens of dioxins and mercury to be typical or high in that area. But it should be kept in mind that reasons for expecting high body burdens of toxins can be only partly shown by maps such as those above, or by considering distance from the coast.  It is apparently, more than anything, a matter of individual long-term dietary habits.

 

Vermont and all low-autism states outside the far south are well inland, and are therefore not as subject to high levels of atmospheric mercury, and probably other toxins, as the coastal states are. 

 

The states in the far South that have low levels of autism despite being coastal have the advantages of both (a) extra solar radiation (see Sections 3.1-2), and (b) high African-American population percentages; bear in mind that African-Americans breastfeed at about half the rate compared with whites, and are also half as high in their rates of autism. (See Section 1.2.s

 

Section 1.2.x.3  Other Factors that Greatly Affect the Toxic Contents of Breast Milk:   On the subject of low pollution and consequently low toxins in breast milk:  The reader may have noticed in Figure 1.4a that the area with relatively high percentages of Norwegian and Swedish ancestry extends west from Minnesota into the Dakotas, especially to North Dakota. And rates of breastfeeding are also high in those states (although not as high as Minnesota's).  But rates of autism in those two states are substantially below average.  So it is worth looking at levels of pollution in those states, which are likely to end up in breast milk. Figure 1.5 shows very low levels of PCBs where those two states are located. The American Lung Association in its 2009 "State of the Air" report ranked Fargo (the largest city in North Dakota) as the cleanest city in the United States, and gave the rest of the state 11 "A" ratings on air quality.(Wikipedia). Less than 2% of North Dakota's land area is forest land, meaning that firewood for residential burning would be especially expensive, reducing that potential source of particulate matter, dioxins and lead in indoor air and a community’s air to an extremely low level.

Fig. 1.6

Description: SDlakes.bmpIn areas with substantial forest land such as Minnesota, Maine, and the Pacific Northwest, lakes typically form sheltered basins in forested areas where wood burning emissions and other pollutants collect, often with many nursing women and infants residing and breathing the bad air in those wooded basins.  In the near-absence of forests in the Dakotas, the lakes don't form such sheltered areas for collecting polluted air.  (See these leading pictures from tourist-promotion sites for both Dakotas.)

 

Population density is another determinant of toxins in the air, almost all of which arise from various forms of combustion.  In that regard note that population density in the Dakotas is one-sixth as high as in Minnesota (Census Bureau). The dark areas showing Norwegian and Swedish ancestries in the Dakotas show percentages, in thinly-populated areas; that probably makes formation of communities with common ancestries (and therefore long-term continuation of the high-fat Scandinavian diet) less likely in the Dakotas.  And, as noted in the previous section, a location that is distant from coasts (such as that of the Dakotas) apparently has a very distinct advantage in reduced atmospheric levels of developmental toxins.

 

Section 1.2.x.4  Effects of Precipitation and Sunshine:

Fig. 1.7   Average Precipitation Levels in the U.S.

Another environmental feature that helps keep toxin levels down in the Dakotas is a low level of precipitation.  Precipitation brings toxins in the atmosphere down to the human-level environment and is also instrumental in the formation of dioxins (more on this later).  Precipitation affects the amounts of toxins that are deposited on vegetation that is consumed by farm animals whose meat is eaten by childbearing women in the region, and also affects the amounts of toxins that end up in lakes and rivers and then come up the food chain into freshwater fish that are eaten.  There are also far fewer trees in low-precipitation areas, especially trees that are good sources of logs for burning, so that the particulate matter, dioxins and lead that are typically emitted inside homes by residential wood burning would rarely be present in those areas.  As this map shows, Minnesota (and the vast majority of its population) is mostly in the zone of medium precipitation, and the Dakotas (with their low rates of autism) are in the zone of low precipitation. High-autism Maine and the most-populated, high-autism part of Oregon both has high precipitation.

 

Of the ten states on this map that are mostly low in precipitation (mostly red, brown and/or tan, but excluding the very exceptional California), everyone is below the national median rate of autism; their average is 25% below the national median rate of autism

 

In addition to reduced deposition of toxins, low-precipitation zones also receive more sunshine than is normal for their latitudes; this is partly because of reduced cloud cover and partly because of very little forest cover in these areas to shield the deposited dioxins from destruction by solar radiation.  Greater amounts of solar radiation reduce formation of dioxins, shorten the toxic lives of dioxins that are present, and enable the body to create vitamin D, thereby promoting immune function, which is associated with lower levels of autism (more detail in Section 3).  

 

Of the eight U.S. states with the highest rates of breastfeeding, <<insert table in appendix and refer>>

   a) the state with the highest rate, Oregon, has an autism rate twice as high as the national average;

   b) Minnesota has the very highest autism rate of any U.S. state;

   c) California has the highest autism rate among all southern states, where high solar radiation has a beneficial effect in reducing autism (see just above);

   d) regarding Washington state and Vermont, there are good reasons to expect women’s body burdens of developmental toxins to be unusually low in those states (see Sections 1.2.u and 1.2.x.1); but both states are nevertheless above the national median rate of autism;

   e) the remaining three high-breastfeeding states (Montana, Idaho, and Colorado) are all within the western low-precipitation zone, which (as explained above) apparently has very beneficial effects in reducing pollution of the kinds that raise levels of developmental toxins in breast milk.

 

Going another three states down the list of high-breastfeeding states, the next two (Utah and New Mexico) are also in the beneficial, low-precipitation zone; and then comes Maine, the state with the third-from-the-highest rate of autism in the U.S.

 

So we have seen that, at the high end of the widely varying rates of breastfeeding in the U.S., the direct association with autism is strong, but it is complicated by

    a) effects of different levels of precipitation and sunshine, which greatly influence the levels of toxins in women’s bodies and in breast milk,

    b) other pollution-reducing circumstances or human initiatives, which reduce body burdens of developmental toxins in some areas, and

    c) effects of varying diets (such as a high-fat Scandinavian-type diet that is probably common in Minnesota), which in turn affect the levels of toxins in typical breast milk.

 

 

Section 1.2.x.5   Probable Effect of Low Levels of Breastfeeding:  At the low end of the spectrum of varying breastfeeding rates within the U.S., the association between breastfeeding and autism is not at all complicated.  The seven states with the lowest rates of breast feeding are all in the bottom third of autism rates in the contiguous U.S. states, (Kentucky, West Virginia, South Carolina, Arkansas, Alabama, Louisiana and Mississippi).    (Iowa's reported autism rates were omitted from this list on the grounds that its data are not comparable with data from the other states, since its four-year trend was completely at odds with the trends in the other 47 contiguous states, implying that Iowa was out of step with the rest of the nation in methods of diagnosing the condition.)

 

 

Section 1.2.x.6   Another look at Europe, associating Breastfeeding with Autism rates:

Ireland's relatively low rate of autism, and the high rates of Norway and Sweden, can be associated not only with their rates of breastfeeding but also with the probable contents of the breast milk in the various countries as affected by diet, including the high-fat Scandinavian diet.  As clues to the typical consumption of meat (the other major source of dioxins and mercury in the average mother's diet) for the average Irish, Norwegian or Swedish citizen,

a) there are over twice as many vegetarian restaurants in Ireland per capita as in either Norway or Sweden (www.happycow.com and www.worldatlas.com).  This difference is not apparently due to greater ability of Irish people to afford the expense of eating out, since per capita income on a "purchasing power parity basis" is essentially identical between Ireland and Sweden, and oil-wealthy Norway  is substantially better off than both; ("The World Fact Book" at www.cia.gov). 

b) if one particular food is an unusually large part of a people's diet, other kinds of foods would correspondingly be consumed in smaller quantities.  Potatoes were such an important part of the Irish diet, at least in the 19th century (and probably continuing to a great extent today), that a blight affecting only that one crop caused a million to die from famine and a million or more to emigrate from Ireland.  More potatoes in the diet probably means less of the dioxin-containing meat, fish and dairy products.

 

<<other confounding factors in studies: rural where more pesticide exposure; also publication bias>>

 

1.3  Harmfulness of Lead in even the Smallest Amount, and Terminology related to Mental Retardation

In addition to what is widely known about harmfulness of lead to mental development, we add the following from the EPA's website:  "Lead is the only chemical treated as a non-threshold non-carcinogen. That is, adverse health effects can occur at any level of exposure. A great deal of information on the health effects of lead has been obtained through decades of medical observation and scientific research….  It appears that some of these effects, particularly changes in ….  aspects of children’s neurobehavioral development, may occur at blood lead levels so low as to be essentially without a threshold…." (v) (emphasis added)

 

Mention should be made here of the different terms that are used to mean very much the same thing. "Mental retardation" has for many people become an overly negative, pessimistic term; according to Wikipedia, "over 100 ... organizations are striving to eliminate the use of the "r-word" (analogous to the "n-word") in everyday conversation."  Some government agencies now instead use subdued terms in describing the effects of lead and other toxins, such as "causes lower IQ" or "changes neurobehavioral development" or "causes developmental delay."  But such terms tend to mask the life-impairing seriousness of the toxins to which infants are often exposed.  It should be born in mind that a specific "lower IQ" (below a score of 70) has long been the standard basis for determining mental Description: leaddecline.bmpretardation, that "delayed development" in actuality is normally permanent rather than delayed, and that "changes in neurobehavioral development” is an abstract way to tell what is probably happening when infants' brains are becoming those of autistic children or delinquents or are losing the ability to focus attention.  Medline Plus, a medical encyclopedia published by the NIH, comes a little closer to words that acknowledge the gravity of lead's hazards in saying that it "can affect children's developing nerves and brains. The younger the child, the more harmful lead can be. Unborn children are the most vulnerable."

 

Figure 2a1

As shown in this chart, there has been a huge drop in what is considered acceptable blood levels of lead in children.  Various studies have determined that each 10 ug/dl in lead level makes a difference of between 3 and 5.5 points in a child's IQ.  So lead levels that were considered acceptable in the 1960's could easily have been causing 15 to 27 points in lower IQ for each affected child. Bearing in mind that a score of 100 is in the exact center of the IQ range and below 70 is considered to be mentally retarded, that means that lead exposure that was considered acceptable as of the 1960's could have been lowering the IQs of many children from medium to that of retardation.  A large part of the mental retardation of earlier decades may have resulted essentially from lead levels that were considered acceptable at that time. 

 

It is probable that the major decline in mental disability among females that occurred in the last generation or so resulted to a great extent from the huge decline in lead levels that took place during that time.   Discussing measurements of cognitive harm found in a study of effects of lead exposure on 375 infants, the ATSDR points out that “throughout the various assessments, it was noted that ... girls were more sensitive to the effects of lead than boys. ( TOXICOLOGICAL PROFILE FOR LEAD,  Agency for Toxic Substances and Disease Registry August 2007, p. 119)    This (along with increases in toxins that affect males specifically, to be explained) may help explain why mental impairment among U.S. females declined substantially while it was increasing among males.

 

Fig. 2a2 (from  http://www.epa.gov/air/airtrends/lead.html)                                                     Fig. 2a3

Description: leadair.bmpDescription: usbloodlead.bmp

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

1.4  Particulate Matter (PM) and Diesel Exhaust

The EPA oversees substantial research on "particulate matter", but typically only publishes environmental pollution data for "diesel particulate matter", as in the EPA's NATA 1999 air toxics assessment.  That phrase was replaced in the NATA 2002 assessment with "diesel engine emissions".  There is considerable overlap in what is encompassed in the meanings of the three above phrases, as well as substantial differences.  But particulate matter from diesel emissions seems to be the specific kind of PM that the EPA considers to be of the greatest significance.

 

In an EPA document, the authors pointed out findings of a study suggesting that "…the central nervous system is a potentially impor­tant toxicologic target of PM2.5 (very tiny particles of the kind predominant in diesel emissions)…  In support of this significant result, studies of mice chronically exposed to ambient PM2.5 documented loss of brain neurons (Veronesi et al. 2005) and changes in gene expres­sion in the brain….."(w) (italics added)   In a report about work at the University of Rochester's Environmental Sciences Center, findings are stated that "inhaled ultrafine particles can reach the central nervous system" and can do so efficiently.(x) 

 

In addition to complete particles reaching the nervous system, organic compounds (which include dioxins and PAHs) adsorbed onto particles can be freed from the particles and "rapidly absorbed into the bloodstream." (y) (parenthetical expression added)  The EPA document on PM Centers cited earlier in this section refers to "a number of PM Center studies (providing) a strong eviden­tiary basis for oxidative damage as a general toxicologic mechanism of PM injury."  Metals in PM were found to play a role in formation of "reactive oxygen species," which are extremely reactive molecules and ions that can harm cells.  If words like "oxidative" and "reactive oxygen" are not familiar terminology to the reader, bear in mind that oxidation damages or destroys matter, sometimes quickly (as in burning) and sometimes slowly, as with rust. 

 

Aside from evidence about general neurological harm resulting from oxidative damage caused by particulate matter, a team of scientists studying the connection between vehicular exhaust and autism referred in 2011 to "emerging evidence that oxidative stress and inflammation are also involved in the pathogenesis of autism."(z)

 

Notice that most of the above indications of harm that can be caused by PM refer to effects on tissues and brains in general, regardless of age.  The specially great vulnerability of developing brains should be considered in light of the statement by the NIH (quoted in Section 1.2.a) about the "greatest risk … when organ and neural systems are developing."  The 2011 study quoted in the previous paragraph states that "Diesel exhaust particles present in traffic-related pollution have been shown to have endocrine-disrupting activity and to transplacentally affect sexual differentiation and alter cognitive function in mice ." (z)  (emphasis added). Another relevant experiment was conducted on male rats over a three-month period beginning at birth, in which it was found that diesel exhaust was responsible for "disrupting the endocrine system".(cc)  Also, scientists replicated lungs of infants to compare with replicated lungs of adults, tested both for particle deposition after exposure to particles, and concluded that "tracheobronchial dose on a per kg body mass basis……may be more than six times higher in the resting newborn than in the resting adult."(bb)

 

In Section 4.4 of the EPA's 2002 Health Assessment Document for Diesel Engine Exhaust, it is pointed out that, "Extensive studies with salmonella have unequivocally demonstrated mutagenic activity…. Several  of the chemicals found in diesel emissions possess mutagenic activity in a variety of genetic assays."  That same document points out that approximately 80%-95% of the mass of particles in diesel exhaust are in the size range from 0.05-1.0 microns which, "due to their small size, can effectively reach the lower portions of the respiratory tract." (aa22)

 

The fact that diesel emissions are a major source of dioxins (and a rapidly-growing sources of dioxins in the U.S.) ties in with the previously-mentioned effects observed to result from PM and diesel emissions:   altered cognitive function, loss of brain neurons, and changes in gene expression.  (The action of dioxins as endocrine disruptors, probably resulting in interference with normal brain development, was discussed in Sections 1.2.a and 1.2.b.)

 

Although PM is the component of diesel exhaust that seems to receive the most attention, harm to the developing brain is seen to result also from other diesel emission components that are sometimes studied separately, including PAHs.(z) (aa)  Regarding how best to protect infants against the effects of diesel emissions, it is noteworthy that researchers cited above found that, "Because these effects were not inhibited by filtration, the gaseous phase of the (diesel) exhaust appears more responsible than particulate matter for disrupting the endocrine system."  However, later in that same EPA document (section 5.3) it is stated that "When adsorbed onto diesel particles, the gases and vapors can be transported and deposited deeper into the lungs, and because they are more concentrated on the particle surface, the resultant cytotoxic (harmful to cells) effects or physiological responses may be enhanced."   So there appears to be some question regarding which of the specific components of diesel emissions are likely to cause the most serious damage to neurological development. ­

 

Diesel emissions from trucks and trains are especially likely to be harmful because they are released close to ground level, from large numbers of exhaust pipes that are travelling thousands of miles on roads and tracks that are widely distributed within populated areas.  Those emissions quickly and directly reach the air breathed by many infants and childbearing women, and their particulate matter lands on surfaces crawled on by many infants, as well as on objects handled, and on soil that could then be ingested by infants.  A study of effects of proximity to California freeways (published in 2011) found a considerably elevated percentage of cases of autism among infants residing within about 1000 feet of a freeway. (z) That study was probably mainly finding the effects of diesel emissions from passing trucks and buses, as indicated by the following­According to EPA data for the year 2000, total dioxin toxic equivalency produced by on-road diesel emissions in the U.S. was about 17 times as high as the total produced by on-road unleaded gas fuel combustion emissions (Figure 1-8 in EPA/600/P-03/002F November 2006 An Inventory of Sources and Environmental Releases of Dioxin-Like Compounds in the United States for the Years 1987, 1995, and 2000)

 

Diesel emissions have been found in a study to be harmful to the endocrine output of male test animals.  "Sperm production and hyaluronidase activity, one of the biochemical markers for testicular toxicity, were reduced in the diesel exhaust-exposed rats…. These elements indicate that testicular function was suppressed by the inhalation of diesel exhaust.  the male reproductive system may be particularly susceptible to toxic insult during the gestation period, as has been observed….in various studies."   (cc)  "Inhalation of Diesel Engine Exhaust Affects Spermatogenesis in Growing Male Rats," N Watanabe and Y Oonuki, Department of Environmental Health, Tokyo Metropolitan Research Laboratory of Public Health, Tokyo, Japan. nobuew@tokyo-eiken.go.jp.  Environmental Health Perspectives, Vol. 107, No. 7, accessed at http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC1566672/ )  It should be noted that, although the level of the test animals' exposure in this experiment was well above the average urban U.S. diesel pollution levels, that exposure was for only a total of 30 hours per week, and it didn't begin until after birth.  In that regard, remember from a study quoted previously that diesel emissions have been shown to act transplacentally (z), and remember that the brain is going through very important development before birth.  So the exposure to diesel emissions applied in this study probably came after the equivalent period when harmful exposure to diesel emissions in a typical urban environment would have already been well underway, but this abbreviated exposure nevertheless had a significant effect.

 

The "bunker" type of fuel that is used in ocean-going ships and for heating in some large urban buildings is an atypical form of diesel fuel.  It is a tar-like product consisting of the residual that remains after distillates are extracted from crude oil in the process of making other kinds of fuel, with many toxic components concentrated in that residual.  Most people are surprised to learn that the EPA has calculated that many thousands of deaths occur in North America every year as a result of diesel emissions from ocean-going ships.(aa11), although substantial death rates have also been attributed to land-based diesel emissions (per EPA announcements <<add details>>).  An EPA document regarding diesel pollution from ocean shipping points out that the PM contained in marine diesel emissions includes mercury, lead, and dioxin, as well as arsenic and other metals. (aa2).  It also points out that "Marine diesel engine emissions consist of a higher fraction of ….. metallic ash (approximately 7-11%) than (is) typically found in land-based engines".(aa3)   Another authoritative source places the fraction of metallic ash in diesel emissions of PM 2.5 and PM 0.1 (the deepest-penetrating categories of PM) at between 17% and 25%.(aa6)  The higher proportion of metallic ash in marine diesel emissions is important because (a) some of the metals are known to be neuro-developmental toxins, (b) formation of dioxins during combustion is promoted by metals' acting as catalysts during the combustion (EPA/600/P-03/002F November 2006, p. 2-2), and (c) as mentioned earlier in this section, metals are important in formation of reactive oxygen species, which damage tissues, including neurological tissues.  Between the above and the presence of sodium chloride in sea air (as a source of the chlorine needed to form dioxins), marine diesel emissions may be substantially higher in dioxins than is average for other diesel engine exhaust, and they almost certainly contain a higher proportion of mercury and lead.

 

Summarizing:  Particulate matter and diesel emissions can be generally harmful to central nervous systems.  Infants can receive dosages that are effectively several times higher than adults just by breathing, not to mention the concentrations that may be carried in breast milk.  Infants can receive those effectively very high dosages at the worst possible time, when their brains are developing and before their defense mechanisms have matured. Research “indicates that testicular function was suppressed by the inhalation of diesel exhaust.”

 

1.5    Mercury

An EPA web page on mercury points out the following: "for fetuses, infants, and children, the primary health effect of methylmercury is impaired neurological development." (rr)  "Methylmercury exposure adversely affects a number of cellular events in the developing brain both in utero and post-natally.(ss, p. 49)   …There is an extremely high level of scientific certainty that methylmercury causes these changes (abnormalities in the human brain)." (p. 51)  The only question is when the effect is most likely to occur:  "it is not possible to precisely identify the period of development during which mercury is likely to damage the nervous system of the developing fetus or growing child"(tt).   One study of hazardous air pollutants found a moderate association of autism with estimated airborne metal levels at birth, most notably mercury, cadmium, and nickel. (uu)

Mercury to which children (and all of us) are exposed comes only partly from nearby sources, since airborne mercury can stay in the air for a year and travel thousands of miles.(vv)  What isn't breathed in by humans and animals is deposited to a great extent onto trees and plant life or is taken in through the stomata of plants, or falls onto the soil from where it enters plants' roots, thereby entering the food chain.  But absorption by marine plant life, which is then eaten by fish, which in turn are eaten by other fish, is normally considered to be the largest primary avenue for mercury into human bloodstreams. This effect of increasing mercury at higher levels in the food chain usually has greater impact in freshwater fish than saltwater fish.

Exposure of infants and child-bearing women to mercury varies tremendously, and is a serious concern.  Among children aged 3-6, the 5% who consume the most fish and shellfish receive ten times more exposure to mercury from the fish than does the average child.   Among women of child-bearing ages, the 1% who consume the most fish receive over thirty times as much mercury as the average. 5% of children have methylmercury exposures from fish/shellfish two-to-three times the EPA's recommended safe maximum amount (RfD).   (EPA-452/R-97-006, December 1997, Mercury Study Report to Congress. Volume IV:  An Assessment of Exposure to Mercury in the United States, Tables 4-70, 71 &72, and p. ES-3)    However, the benefits of Omega 3 fatty acids in fish to mental development are also believed to be significant.  A 2005 research study found that infant "cognition" at six months of age was normally lower when mothers had higher levels of mercury, but it was higher with mothers who ate more than average amounts of fish, which caused the authors to recommend that mothers eat ample amounts of specific species of fish that are known to be low in mercury.  (Maternal Fish Consumption, Hair Mercury, and Infant Cognition in a U.S. Cohort, Emily Oken et. al., Environmental Health Perspectives, Oct. 2005)

Wildfires and residential wood burning cause deposited or absorbed mercury to re-suspend into the air, and this re-suspension takes place in concentrated form; the re-suspension during fires is likely to be from the heated soil (including deposited, decayed vegetation) as well as from living vegetation (aa20).  An environmental toxicologist at the Oregon Department of Environmental Quality was quoted in The Oregonian as saying that he "could tell when wildfires were burning by looking at data from mercury monitors. The fires send mercury levels three or four times higher."  According to the EPA, 50 tons of mercury were emitted from burning of coal in U.S. power plants in 1999, even after considerable reductions took effect as required by the Clean Air Act of 1990. (http://www.epa.gov/mercury/control_emissions/index.htm )

1.6.a  Pesticides: (In this section, the reader should be aware that pesticides are widely used around residences as well as agriculturally.)  In a study published in 2007 by researchers with the state of California, of children who went through gestation in the vicinity of where organochlorine pesticides (principally dicofol and endosulfan) were applied agriculturally, it was found that eight subjects had ASD where the normal expected number of cases would have been 1.8"Risk for ASD was consistently associated with residential proximity to organochlorine pesticide applications occurring around the period of CNS embryogenesis (early development of the central nervous system); this association appeared to increase with dose and was attenuated with increasing distance of residence from the field site."(In Environmental Health Perspectives, of the NIH, found at http://ehp03.niehs.nih.gov/article/fetchArticle.action?articleURI=info:doi/10.1289/ehp.10168 :  "Maternal Residence Near Agricultural Pesticide Applications and Autism Spectrum Disorders among Children in the California Central Valley", Eric M. Roberts et al.)  The EPA discontinued the registrations of endosulfan and dicofol in 2010 and 2011, after both had been in use since the 1950's.

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Formal Correction: This article has been formally corrected to address the following errors.

 

Chlorpyrifos is the first pesticide mentioned in a statement about insecticides that "have long predominated for insect control on lawns, shade trees and shrubs, and nurseries." (Classes of Pesticides Used in Landscape/Nursery Pest Management,  Whitney Cranshaw, Colorado State Univ., accessed Jan. 2012 at http://www.entomology.umn.edu/cues/Web/042ClassesOfPesticides.pdf)   "Chorpyrifos exposure was linked to changes in social behavior and brain development as well as developmental delays in young laboratory animals.….  Researchers studied the blood of women who were exposed to chlorpyrifos and the blood of their children from birth for three years. Children who had chlorpyrifos in their blood had more developmental delays and disorders than children who did not have chlorpyrifos in their blood. Exposed children also had more attention deficit disorders and hyperactivity disorders."  (Chlorpyrifos – General Fact Sheet    National Pesticide Information Center, Oregon State University in cooperation with US EPA)  Note that the EPA seems to use the term "developmental delay" the way "mental retardation" would have been used in earlier, less sensitive times.  It is interesting to note that (in a European study) exposure of rat fetuses to low dosages of chlorpyrifos during gestation "did not induce large immediate effects on brain development (aa23), but ….did cause deficits in brain cell numbers …(and capabilities)... which emerged in adolescence and continued into adulthood." (emphasis and parenthetical expression added) (Potential developmental neurotoxicity of pesticides used in Europe   Bjørling-Poulsen et al;  Environ Health. 2008; 7: 50.Published online 2008 October 22.)  Studies that claim to find no decline in mental or other health in children exposed to various environmental toxins (such as those typically included in breast milk) probably don’t continue long enough to detect long-term consequences, including cancer as well as neurological effects such as mentioned above.

 

Chlorpyrifos has also been found to cause developmental deficits in male rats without causing the same deficits in developing females  (Chlorpyrifos exposure during a critical neonatal period elicits gender-selective deficits in the development of coordination skills and locomotor activity. Dam K at al. Brain Res Dev Brain Res. 2000 Jun 30;121(2):179-87.  PubMed - NCBI  accessed at http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed)  In the late 20th Century, chlorpyrifos was the most commonly used residential insecticide in the U.S., found in products for both indoor and outdoor use; it has since then been withdrawn from residential use.  Journal of Exposure Analysis and Environmental Epidemiology (2001) 11, 501–509. 10.1038/sj.jea.7500193  Quantitative analysis of children's microactivity patterns: The Minnesota Children's Pesticide Exposure Study  N C G FREEMAN et al.   And it has probably been replaced with other pesticides that, similarly, had never been tested for toxicity to human infants before going into wide use.

 

"Many pesticides target the nervous system of insect pests. Because of the similarity of neurochemical processes, these compounds are also likely to be neurotoxic to humans…Some 60% of all herbicides… have been reported to interfere with thyroid function…. Even within the normal range, a relatively slight reduction of the concentration of maternal thyroid hormones during pregnancy can lead to intelligence deficits in the children."(Bjørling-Poulsen et al. )   Vinclozolin, a fungicide used on many types of fruits and vegetables, is a potent anti-androgen. (Gray LE Jr, Ostby JS, Kelce W. Antiandrogenic effects of the fungicide vinclozolin on sex

differentiation of the rat. Toxicol AppI Pharmacol (in press). 

 

"Many of the persistent organochlorine pesticides …have been identified as endocrine disruptors….  pups (exposed to some of these chemicals) were impaired on both learning and retention of active avoidance tasks."(Cognitive Effects of Endocrine-Disrupting Chemicals in Animals, Susan L. Schantz and John J. Widholm, Department of Veterinary Biosciences and Neuroscience Program, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, Illinois,  in Environ Health Perspect 109:1197–1206 (2001). [Online 14 November 2001]  Found at http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC1240501/pdf/ehp0109-001197.pdfThe pesticides procymidone and vinclozolin are anti-androgens.  "A number of organochlorine pesticides, including Kepone, methoxychlor, and zearalenone, have been shown to masculinize female rats. Tamoxifen demasculinizes male rats." (Environmental Endocrine Disruption:  An Effects Assessment and Analysis, by Thomas  Crisp et al, EPA,  in Environmental Health Perspectives, Vol. 106, Feb. 1998, Supplement, pp. 24, 29 )

 

The EPA conducted a study assessing data availability on close to 3,000 chemicals that the United States produces or imports at more than 1 million pounds per year and concluded that only 23% of those chemicals had been tested for reproductive and developmental toxicity. Test data were considered available if any studies relevant to reproductive and developmental toxicity were located.  (Scientific Frontiers in Developmental Toxicology and Risk Assessment (2000)  Commission on Life Sciences, National Academy of Science, National Academies Press, p. 24)  Note that this small percentage of any kind of developmental testing applied to the highest-volume chemicals in the U.S.; nearly 100,000 different chemicals are currently in commercial or industrial use in the U.S.   Even if testing is performed, one may wonder whether the testing with animals is normally sufficient to find out about all or most of the likely harmful effects on humans.  

 

 

A study of Missouri men “showed high levels of three widely use pesticides—alachlor, atrazine, and diazinon—in their urine. Men showing the highest levels of these compounds were more likely to have poorer sperm quality; … the chance of low sperm counts was 30 times greater for those with the highest levels of (alachlor) in their urine compared with those with the lowest levels." (Challenged Conceptions:  ENVIRONMENTAL CHEMICALS AND FERTILIty" 2005,  a publication of Stanford University School of Medicine)

 

 

1.6.b  DEHP and other Phthalates:  A web page of the FDA * *(http://www.fda.gov/downloads/MedicalDevices/DeviceRegulationandGuidance/GuidanceDocuments/UCM080457.pdf) points out that DEHP (a phthalate, found in many plastics) has been shown in experiments with animals to cause testicular atrophy.  (Research including humans to follow)  The special significance of testicular atrophy as regards neurological impairment can be seen in Section 1.2.b of this paper, which explains the importance of testosterone in development of the infant brain, and in the section dealing with declining fertility in industrialized countries (Section 1.2.w).

 

Research directly involving humans has been especially plentiful in the case of DEHP and other phthalates.  A study published in 2006 investigated phthalate contamination of breast milk of Danish and Finnish mothers and found various forms of phthalates to be present, and concluded, “Our data on reproductive hormone profiles and phthalate exposures in newborn boys are in accordance with rodent data and suggest that human Leydig cell (which produces testosterone) development and function may also be vulnerable to perinatal exposure to some phthalates. Our findings are also in line with other recent human data showing incomplete virilization in infant boys exposed to phthalates prenatally.” (parenthetical expression added) (Main KM, et al. 2006. Human Breast Milk Contamination with Phthalates and Alterations of Endogenous Reproductive Hormones in Infants Three Months of Age. Environ Health Perspect 114:270-276. http://dx.doi.org/10.1289/ehp.8075)  A study of effects of human mothers’ exposure to phthalates found that this exposure was likely to partially “undermasculinize” sons of those women.  “The effect was most striking in boys whose mothers carried the strongest mixtures of phthalates…. The researchers noted that they observed the effect at levels of phthalates equivalent to those seen in about one in four American women.” (Challenged Conceptions:  ENVIRONMENTAL CHEMICALS AND FERTILITY" 2005,  a publication of Stanford University School of Medicine, p. 15)    “Phthalates in pregnant women’s urine was linked to subtle, but specific, genital changes in their male infants … incomplete descent of testes and a smaller scrotum and penis (Swan et al. 2005)."(http://e.hormone.tulane.edu/learning/human-effects.html , Tulane University: Endocrine Disruption Tutorial)   Phthalate exposure in childhood was associated with attention deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) in a cross-sectional study of Korean school children between the ages of 8 and 11 years. (Kim BN et al. 2009. Phthalates exposure and attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder in school-age children. Biol Psychiatry 66(10):958–963.)  In a New York City study, phthalate exposures of human infants were strongly related to measurement of tendencies toward aggression, attention problems, conduct problems and depression. (The Mount Sinai Children’s Environmental Health Study, “Prenatal Phthalate Exposure Is Associated with Childhood Behavior and Executive Functioning, S.M. Engel et al.   http://ehsehplp03.niehs.nih.gov/article/info:doi%2F10.1289%2Fehp.0901470)   A Swedish study found that autism rates were twice as high as average for children in households with PVC flooring (known to contain DEHP), especially in parents’ bedrooms. (Associations between indoor environmental factors and parental-reported autistic spectrum disorders in children 68 years of age  Malin Larssona, et al.  NeuroToxicology Volume 30, Issue 5, September 2009, Pages 822831)

 

(For additional verification of reproductive effects of various environmental chemicals in research directly including humans, see the last paragraph of the preceding section, Section 1.6.a.)

 

It should be noted that DEHP has been widely used as a plasticizer for manufacturing many plastic products with which infants can come into contact, including flexible toys, floor tiles, table cloths, furniture and auto upholstery, baby pants, shoes, rainwear, and food and beverage containers.  (from website of the ATSDR at http://www.atsdr.cdc.gov/toxfaqs/tf.asp?id=377&tid=65 )  It has apparently been banned in children's products as of 2008, but there are probably many still in use.  An especially likely avenue for exposure of infants is via runoff of DEHP from shower curtains into tubs in which infants will later be bathed, with soapy water being a likely medium for lifting and re-suspending the dried DEHP residue and helping it soak in through the skin, especially into the very exposed male scrotum and then into the testicles.   

Description: skinsurfcexposr.bmpFigure 2a4

The ATSDR is particularly concerned about infants' chewing on plastic objects not designed for that purpose.  According to a small poll taken by the author of this paper, that sort of thing is extremely widespread.   But the ATSDR points out that even skin contact with plastics can be a source of exposure to DEHP.  The agency indicates that other likely sources of low-level exposure include packaging "especially of fatty foods like milk products, fish or seafood, and oils." (Fatty foods are of special concern, since fat helps the DEHP to dissolve and transfer.) 

 

Since mere skin contact with plastics can be a source of exposure to DEHP, consider how much greater would be the exposure of an infant in a tub to water containing runoff from DEHP-containing shower curtains, or bromine or PCBs in the water supply, or possible toxins in cleaning solutions.

 

 

<<<insert re PCP, drawing from Indiana secn, >>

 

 

1.7.1   Dioxin-like PBDE Levels Rapidly Increasing in Breast Milk, and especially High in the U.S., and Affecting Males Especially:  PBDEs are chemicals whose main environmental properties and mechanisms of toxicity are similar to those of the structurally-related PCBs and dioxins.(Rev Environ Contam Toxicol. 1995;141:1-26. Polybrominated biphenyl and diphenylether flame retardants: analysis, toxicity, and environmental occurrence. Pijnenburg AM, Everts JW, de Boer J, Boon JP.  National Institute for Coastal and Marine Management (RIKZ), Ministry of Transport, Public Works and Water Management, The Hague, The Netherlands.)   According to the Swedish National Food Administration, "the critical effects of PentaBDEs are those on neurobehavioural development … and, at somewhat higher dose, thyroid hormone levels in rats and mice…." (Toxic effects of brominated flame retardants in ... [Environ Int. 2003] - PubMed - NCBI  http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed).  PBDEs are also likely to be endocrine disruptors. (Envir. Health Perspectives, May, 2000:  The PBDEs: An Emerging Environmental Challenge and Another Reason for Breast-Milk Monitoring Programs  Kim Hooper1, Thomas A. McDonald2Top of Form),   Bear in mind the importance of testosterone to development of the brain when reading the following quote:  "…most PBDEs have antiandrogenic activity….  Some PBDEs and their metabolites (e.g. OH-BDE-47) have been found to inhibit activity of CYP17, a key enzyme in the synthesis of testosterone…."(DEVELOPMENTAL NEUROTOXICITY OF POLYBROMINATED DIPHENYL ETHER (PBDE) FLAME RETARDANTS  Costa and Giordano  2008  Neurotoxicology   National Center for Biotechnology Information, U.S. National Library of Medicine)  "Many experimental studies consistently reported neurotoxic effects following perinatal exposure to PBDEs."(Polychlorinated Biphenyls (PCBs) and polybrominated diphenhyl ethers (PBDEs) in milk from Italian women living in Rome and Venice", Ingelido et al., Chemosphere, Vo. 67, issue 9, April 2007, obtained from Air Force Institute of Technology, ILL.

­­

PBDEs are used as flame retardants in TV sets, computers, other electronics, some plastics, and foam cushioning (although most use of PBDEs in foam cushioning manufactured in the U.S. was discontinued by 2005). Their use is still permitted in the United States but has been banned in some European countries. "North America consumes over half of the world's production of polybrominated diphenyl ether (PBDE) flame retardants. About 98% of global demand for the Penta-BDE mixture, the constituents of which are the most bioaccumulative and environmentally widespread, resides here. …." (Environ Int. 2003 Sep;29(6):771-9.  Polybrominated diphenyl ether flame retardants in the North American environment.  Hale RC, Alaee M, Manchester-Neesvig JB, Stapleton HM, Ikonomou MG. Department of Environmental and Aquatic Animal Health, Virginia Institute of Marine Science, College of William and Mary, VA, USA. PubMed – NCBI   http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed)    See Section 1.7.3 concerning the high (especially in the U.S.) and increasing levels of PBDEs in breastmilk.


 

Figure 2bDescription: ME_MNsolar.bmp

1.7.2  Sun Exposure, which varies greatly by Region, is an important influence on toxicity of developmental toxins.

1.7.2.a  Total Accumulation of toxicity of pollutants is very much affected by sun exposure or lack thereof.   At least one of the pollutants that is most implicated in neurological harm, dioxin, can be relatively quickly degraded by sunlight, sometimes in less than a day.((Agency for Toxic Substances and Disease Registry (ATSDR). 1998. Toxicological profile for Chlorinated Dibenzo-p-dioxins (CDDs) U.S. Public Health Service, p. 419)  That helps explain why levels of neurological impairment are low in the U.S. Southwest, except for autism in certain big California city areas. (See Sections 3.1 and 3.2 about other benefits of sun exposure.)  At the other extreme are Maine and Minnesota, with the lowest solar radiation levels of all the contiguous states; those two states have either an extremely high level of mental impairment in general (in the case of Maine) or an extremely high level of autism (in the case of Minnesota).  Pollutants In far northern areas (including toxins blown in from the south) retain more of their toxicity than would be the case to the south, because of reduced solar radiation; and that toxicity continues to accumulate in the soil and water through many decades.  The EPA quotes two studies estimating the half-lives of dioxins on soil to be 9 to 15 years, and half-lives of dioxins in soil are estimated to be 25 to 100 years.(EPA/600/P-03/002F November 2006, p. 11-11).  In addition to variations in the amount of solar radiation approaching the earth, as shown on this map, the amount that actually reaches ground level can also vary greatly depending on forest cover. That is another area in which Maine has an unusual disadvantage regarding solar benefits, since it is 90% forested.  And it is an area in which the low-precipitation parts of the U.S. have advantages with regard to environmental toxins, since they have little forest cover of the kind that would shield deposited dioxins from the effects of solar radiation. (See Section 1.2.x.4.)

 

Because of their extremely long lives in soil, dioxins in soil are continuing to increase even while the new amount added each year is declining; therefore the soil that is very often ingested by infants (Section 2.4) has been continuing to increase in dioxin content in recent decades.   As will be described in Section 2.4, actual observed accumulations of dioxins in soil have turned out to be roughly ten times higher than the EPA had predicted in four cases, with no mention of predictions that had been any more accurate than that.  The EPA acknowledges that they may have underestimated the effect of increases that result from long-term accumulation of toxins that degrade extremely slowly. 

 

The continuing increases of dioxins stored in locations that are shielded from sunlight almost certainly applies also to water bodies, considering not only the shelter from sunlight below the surface but also the continuing additions to the water bodies via erosion and runoff.  Fish that eat vegetation or ingest sediment in water that drains from typical dioxin-containing soil, and/or that eat smaller fish that ingest that vegetation and/or sediment, will "bio-accumulate" higher levels of toxins before (often) being eaten by mothers and infants.  It is probably no coincidence that the only state < we have been able to find> that tells residents not to eat almost any freshwater fish caught in that state is in southern New England.  That state is Rhode Island, densely-populated and industrial, whose waters and surfaces are on the receiving end of considerable pollution blown in by the prevailing winds from the congested Northeastern Corridor.  Soil and pavement are very major sources of toxins that have been deposited from the atmosphere, which toxins are then subsequently eroded and run off into water bodies, according to the EPA.

 

Buildup of dioxins in below-surface locations also applies to bathing water and drinking water (especially if well water) coming from below the surface, and also to foods grown in that soil. (see next section)

 

1.7.2.b  Other implications about foods to be avoided by infants and child-bearing women:   Farm animals eat not only vegetation that grows in soil that keeps accumulating dioxins but also significant amounts of the increasingly toxic soil itself, sometimes ingesting up to as much as 18% soil in what they eat (Dioxins and Dioxin-like Compounds in the Food Supply: Strategies to Decrease Exposure By Institute of Medicine (U.S.). Committee on the Implications of Dioxin in the Food Supply, National Academy of Sciences.  National Academies Press, 2003).  The toxins then accumulate in the future food supply of mothers and infants:  meat, fat tissue that becomes an ingredient of processed foods, and cheese, butter, and other dairy products.  Vegetables growing in dioxin-containing soil can absorb endocrine disruptors from that soil; in one experiment, carrots grown in soil to which dioxin had been added increased their dioxin content by over 800%.(Agency for Toxic Substances and Disease Registry (ATSDR). 1998. Toxicological profile for Chlorinated Dibenzo-p-dioxins (CDDs). Atlanta, GA: U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, Public Health Service, p. 421)  Potatoes, beets, and other root and tuber crops could be expected to absorb dioxins from soil in which they grow.  The green-living advice common in recent years, about buying locally-grown foods, should probably not be heeded when purchasing food for infants and child-bearing women (including future mothers and nursing mothers) living in the lowest-solar zones on the above map.  Likewise, vegetables grown in one's own backyard garden could be hazardous if the home is near a major throughway, railroad, or port, or downwind from an industrial source of dioxin-containing emissions, or near a hazardous waste site.

 

1.7.2.c  Non-foods to be especially avoided in northern areas and high-pollution areas:  In addition to dioxins from foods, infants very often ingest soil and dust which contain dioxins.  Section 2.4 deals with that topic, pointing out that researchers have found dioxins in soil to be far higher than expected, and levels of dioxins in soil and dust would be unusually high in areas with low solar radiation.  

 

1.7.3  Changing Levels of Developmental Toxins within Many Childbearing Women, therefore within Breast Milk:  

PBDEs were first introduced in the 1960s.  A study of 47 breast milk samples in Texas (quoted in 2003) found PBDE levels similar to levels found in blood and fat tissue from California and Indiana, which were ten to one hundred times higher than levels found in humans in Europe. (Environ Health Perspect. 2003 Nov;111(14):1723-9. Polybrominated diphenyl ethers (PBDEs) in U.S. mothers' milk.  Schecter A, et al., found at http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/14594622)   In 1998, research with archived samples of breast milk in Sweden found that PBDE levels in the milk had been doubling every 5 years over the preceding 25 years, but no one had known about it.(Hooper K, She J 2003. Lessons from the Polybrominated Diphenyl Ethers (PBDEs): Precautionary Principle, Primary Prevention, and the Value of Community-Based Body-Burden Monitoring Using Breast Milk. Environ Health Perspect 111:109-114. http://dx.doi.org/10.1289/ehp.5438   Online: 11 December 2002)  It is interesting to note that the Swedish National Food Administration was clearly concerned about the effects of PBDEs on neurological development even though the levels of that chemical in their country were apparently a small fraction of those in the U.S.   With regard to this rapidly-increasing toxin in the environment, note that it has anti-androgenic activity and limits synthesis of testosterone (Section 1.7.1), therefore disrupts the activity of male hormones needed for proper neurological development.

 

Lead has been conspicuous in its huge decline in the environment since the 1970’s, and its effects appear to be unusual among neuro-developmental toxins in that girls are more sensitive to it than boys (Section 1.3). This helps explain the greatly increased difference  between mental impairment numbers of males versus females born in recent decades.  “Numerous studies have reported lead concentrations in maternal blood and breast milk.” (TOXICOLOGICAL PROFILE FOR LEAD, ATSDR  August 2007, Section 3.3.2)   Also, absorption of ingested lead is “as much as 5– 10 times greater in infants and young children than in adults (Alexander et al. 1974; Chamberlain et al. 1978; James et al. 1985; Ziegler et al. 1978).” (ATSDR Section 3, p. 264).

 

PCBs, also, declined substantially in the environment in recent decades, following the banning in 1977 of their use in most manufacturing in the U.S.  Girls could be expected to have benefitted disproportionately by the decline in prevalence PCBs for the following reasons: (1) Various studies have found PCBs to be in concentrations over ten times as high indoors as outdoors, probably as a result of the presence indoors of older appliances from which PCBs are known to sometimes leak; (ATSDR    Public Health Statement for Polychlorinated Biphenyls (PCBs),  November 2000, Balfanz et al. 1993; MacLeod 1981; Wallace et al. 1996, Sec. 6, p. 565, see Section 6.4., 1);  girls are known to spend more time indoors than boys, and would therefore benefit more from the gradual replacement of older appliances; and (2) PCBs from the atmosphere are known to accumulate in the leaves and above-ground parts of plants (same ATSDR source); as noted in Section 1.9, girls have been found to have a far higher rate of object-to-mouth activity than boys, and that activity no doubt sometimes brings plant leaves (containing PCBs) into the mouth.

 

Therefore females in general would have benefitted more than males from the discontinuation of PCBs in most manufacturing, but breastfed children of both genders would still be receiving greatly disproportionate effects from the substantial levels of PCBs that still remain in circulation.  According to the ATSDR again (p. 569),  PCBs tend to accumulate in breast milk fat,” with accumulations increasing with the woman’s age and being higher in industrial areas than rural areas. “It is estimated that an infant that is breast fed for 6 months will receive 6.8–12% of its lifetime PCB body burden (Kimbrough 1995; Patandin et al. 1999)”  Therefore, in much less than 1% of its lifetime, a breastfed infant will receive 7 to 12% of its expected lifetime burden of PCBs.  And that concentrated dosage of a neurological toxin takes place during the time when the infant is going through an extremely vulnerable stage of its brain’s development, and before its body’s defenses against toxins have fully developed.  Another study showed the intensity of concentration of PCBs in breast milk even more strongly:  “Daily PCB intake for native northern Quebec women was calculated to be 0.3 μg/kg (ppb) body weight while daily intake among infants was calculated to be 10 μg/kg due to breast feeding.” (Section 6, p. 584)  That means that, at least as found in this study, toxins that enter the woman’s body are excreted in breast milk in what is effectively a 30-times-higher concentration compared with their entering concentration.  A study in the Netherlands, also summarized by the ATSDR (p. 569), found that, at 42 months of age, the median plasma PCB levels of children who had been breastfed for at least 6 weeks were 4½ times as high as those of children who had been formula-fed.

In a study by a team of scientists reported in 2007, rats were exposed as fetuses and nursing pups to PCBs at levels judged to be of the same order of magnitude as levels for populations near severely contaminated U.S. waste sites.  The results were reported as follows:  “While the brain region of the pups raised without exposure to the toxicant was developing typically, the brain region in the pups exposed to the toxicant in utero and while nursing was profoundly altered. The animals could hear, but their brain’s representation of what they heard was grossly disturbed.  The balance of inhibitory and excitatory signaling between nerve cells, which contributes to the appropriately controlled responses of the brain to stimuli, was disrupted.”  The neural circuitry was disorganized in the region of the brain that processes sound, decreasing ability to learn. The lead scientist pointed out that “Strong evidence indicates that there is imbalance in signaling throughout the brain of children with some developmental disorders, such as autism.”(“Class of PCBs causes developmental abnormalities in rat pups”  http://www.ucsf.edu/news/2007/04/5564/class-pcbs-causes-developmental-abnormalities-rat-pups)    People who are familiar with behavior of the autistic will probably recognize familiar topics when reading about disrupted balance between inhibition and excitatory signaling within the nervous system.  The reader may also wish to review Section 1.2.a for a description of the neurological harm that has been found in other studies to result from exposure to PCBs.top

 

1.9  While Mental Impairment has been Falling among Female Children and Impairment (Mental and Reproductive) has been Rising among Males:  Changing Environmental Factors Associated with Both of These Trends

See Section 1.2.a concerning the “rising tide” of male reproductive disorders in connection with environmental toxins.

 

<<dioxins in air declined, in soil keep increasing; boys get in dirt more, girls mouth objects on which dioxins have settled from air>>

Mental impairment among girls dropped substantially in recent decades compared with that of females of earlier generations.  As explained in Section 1.3, lead in the environment has decreased drastically since 1980, <<< and others   see below>> and those declines should have accounted for a substantial drop in mental impairment.  It is probable that females benefitted disproportionately by the declines in environmental toxins, as will be explained in the next paragraph. 

Fig. 2c

All of these toxins are carried in the air and settle on surfaces and objects both indoors and outdoors.  In a study that included videotaping of activities of both boys and girls, it was found that the rates of hand-to-mouth and object-to-mouth activities of girls were higher than those of boys by huge margins. (See Figure 2c, especially the object-to-mouth rates) (Journal of Exposure Analysis and Environmental Epidemiology (2001) 11, 501–509. 10.1038/sj.jea.7500193  Quantitative analysis of children's microactivity patterns: The Minnesota Children's Pesticide Exposure Study  N C G FREEMAN et al, Table 5).   It would therefore not be at all surprising if a large part of the earlier mental impairment among girls had resulted from the above activities:  specifically from ingesting leaded paint chips, deposited dust that had originated from leaded fuel combustion, deposits of dioxins that were far higher before major regulatory measures took effect, and deposited DDT on outdoor vegetation.  Also, as indicated in Section 1.7.3, female children are more subject to toxic effects of lead than males.  It would be logical that mental impairment among females would be reduced far more than that of males as a result of the 90% drop in environmental lead.     

  <<<quote from EPA re huge decline in diox in env     also PCBs stopped 1979    DDT 1972   >>

 

The EPA reported in 2004 that "releases (of dioxins) from industrial sources have decreased approximately 80% since the 1980s (U.S. EPA, 2004)".(National Report on Human Exposure to Environmental Chemicals  Dioxin-Like Chemicals:etc. Uupdated April 2010  Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA  at http://www.cdc.gov/exposurereport/data_tables/DioxinLikeChemicals_ChemicalInformation.html)  The decline in dioxins in the environment was mainly in emissions from smokestack sources, which are likely to drift far enough to be deposited on agricultural lands where they become part of the food supply.  Therefore much of the food supply has probably improved  with respect to the forms of dioxins that come from smokestack sources; but the improvement could be slow, since dioxins in soil survive in toxic form for decades.  While some sources of dioxins have declined, the specific types of dioxins contained in diesel emissions have increased greatly in the environment (see Section 1.9.4), getting into air breathed by infants and nursing mothers, into dust and soil ingested by infants, and into water supplies feeding into bath tubs and swimming pools, in which the very vulnerable scrota (neurodevelopmental endocrine sources) of boys often soak for extended periods.  Dioxins are only part of the toxic components of diesel emissions (see Section 1.4 about others); since the dioxin component has been increasing so substantially, the other components almost certainly have also been increasing.

 

As noted in Section 1.2.d, consumption of meat in the U.S. has doubled in the last 50 years, which would have had a strong influence in contributing to buildup of body burden of dioxins within childbearing and nursing women, since consumption of animal fat is the principal means by which humans absorb dioxins and some other important neuro-developmental toxins. (See Section 1.2)

 

1.9.1  Indoor pollution increasing:  Emissions of dioxins and PAHs from residential wood burning are from sources that are obviously very close to many infants, mothers and mothers-to-be.  Levels of these toxins in indoor air have probably been increasing in many households even while amounts emitted may have been falling in some cases, because of residences' becoming more tightly sealed in recent decades.  And there are several other sources of toxic indoor pollutants aside from wood burning, especially formaldehyde in plywood/pressed wood panels and DEHP in vinyl flooring, which would have become more concentrated indoors following the tighter sealing.

 

1.9.2  DEHP (see Section 1.6.b) and BPA (Section 1.2.a) increasing:  To people who have been observing the typical consumers' world in recent decades, it is probably apparent that use of plastics as containers for food and beverages (including milk) has been increasing; and most of those plastic containers (including plastic film wrappers) contain DEHP or BPA or both, which can leach out into the food or drink and then be ingested.  One relatively recent source of possible transfer of DEHP to foods that should be of special concern is the use of soft plastic film that covers frozen foods even while they are being cooked.   

 

1.9.3  Increasing Use of Disposable Diapers (placing Dioxins almost in contact with Male Glands that Produce the Neurologically Crucial Testosterone):  Usage of disposable diapers more than quintupled (to 1.93 million tons) in the U.S. between 1970 and 1980, and rose by more than an additional 40% by the year 2000.(article, "A Brief History of the Disposable Diaper", found at   http://motherjones.com/environment/2008/04/brief-history-disposable-diaper)

 

1.9.4  Trends in diesel emissions, which have been found to Suppress Testicular Function (See Section 1.4):  There have been major increases in recent decades in emissions from diesel trucks and many off-road diesel emission sources.  The EPA provides data showing that, between the years 1987 and 2000 (2000 appears to be the latest year for which the EPA provides this data), dioxins released in diesel emissions increased about 100%a 74% increase from off-road diesel emissions (including emissions from trains, ships, construction equipment and tractors) and a 134% increase from heavy-duty diesel truck emissions during that relatively short period.*  ("An Inventory of Sources and Environmental Releases of Dioxin-Like Compounds in the United States for the Years 1987, 1995, and 2000", EPA/600/P-03/002F, November 2006: especially Table 1-17.  2000 appears to be the most recent year for which the EPA provides national dioxin release data).  With dioxins from diesel emissions increasing so dramatically, it is probably safe to assume that diesel emissions in general have also increased greatly.  This is especially likely because diesel motors often continue in use for over thirty years in the U.S.; continued use of an ever-growing number of those older motors, with their declining combustion efficiency, can be expected to have a cumulative effect on increasing diesel pollution levels.  Except Description: WCoastshiipg.jpgfor newly-manufactured vehicles, emissions of diesel trucks and non-road diesel-powered vehicles/equipment are not regulated in most states in the U.S. <<refine this?>>  This is in contrast with the regular inspections typically required in Europe.  

 

Diesel emissions from offshore ships, rising from smokestacks and continuing to rise for some time because of their heat, will often be on a downward path by the time they reach some heavily-populated coastal areas.  Statistics on changes in marine diesel emission exposures in the U.S. don’t seem to be available, but, with the major increase in international trade that took place during that period, they must have increased substantially.  And, as explained in Section 1.4, those emissions are unusually toxic.

 

1.9.5  Major Releases of Dioxins from Certain Sources Continuing or Increasing:  In addition to increases in exposure to toxins as indicated above, also substantial are continuing re-releases of old toxins stored in what the EPA calls "reservoir" sources.  Dioxins are persistent in the environment; if they are sheltered from the degrading influence of sunlight, they can continue for a century or more to be released to the environment in toxic form; such shelter exists below the surface of the soil, in sediment at bottoms of lakes, inside vegetation, and inside chemically treated utility poles, railroad ties and wooden docks.  The EPA points out that "…at least one-third of the overall risk to the general population from dioxin-like compounds comes from reservoir sources." (EPA/600/P-03/002F November 2006, p. 11-28)  Dioxins are released into the air from soil through "volatilization," or in road dust, or when soil erodes, or in smoke from wildfires, or are leached out of chemically-treated wood (EPA/600/P-03/002F November 2006, p. 1-13).  The EPA considers forest fires and accidental fires at landfills to be the largest sources of such re-releases (EPA/600/P-03/002F November 2006, p. 1-37)   The re-released toxins land on surfaces with which infants come into contact, settle into lakes and streams and become part of water supplies from which humans and farm animals drink, and are absorbed into vegetation; from the vegetation they work their way up the food chain through farm animals and fish, to be eventually consumed by humans.

 

Note that dioxins have been found to specifically harm the male glands that produce the testosterone that is essential for brain development (Section 1.2.b.1).  Also, it seems to be generally acknowledged in this author's polling among parents of both boys and girls that boys are more likely than girls to get dirty with soil; bear in mind that dioxins can be absorbed through the skin, and that thumb sucking sometimes continues into the period during which children (mainly boys) could be playing in soil.

 

Section 1.9.6   To summarize some key  points:  While male mental disability has been increasing substantially, we have been seeing major increases in certain neurological toxins in the environment that are specifically connected with male brain development.   Other major sources of toxins are at least stable.  Summarized below are the implicated toxins that have been increasing, and their connections with male neurological development (in most cases connected by means of their impacts initially on testosterone/androgen output and activity, which are important to development of the brain):

a) major increases in DEHP and BPA in food packaging;  DEHP can cause testicular atrophy (Section 1.6.b); BPA is strongly suspected as a cause of damage to brain development and development of the male reproductive system (Section 1.2.a);

b) major increases in PBDEs, with their anti-androgenic activity and limiting of synthesis of testosterone (Section 1.7.1)

c) substantial increases in breastfeeding rates in the past half century (see Section 1.2.s), which is especially significant in that various toxins harmful to male neurological development are known to be concentrated in breast milk;

d) very large increases in diesel emissions, strongly associated with toxicity to testicular function (Section 1.9.4);

e) dioxins in soil accumulating unexpectedly rapidly (Section 1.7.2) and continuing to increase, and that source being one that can be expected to affect boys more than girls.

f) greatly increased exposure to dioxins in disposable diapers (see section 1.9.3), which rub against skin within 2-3 millimeters of the extremely vulnerable male testicles;

g) extensive use of certain pesticides, many new types of which were introduced in the 1980's; as indicated in Section 1.6.a at least one widely-used pesticide has been found to cause developmental deficits in male rats without causing the same deficits in developing females; others have been very closely associated with prevalence of autism, which mostly affects males; and several others are known to have negative effects on male hormones specifically;

h) bromine, in greatly increasing use as a substitute for chlorine in swimming pools and spas, is known to be a neurological toxicant, and by its ability to penetrate the skin of partly-submerged infants and boys it probably affects male production of testosterone needed for neurological development (Section 1.2.b.1); 

 

1.9.7 Mercury

Mercury has not been identified as contributing to mental impairment in males more than females, but it has been increasing in the environment and in the food supply during the period in question.  According to the EPA, mercury in the ­atmosphere tripled between the era before human activity and current times.(EPA-452/R-97-006, December 1997, Table 2-3)   A web page of the U.S. Geological Survey points out that, even though awareness of toxicity of mercury started in the 1950's, it wasn't until the late 1980's that investigations found high levels of mercury in fish commonly in northern-tier states and Nordic countries, and in the 1990's surveys found it in fish in other regions of the U.S. as well.("Mercury Contamination of Aquatic Ecosystems" at  http://water.usgs.gov/wid/FS_216-95/FS_216-95.html ).  (Mercury can drift hundreds or thousands of miles in the atmosphere before settling on surfaces; therefore much of the mercury rising from stacks would continue to rise for some distance with the accompanying heat while blowing to the northeast with the prevailing winds, bypassing southern areas before settling in the north.)  So there appears to have been an upward trend in in mercury in fish, which is a major source of mercury ingestion by infants and child-bearing women, a trend that has been especially noticed during this last generation. And that recent increase is of particular concern because mercury found in greatest quantities in fish is the specific form (methylmercury) that is most likely to affect humans; and "Recent research suggests that prenatal effects (on the nervous system) occur at intake levels 5-10 times lower than that of adults."(same USGS web page)  The USGS quotes the best estimates as indicating that mercury in the atmosphere is increasing by about 1.5 percent per year. After finding a 15% increase in mercury in Minnesota lakes between 1996 and 2006, the first cause hypothesized by scientists was "mercury-spiked emissions from power plants around the world….atmospherically transported." (EPA newsletter, March, 2009)  In addition to the probable increase in average mercury per ounce of fish consumed during this period, total ounces of fish consumed by Americans increased 24 percent from 1980 through 1989.(National Marine Fisheries Service (2005), Silver Spring, MD (NOAA). Fisheries of the United States, 2004. Per Capita Consumption. Page 79,)

 

Although mercury is the best known contaminant that has been building up in fish, dioxins in fish are also a serious concern, as is PCP (pentachlorophenol) that leaches out of preservative-treated wooden docks and then bio-accumulates in fish.  The latter two toxins, also, long persist in the underwater areas that are sheltered from solar radiation, and they are almost certainly increasing as more toxins flow into the water and as more PCP leaches out of docks every year.

 

1.9.10  Effectively a decline in beneficial sun exposure, following health advice of recent decades:  Lower sun exposure leads to lower vitamin D levels. Vitamin D deficiency is associated with reduced immune function, and low immune function has been associated with autism in an NIH-funded study of autism.(aa21)  Also, according to an article in a publication of the American Medical Association, "Vitamin D deficiency can lead to reduced levels in the developing brain of calcitriol, a critical neurosteroid involved in brain development. Of interest, while health care providers have exhorted patients during the last 20 years to reduce sunshine exposure, autism prevalence has been increasing. It is also of interest to note that evidence indicates a substantial incidence of vitamin D deficiency in the United States and elsewhere among infants and toddlers.” (aa24)

 

1.9.11  Increasing Levels of Developmental Toxins to which Infants are Heavily Exposed, Prenatally and in Breast Milk:  

In 1970 the average age of a first-time mother was about 21, and by 2008 the average age was 25.1, with large numbers of births taking place into the 40-44 age group (found at http://www.babycenter.com/0_surprising-facts-about-birth-in-the-united-states_1372273.bc , which drew statistics from the CDC and the Census Bureau)..  That is a large and growing sector of the population who are giving birth at an age by which they would have built up a far higher body burden of dioxins and mercury (and probably other toxins) than was typical in earlier generations.  The burden would be higher both because of more years of accumulation and because of higher levels of toxins in their environment.  

 

Figure 2e

This chart shows a record of the only data this author has been able to find about trends in dioxins in breast milk in the U.S.   Organizations that promote unhesitating, as-exclusively-as-possible breastfeeding often quote a World Health Organization study finding that toxin levels in breast milk have been declining "in most industrialized countries;" but the U.S. is conspicuously absent in the data provided by WHO, including in all documents found in a detailed search of WHO's website in January of 2012. The European countries, data for which the organization does provide, have been more aggressive than the U.S. in combating pollution, from diesel combustion sources especially.  (Dioxins in diesel emissions have been rapidly rising in the U.S. – see Section 1.9.1).  Authors looking at data for the U.S. sometimes say that the trend in dioxins in breast milk here is "ambiguous" and that more data is needed.  Unless they can show data other than what is shown in this chart, "ambiguous" seems to be a word that avoids recognizing an upward trend in the U.S.  (Note that observations for the U.S. are shown with the darker dots on this 2001 chart.)  

 

 

 

Part 2:  More on Sources of Pollutants associated with Developmental Disabilities

As mentioned earlier, the EPA points out that dioxins are unintentional byproducts of several industrial chemical processes and of most forms of combustion, including forest fires, fuel emissions and waste combustion, and are included in the food we eat.  Dioxins are "ubiquitous in the environment -- air, water, and soil", according to the EPA (mm) and Section 2.2 In the atmosphere the dioxins become attached to particulate matter and are typically deposited onto vegetation or other surfaces, especially via precipitation. Once on and in the vegetation, the dioxins affect humans when (a) consumed in affected food, especially animal-based foods from fish and animals that consume the affected vegetation, resulting in bio-accumulation, or (b) when re-suspended during residential burning and wildfires.  Dioxins in the air are also deposited onto the ground and other surfaces (including indoors) with which infants come in contact.

 

PAHs (Section 1.2.a) are apparently especially likely to be a product of imperfect combustion.  This may help explain why three counties in California with very high rates of autism (Placer, Tuolumne and Mariposa) are counties in which there is considerable vehicular traffic at high altitudes, at which levels the vehicles' engines are normally not tuned for proper combustion. <<  show map of CA with these 3 standing out, away from urban areas/  combine with pesticide effect>> All (?) (most?) other California counties with high rates of autism are urban, where there is considerable vehicular traffic and/or industrial sources of dioxins and PAHs.

 

Since most people are surprised to be told that burning of wood and eating freshwater fish can be sources of neurological toxins, additional attention to that subject will be given below.  It will be assumed here that there is no need to dwell on the sources indicated in bold above or on other sources mentioned earlier, but that should in no way imply that those are not similarly substantial sources.

 

 

2.1  Burning of Wood and Foliage Emits Toxins

Combustion of wood is known to emit dioxins and lead (dd) as well as PM and methanol.  According to tests by Nestrick and Lamparski, burning 1 kilogram (2.2 pounds) of wood produced as much as 160 micrograms of total dioxins. (Keep in mind that, as explained above, dioxins and other endocrine disruptors adversely affect neurological development, and that there is good evidence that they "can affect test animals’ bodily functions at very low levels — well below the “no effect” levels determined by traditional testing.")  The same research found that lead produced from burning one kilogram of wood was 0.1mg to 3 mg.  Keep in mind the EPA's finding that any amount of lead can be harmful, especially to children.  Another source, calculating on the basis of EPA data, estimates that dioxin emissions from forest fires exceed all other U.S. sources of dioxin emissions combined.(ee)

 

The EPA lists residential wood combustion as the largest source of PM 2.5 in California, producing almost 40 tons of those emissions in that state in 2005 alone (well above the totals for both industrial processes and on-road vehicles), and "fires" (mainly forest fires/wildfires) are listed as the fourth-highest source.(ee)  Adding tremendously to the significance of the above is that so much of this pollution originates inside residences, where part of it escapes directly into the indoor air breathed by infants and pregnant women.  The remainder is emitted into the nearby community's air, from where it becomes part of the general air supply breathed by infants and pregnant women in that area.  It should be of special concern that this largest-in-all-of-California source of PM 2.5 tends to be concentrated in certain Northern California areas and communities, where the climate is colder and the wood supply is especially plentiful.  Burning of brush (in backyard burning and wildfires) is not specifically known as a source of lead, but it is a known source of dioxins (gg) and it almost certainly emits particulate matter. 

 

<<expand>>Toxicity especially strong if preservative-treated wood or trash is included.

 

Foliage and wood (as well as fossil fuels) contain the three elements which, when chlorine is present during combustion, can produce dioxins. The final ingredient (chlorine) can be provided by atmospheric pollutants or by the plastics in typical trash. This potential for creating dioxins during burning of organic matter is present even when the fuel doesn't already contain toxins. But in addition, vegetation also typically absorbs and retains existing toxins (which can be re-suspended during burning).  It appears to be generally agreed, including in research by NASA, that many houseplants are effective at reducing indoor pollution because they absorb toxins from the air (through openings normally on the undersides of the leaves).  Outdoor vegetation can be expected to do that same absorption of toxins.  The toxins will probably remain contained within the plant or tree, continuing to accumulate through the years for longer-lived vegetation. Those stored toxins will almost certainly be dispersed into the air when the vegetation is burned during wildfires.  (Obviously, the effect would be reduced if some toxins had travelled to the roots.)   So residential burning as well as wildfires could be expected to be substantial sources of toxins able to be re-suspended into the air, especially if much of the vegetation burned is years old. This re-suspension is in addition to the creation of dioxins that takes place as a result of the burning.  Residential burning is especially likely to create toxins if it isn't done correctly, and it probably isn't done correctly a very high percentage of the time.  

                                                                                                                                                                                 

2.2  An Apparent Incongruity between the Recent Increases in Autism and the Long-Standing Existence of  Wood Burning:

Q:  Why, if we claim a causal connection as stated above, should autism have been increasing substantially in recent decades? After all, burning of wood is not at all a recent development.

A: First, wood burning is only one of several important sources of neurological toxins.  More importantly, wood and vegetation emit harmful levels of dioxins when burning because

(1) chlorine, essential for creation of dioxins, has been provided in increasing quantities by sources in the environment;  those sources include atmospheric hydrochloric acid and other increasingly common waste stream sources of chlorine (including PVC, or polyvinyl chloride plastic) that could be included with the burning;

(2) pollution from human sources has increased and has caused wood and vegetation to be receiving and absorbing toxins at increased rates, creating the potential for re-suspension of existing toxins during combustion

 

2.3  Toxins in Freshwater Fish:

Fish consumption makes up about one-third of the total general population's CDD/CDF TEQ (dioxin) exposure.* *(EPA/600/P-03/002F November 2006, P, 11-28)  Toxins including mercury, dioxins and PAHs are deposited into lakes via atmospheric deposition, via streams, or via runoff from pavement and land following rain or snow. Those lakes are in basins that also collect wood-burning emissions, which affect infants living near the shores of the lakes.  (After originating from human-generated pollution, those toxins enter bodies of water and pass up the food chain from sediment to game fish, whose flesh is tender and seemingly well suited to feeding infants.)   A "National Dioxin Study" found that fish from the Great Lakes region were among the most severely contaminated in the United States. (k, Section 5.4.4).  Possibly even worse are fish in densely-populated, industrial Rhode Island, where the state government tells people not to eat freshwater fish caught anywhere in the state, with the exception of trout that are added from outside the state's normal waters. There is nothing inherently toxic about fish and lake water; those would normally be fine in North Dakota or much of Canada.  The toxicity comes mainly from precipitation and drainage into the lakes from environmental pollution, combined with (as mentioned earlier) leaching of PCP from preservative-treated wooden docks.

 

2.4  A Major Source of Ingestion of Neurological Toxins for Young Infants:  Eating Non-Food Substances

According to the Seattle/King County, WA Public Health website, " infants and toddlers often eat dirt and other non-food items,…. Some little children just put everything into their mouths as a mode of exploration."   The NIH's Medline Plus encyclopedia refers to "pica", the condition of deliberate eating of non-food substances on a consistent basis, as affecting 10% to 32% of children ages 1 to 6.  Since this eating of non-food substances applies to a significant proportion of infants even when those who do it inconsistently are not even included in that percentage, that implies that this means of ingesting possibly toxic substances in harmful quantities could be very common. The Seattle Public Health website quoted above, and authors for Medscape.com quoted below, say that pica isn't even considered to be pathologic with reference to infants below age two, apparently in recognition of how extremely common it is for younger infants to put non-food items in their mouths and ingest them.  Bear in mind that below age two is a period during which the infant brain is going through critical stages of development.  And bear in mind the extremely long lives of dioxins in soil, which means that dioxins continue to accumulate to ever-higher concentrations in soil, as more and more is deposited through the years.

It is apparently difficult to grasp how high concentrations of dioxins in the soil can become as they accumulate through the years, even for the EPA's scientists.  The EPA acknowledges that actual levels of dioxins observed in four reports on rural soil concentrations in the U.S. exceeded their predictions by amounts in the range of 1000%.  Nothing was mentioned about any estimates that had turned out to be any more accurate than that. The EPA acknowledged that they may have greatly underestimated the effects of accumulation of dioxins through the years, overestimating the extent of degradation that would take place.(at  http://www.cqs.com/epa/exposure/part2_v1.htm  "Estimating Exposure to Dioxin-Like Compounds," EPA, revised 1992;  III.6.2)

<<replace with below?>According to two MD's writing for Medscape.com (at. http://emedicine.medscape.com/article/914765-overview),  pica "is the most common eating disorder in individuals with developmental disabilities."  Considering the known developmental toxicity of dioxins that can be extremely high in soil, it would not be surprising if a cause-and-effect relationship (starting with pica) were at the basis of this typical association.

Medscape article:  "Pica is an eating disorder typically defined as the persistent ingestion of nonnutritive substances for a period of at least 1 month at an age at which this behavior is developmentally inappropriate (eg, >18-24 mo). The definition is occasionally broadened to include the mouthing of nonnutritive substances. Individuals who present with pica have been reported to mouth and/or ingest a wide variety of nonfood substances, including, but not limited to, clay, dirt, sand, stones, pebbles, hair, feces, lead, laundry starch, vinyl gloves, plastic, pencil erasers, ice, fingernails, paper, paint chips, coal, chalk, wood, plaster, light bulbs, needles, string, cigarette butts, wire, and burnt matches. 

In children aged 18 months to 2 years, the ingestion and mouthing of nonnutritive substances is common and is not considered to be pathologic."

Among the mentally retarded, the relatively common occurrence of pica is reported to be positively correlated with degree of retardation  (Broadening the Perspective of

Pica: Literature Review ELLA P. LACEY, PhD  at  http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC1579989/pdf/pubhealthrep00198-0031.pdf)

 

 Distances over which Neurological Toxins in the Air Affect Human Infants and Pregnant Women:

The study of effects of proximity to California freeways (referred to in Section 1.4) found a considerably elevated percentage of cases of autism among infants residing within about 1000 feet of a freeway. (z) Beyond that (for the approximately-three-mile width of the area studied), there seemed to be little change in autism levels depending on distance from the freeway. But the study was conducted in what is considered by the Census Bureau to be urban areas, where general pollution levels are normally high compared to non-urban areas.   As this paper will attempt to demonstrate, greater distances from busy highways (beyond the 1000-foot threshold) may have beneficial effects if the region studied extends into non-urban areas that don't have their own serious pollution sources.

Figure 2a5

Description: coalemiss.jpgThe big question is the distance that non-road combustion emissions will travel and still seriously affect people.  As opposed to vehicular emissions that originate very close to ground level and therefore affect people nearby, emissions from tall smokestacks from power plants, large factories, and large ships are initially emitted high above the surface and are directed upward; then the heat of the emissions keeps carrying them still farther upward for some time after exiting the stacks. The wind carries them for many miles, until eventually major parts of the emissions are deposited onto surfaces. Some are likely to be deposited relatively nearby, possibly starting a few miles downwind from the source.   At the other extreme, one of the most neurologically toxic emissions, mercury, can travel around the world before being deposited.  Pennsylvania, New York, and the New England states requested that the EPA require reductions in emissions from facilities as much as 550 miles and more upwind from them, on the basis of atmospheric pollution in the northeastern states caused by emissions from 22 states to their south and west, including states as far away as Alabama and Missouri, and the EPA agreed.    (http://www.epa.gov/ttn/oarpg/t1/fact_sheets/126fs0131.pdf )

 

In addition to the more or less gradual effects of gravity, precipitation considerably accelerates deposition of pollutants.

 

The Northeastern Corridor:

Three of the four states with the very highest population densities in the entire U.S. are Rhode IslandMassachusetts and Connecticut.  Those states are in fifth, sixth and seventh places among the highest-autism states.  And those three states are not hard to find in the pollution map (Figure 14c) if one looks closely for completely-colored-in states, indicating unusually widespread, high levels of atmospheric toxins in those states.  The state that is highest in population density, New Jersey, is high in autism but not among the very highest states; that is probably because it is not on the receiving end of a pollution stream that affects the other three highest-density states, as described below.

Fig. 14dDescription: NEwind.bmp

In addition to population-related pollution generated within Rhode Island, Connecticut and Massachusetts, these states (plus high-autism Maine) are downwind in the receiving region for the northeastern corridor's population- and traffic-related air pollution that starts in Northern Virginia and is typically blown up the coast by the prevailing winds.  This atmospheric stream picks up extra potency in the high-density Philadelphia/New Jersey/New York City area and also receives contributions from (a) polluted areas farther west in Pennsylvania, and (b from the considerable shipping and other traffic going to and from the Atlantic port cities. (This image is a wind forecast, based on typical known wind patterns, provided by Intellicast.com.) 

 

But don't judge from the above that a state's overall population density (and its accompanying higher pollution levels) is by itself sufficient to indicate autism risk in a state.  The three states with the three highest levels of autism in the U.S. are not high in overall population density. But in those states there are many specific populated areas with serious exposure to identifiable pollutants that are known neurological  toxins. Breastfeeding in those states is either high (Maine) or very high (Minnesota and Oregon).  Maine and Minnesota are the two states of all the contiguous states that have the least benefits of solar radiation (see Section 3 about those benefits).  In the cases of Minnesota and Oregon there are high percentaqes of a specific ancestry (Scandinavian) that is associated with a high-fat, high-toxin diet. (Section 1.2.t)  Maine has an especially large supply of wood (90% forested), encouraging widespread residential and other wood burning, which would be especially intense in a state with long, cold winters.

 

New York, Pennsylvania, and the six New England States recognize that the air in their corner of the U.S. suffers from being downwind from most of the other states.  Those eight states petitioned the EPA to require certain utilities and other facilities in 30 upwind states to reduce their emissions, on grounds of their northeastern atmospheric pollution resulting from being downwind from those 30 states.  In 1999 the EPA approved the petition as applied to facilities in 22 states, including states as far away as Alabama and Missouri.* *(http://www.epa.gov/ttn/oarpg/t1/fact_sheets/126fs0131.pdf )

 

Data from the EPA can help one determine where pollutants are highest, but those data should ordinarily be considered as only educated approximations when looked at below the state level, since monitoring stations are often placed in only about one out of four counties, if there are monitoring stations at all for the particular pollutant under consideration.  

 

 

Part 3:   Effects of Climate, and Probably of Vitamin D, on Sources of Disabilities

3.1  In areas with more sunshine, dioxins are much less likely to be created and/or to continue in toxic form, as will be explained:

 

3.1(a) Creation of dioxins requires chlorine, the active form of which is reduced by sunshine:  Dioxins are created during combustion of organic materials; but the element chlorine must be present, since chlorine is an essential part of every molecule of dioxin.  Low concentrations of chlorine are normally present in the atmosphere in any area where pollution is present, incorporated into hydrogen chloride (HCl).  HCl becomes dissolved in water vapor in the form of hydrochloric acid and is one of the three "most abundant sources of chlorine available for participation in the formation of CDDs/CDFs (dioxins)…" (aa10)  But sunlight can dry out the water in which the hydrochloric acid is dissolved, leaving the HCl relatively unreactive and unlikely to support formation of dioxins during combustion. <<cite ref>>

 

3.1(b) Creation of dioxins is promoted by colder temperatures:  Dioxins have been found to be typically formed at cooler temperature ranges of combustion.<<cite ref>>   Combustion in cold areas is likely to take longer to reach hotter operating temperatures, and the combustion chamber is more likely to descend into the cooler part of the operating range during idling of motors, during intermittent operation of incinerators, or when heating levels are turned down.  Furnaces and wood-burning stoves in very cold states would almost certainly be larger than average. That should be considered in light of standard anti-pollution advice to use wood stoves that are the smallest that can provide the needed heat, since turning a fire down low is known to produce more toxins than a hot fire.  Stoves that are big enough to keep a house warm during an entire Maine or Minnesota winter would certainly tend to be kept at a low flame during the fall and spring.

 

Background levels of dioxins in air were measured in a Minnesota location about 25 miles northwest of Minneapolis-St. Paul, with no major industrial or commercial activity occurring in the area. Ambient air samples were collected in the winter and summer of 1988, checking for levels of two different varieties of dioxins.  The differences between summer and winter levels were quite remarkable, with maximum average levels of one variety being 17 times higher in the winter than during the summer, and maximum average levels of another dioxin variety being 342 times higher during winter than during the summer.(p.  427 of ATSDR 1998 publication) the author of the study attributed the differences to increased emissions from combustion sources during the winter, and that certainly seems to be a logical assumption for Minnesota.  Such wintertime readings were not readily available for other states, but it is probable that wintertime increases in neurological toxins are unusually high in Minnesota, with its unique combination of very cold temperatures and substantial city population. (Minnesota has 17 of the 21 coldest U.S. cities with populations over 50,000, per city-data.com.)   The effects of those toxins during a major part of each year in Minnesota no doubt contribute to that state’s having the highest rate of autism in the U.S.  If there were such a thing as a map of dioxin exposure in the U.S., Minnesota would probably show up as an outstandingly red area.

 

 

3.1(c)  Potency of dioxins (and PAHs) declines with greater exposure to sunlight:  Dioxins are subject to destruction by sunlight, within a few days (nn and k).  Intensity of sun exposure has been seen to be the main variable affecting the lifetime of the dioxins in atmosphere. So it is very likely that dioxins emitted into the atmosphere in high-solar areas would be completely degraded before they ever land on the vegetation that will subsequently enter the food chain or be burned; if not before, then soon after deposition.  In regions with lower amounts of sunlight, or even in heavily-shaded local areas within high-solar regions, dioxins would be far more likely to retain their toxicity; and they would probably then keep accumulating into increasingly potent concentrations in the vegetation or soil, unless they are degraded by solar radiation that reaches surfaces of those substances. (See Section 1.7.2 for more details.)  If dioxins in the vegetation don't enter the food chain directly or degrade, they normally eventually become part of the soil, from where they could be recycled on the way to human ingestion.  Or the dioxins might also be re-suspended in a wildfire and thereby form atmospheric concentrations affecting downwind infants and mothers-to-be.  If dioxins accumulating in forest soil aren't re-suspended in fires, they can be transported by soil erosion (aided by unpaved roads) that goes to bodies of water, ending up in fish eaten by women and infants.

 

The above probably helps to explain why two of the three states with the highest rates of autism in the U.S. (Minnesota and Maine) are at the far northern border of the contiguous states, and the other one of the top three (Oregon) is near the northern border.  In addition to extending the toxic lives of dioxins, low sunlight goes along with lower temperatures, and dioxins are known to be created especially in the lower ranges of combustion temperatures.  In sunnier locations, high engine operating temperatures are likely to be reached sooner during wintertime, and ongoing combustion is more likely to be sufficient to keep the combustion chambers of engines, stoves and fireplaces steadily at high temperatures.

 

3.2  Other Things related to Reduced Vulnerability of Infants to the Effects of Toxins in Areas of Greater Sun Exposure:

(a) Greater sun exposure leads to higher vitamin D levels. Vitamin D deficiency is associated with reduced immune function, and low immune function has been associated with autism in an NIH-funded study of autism. (aa21)

(b) Residential wood fires and wood-burning stoves are known sources of PM, dioxins and lead, and most children in areas with greater warming effects from sunshine would almost certainly have comparatively lower exposure to those sources.  As noted in section 2.1, the EPA considers residential wood burning to be the largest source of PM 2.5 in California.  As is the case with wildfires, quantity of dioxins emitted by the burning depends partly on exposure the firewood has had previously, including to sunlight;

(c) Children in areas with more sun and in areas with less rain are likely to spend less time indoors, where, according to the EPA, pollution "may be two to five times higher than outdoor levels." (10/20/10 EPA press release).  Obviously being outdoors while there is a fire in the vicinity would be bad; and outdoor air in urban areas or near major highways appears generally also to be worse than indoor air (EPA/600/8-90/057F  May 2002 Health Assessment Document for Diesel Engine Exhaust  National Center for Environmental AssessmentOffice of Research and Development  U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Washington, DC, p. 2-113); but during normal times in areas with average or lower pollution, being outdoors more and having the windows open wider would probably benefit the infant's general health and ability to tolerate sporadic environmental toxins.

 

3.3 More General Increase in Mental Impairment among U.S. Male Children:

Related to the autism problem (but not receiving publicity) is the fact that far larger numbers of males born in the U.S. in recent decades apparently have a mental impairment other than autism, as reported to the Census Bureau.  (The Census Bureau’s question that provides this data asks, "Because of a physical, mental or emotional condition, does this person have serious difficulty concentrating, remembering, or making decisions?”)  The percentage of males said to have such difficulties who were born since the early 1990’s is twice as high as the percentage of females in the same age group (that is 5.2% for male children nationwide, which includes many of those with autism); this in sharp contrast with the apparently gender-equal numbers that apply to those born in the half-century leading up to the mid-1970’s. (see endnote (a)   The data indicate these reportedly serious mental difficulties for about one out of eleven 5-to-17-year-old boys in Maine and about one out of twelve in Rhode Island.  But there is good reason to observe a general downgrading of male mental abilities, not merely increasing problems at the bottom.   60% of all masters’ degrees in the U.S. currently go to women.   “Throughout the ’90s, various authors and researchers agonized over why boys seemed to be failing at every level of education, from elementary school on up….”  (July/August 2010 ATLANTIC MAGAZINE  The End of Men  By Hanna Rosin In a 2003 Business Week cover story (The New Gender Gap  From kindergarten to grad school, boys are becoming the second sex”), a professor of psychiatry at Harvard Medical School is quoted as saying, “It's not just that boys are falling behind girls, It's that boys themselves are… doing worse than they did before."   Similar effects appear to be in evidence in most countries of the developed world, in higher education (Education at a Glance 2008  OECD INDICATORS Table C4.3 www.oecd.org/edu/eag2008) and among boys in the only other country for which this author has been able to find comparative data (the U.K.).

 

Changes of this magnitude could not possibly be attributable to heredity.  And, assuming some validity in the averaged data taken from tens of thousands of responses to the Census Bureau regarding mental impairment, the changes obviously represent extremely serious consequences.

 

 

Note from and about the author, and acknowledgements:  There can be advantages to having a study done by a qualified outsider.  Research by PhD's tends to go into great detail in narrowly-defined areas, and they typically conclude with recommendations for future multi-year studies on the subject.  I feel that this matter deserves a strong orientation toward determining what can and should be done now to address serious problems.  There is already a large amount of research published that relates to this subject, which can be brought together, analyzed and put promptly to use.  I received scores in the top 1% on standardized tests when in high school, hold a B.A. cum laude from Oberlin College, did well in challenging biology and chemistry courses, and stood in the top third of my class during a year at Harvard's Graduate School of Business Administration.  There were important aspects of the business-school case-study method that have been helpful in making this paper more practically useful (I believe) than much or most of what has been written on the subject, as follows:   After carefully studying large amounts of printed matter on the subject and doing whatever numerical calculations seem relevant, one is expected to come up with well-considered recommendations for action.  Apparent insufficiency of information available on a subject should not lead one to be satisfied to recommend future long-term studies, if there is a serious problem now.  Work around gaps in the available data as best you can, and come up with an action plan reasonably quickly that you can defend in plain English on the basis of the data and common sense. As applied in this case, that approach meant poring through hundreds of studies and reports, plotting local disability data and analyzing regional pollution data sets (with the aid of spreadsheet software), winnowing out some apparent patterns, utilizing the excellent computer expertise, diligent data analysis and real-world knowledge of Matt Hulbert, data entry and map-shading assistance from various helpers, considerable and invaluable assistance from reference librarians at the Central Rappahannock Regional Library (especially Lee Criscuolo) ­in locating difficult-to-access scientific articles, very helpful thoughts and guidance to information sources from Professor James Corbett of the University of Delaware's College of Earth, Ocean, and Environment, and drawing on insightful comments and suggestions from various acquaintances, employees and friends, including parents from three separate families each with at least one boy and one girl.  Normal business calculations are lacking here, for good reason; the costs of most of my proposed remedial measures are so minimal in relation to the lifetime costs of mental impairment that calculations are unnecessary; some would protect other family members as well as the infant against exposure to known or probable toxins (such as residential wood smoke), some would probably also improve immune function (Gehrs BC, Riddle MM, Williams WC, Smialowicz RJ (1997). "Alterations in the developing immune system of the F344 rat after perinatal exposure to 2,3,7,8-tetrachlorodibenzo-p-dioxin: II. Effects on the pup and the adult." Toxicology 122(3):229-40) and several would actually save money (such as restricting smoking and eating less meat).  In any case, we should not have to wait for completion of ongoing five-year studies before taking constructive steps.

 

 

Full disclosure/ verifiability:  I own a small U.S. manufacturing company that competes in a minor but significant way with imports from Asia, but have no interest in infant formula.  My attention was drawn to the subject of mental impairment partly by seeing an increase in sales of my company’s damage-resistant products for use in residences for mentally-handicapped young people, but also by awareness of the increasing toxic pollution emitted by ships bringing imports to U.S. shores.  That pollution is mentioned in this paper as only one of many sources of atmospheric toxins that could be involved in causing mental impairment.  I strongly encourage any reader to look in this paper for any statement that does not appear to be well supported by valid evidence or reasoning, or any passages that don't seem to make sense, and to inform me (and anyone else) about any apparent flaws.  All comments that criticize specific passages in this paper will be posted at the end of the paper and responded to.  I realize that many people won’t like my conclusions, but if you can’t say what is wrong with the evidence or reasoning that led to those conclusions, please don’t bother responding.  My e-mail address is dm@pollutionaction.org .

 

Appendix 1     Various Things Wrong in “The Surgeon General’s Call to Action to Support Breastfeeding”:

Section A:   In the above-mentioned document, the Surgeon General strongly implies existence of high-quality evidence for benefits of breastfeeding when making the following statement:  “As stated by the U.S. Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF) evidence review, human milk is the natural source of nutrition for all infants.”  However, the only evidence considered in that review was about effectiveness of certain measures in promotion of breastfeeding, not evidence about actual health benefits of breastfeeding. (Annals of Internal Medicine: Interventions in Primary Care to Promote Breastfeeding: An Evidence Review for the U.S. Preventive Services Task Force  Mei Chung et al.)   

 

While it is true that breast milk is a “natural source” of food for infants that is essentially a valueless endorsement, given today’s typical environment and the resulting contents of breast milk.  Water in local ponds or rivers was also for eons the “natural” source of water for humans, given the sources of water that were available in the early days of our species.  Fishes from local lakes and rivers were also a natural food.  But nobody in modern industrial countries recommends drinking untreated water from local ponds, and the State of Rhode Island warns that people should not eat almost any fish from any of that state’s fresh waters.  In too many regions these days, toxic chemicals enter women’s bodies in low dosages but become highly concentrated in the milk that is subsequently excreted. Those concentrations enter a breastfeeding infant at the worst possible time, when its neurological system is rapidly developing and extremely vulnerable to toxins, and before the infant’s defenses against toxins have matured.  A breastfeeding infant has been found to ingest neuro-developmentally-toxic dioxins at levels over 50 times as high as the average adult; and other known developmental toxins that didn’t even exist 50 years ago are now recognized as being concentrated in breast milk.  The “naturalness” of breast milk arose from bye-gone conditions that do not exist in most parts of the developed world today, conditions that in the past permitted breast milk to be relatively free of developmental toxins.  Promotion of breastfeeding on grounds of its being natural is equivalent to encouraging a child’s drinking of untreated water from local rivers in highly-populated, modern industrial areas.

 

High on the Surgeon General’s list of “Excess Health Risks Associated with Not Breastfeeding” is “Eczema (atopic dermatitis);” the chart shows a 47% “excess risk” of the disorder as the expected outcome in the absence of breastfeeding.  But, looking at the source cited for this figure, one reads, “Exclusive breast-feeding during the first 3 months of life is associated with lower incidence rates of atopic dermatitis during childhood in children with a family history of atopy. This effect is … negligible in children without first-order atopic relatives.” (emphasis added) (Gdalevich M, Mimouni D, David M, Mimouni M.  Breast-feeding and the onset of atopic dermatitis in childhood: a systematic review and meta-analysis of prospective studies. J Am Acad Dermatol 2001;45:520–527.)   It will be left to the reader to judge whether the Surgeon General’s statement of “47% excess risk” is a valid statement of the findings of the study on which the statement is based.

 

 In “The Surgeon General’s Call to Action to Support Breastfeeding,” she asserts that “the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality (AHRQ) … reaffirmed the health risks associated with formula feeding and early weaning from breastfeeding.”  But that is not at all an accurate statement of the AHRQ’s position.  The Surgeon General acknowledges elsewhere, relatively inconspicuously, that almost all of the findings that favor breastfeeding are merely associations, from observational (not randomized) studies, and that “the associations described in the report do not necessarily represent causality.”  Ample associations of high death rates with sunshine would be found by doing studies of people in Florida.  Sunshine could then be alleged to be a “risk” factor on the basis of such studies, in the same way that formula feeding is alleged to be a “health risk” for infants on the basis of various associations.  In the case of Florida, the real, underlying cause of the death rate is the disproportionately large number of old people in that state (age is what scientists call a “confounding factor” in this case).  In the case of illnesses associated with breastfeeding, the confounding factors are the low-income status of the parents and the high prevalence of smoking in those households, both of which are known to be (a) disproportionately high among women who do not breastfeed AND (b) causally related to high levels of many childhood illnesses. (Appendix, Section D).

 

Therefore, given the fact that the studies on which the Surgeon General bases her position merely found associations, in non-randomized studies, valid use of the results requires emphasis on the clear, acknowledged fact that “the associations described in the report do not necessarily represent causality.”  Given proper recognition of this fact, it is not correct to say, as the Surgeon General does, that the AHRQ “…reaffirmed the health risks associated with formula feeding and early weaning from breastfeeding.” Given the recognized absence of established causality, there can be no affirmation of health risks of formula feeding. 

 

On the Surgeon General’s list of “Excess Health Risks Associated with Not Breastfeeding” is “acute ear infection (otitis media)”.  Smoking, being more prevalent in low-income homes and among bottle-feeding mothers (Section D of Appendix 1), is likely to be a cause and might even be the principal cause of ear infections in homes in which infants are bottle fed. (Gallup Well-Being,  March 21, 2008  Among Americans, Smoking Decreases as Income Increases  by Rob Goszkowski   Effect of passive smoking on growth and infection rates of breast-fed and non-breast-fed infants. Yilmaz G, et al Department of Pediatrics, Keçiören Training and Research Hospital, Ankara, Turkey. gonca.yilmaz@tr.neVerbreitung, Dauer und zeitlicher Trend des Stilles in Deutschland, Bundesgesundheitsblatt Gesundheitsforschung Gesundheitsschutz. 2007 May-Jun;50(5-6), Abb. 2, Abb. 1)  Again, it is improper to conclude that formula feeding is anything more than an uninvolved, typical characteristic of low-income homes; this factor that is disproportionately present in low-income homes and known to be harmful to infants present (smoking) is likely to be the principal cause of higher rates of the illness.

 

An especially impressive-looking “excess risk” of 257% is attributed in this same chart to “Hospitalization for lower respiratory tract diseases in the first year.”  This statistic came from only one study, in which the authors exercised considerable selectivity in deciding which other studies they would draw on for their data, and this study dealt only with hospitalization rates for the illness. The Surgeon General’s document failed to mention that several studies failed to find any benefits of breastfeeding in reducing rates of lower respiratory tract disease per se.  (Pediatrics. 1984 Oct;74(4 Pt 2):615-38. American Academy of Pediatrics  Review of the epidemiologic evidence for an association between infant feeding and infant health. MG Kovar, Dr PH et al., p. 623)   The hospitalization rates that were reported to be higher among non-breast-fed children very likely resulted from the following circumstances:   Low-income mothers (many or most of whom are employed) breastfeed in disproportionately low numbers.  They would often be unable to provide appropriate medical or home care when a child’s illness is worsening, and instead merely send the child to multi-child daycare.  So the condition worsens, and other low-income children are exposed to it.  The vulnerability of the infant’s lungs is increased by smoking in the household, which is disproportionately high with mothers who formula feed.  Therefore a very large share of the resulting hospitalizations probably were causally very much related to adverse conditions and/or lack of suitable care during the progression of an illness, and to nothing else.  But those same underlying conditions of a low-income existence, of smoking, and of a mother’s employment are also known to very strongly predict low breastfeeding rates. (Surgeon General’s Call to Action, pp. 8, 32)  

 

To summarize:   Children of low-income mothers, and children with employed mothers and smoking mothers are likely to have relatively high rates of hospitalizations for respiratory illnesses, and those same categories of mothers also do breastfeeding at unusually low rates.  The illnesses and the low rates of breastfeeding are two different things that each arise separately from the same underlying conditions of low income and maternal employment and/or smoking.  Neither proper science nor common sense allows one to conclude from such a study that the hospitalizations result from the formula feeding, as the Surgeon General seems to be doing in her Call to Action.  The same could be said about ear infections and other conditions, about which the Surgeon General alleges similar “risks.”  Avoiding unjustified claims of “Excess Risk” based on such studies is important in every case, but most especially in a case (such as the above) in which multiple other studies had come to the opposite conclusion regarding that same illness in general, in cases in which the researchers had not selected particular other studies to draw on. 

 

The Surgeon General does acknowledge on page 2 of her Call to Action that “the associations described in the report do not necessarily represent causality,” but those few words are insufficient to properly counteract the unjustifiable impression of scientific certainty that is conveyed much more conspicuously elsewhere on those pages.  Page 1 has a bold heading of “Health Effects; and there are nine statements about risks on page 1 and an eye-catching, bold headline for a chart on page 2 stating the various “Excess Health Risks” that are alleged to result from lack of breastfeeding.  The precise percentage numbers stated give the average reader an additional (incorrect) impression of scientific validity in her statements of “risks.”  An overwhelming impression is given of well-evidenced findings, which overshadows the sole brief acknowledgement that there may be no causal connection between breastfeeding and illness data.  In addition to the inconspicuousness of that acknowledgement of uncertainty, its wording is not adequately meaningful to the average reader.  A candid, truthful statement in this case, in language that would properly convey the reality of the evidence to the general public, would be, “Nobody knows whether these actually are risks of formula feeding.”  For any communication that attempts to accurately represent this subject to the public, that statement should be made and should be presented more conspicuously than statements alleging “excess risks.”  However, the opposite was very much the case in the Surgeon General’s “Call to Action.” 

 

Section B   Serious Problems that often occur in Observational Studies:

The above is an illustration of the kinds of problems that can occur with “observational studies,” which the Surgeon General acknowledges are the sources of “almost all the data” in the AHRQ review which is her primary source for the “risks” attributed to formula feeding. (Breastfeeding and Maternal and Infant Health Outcomes in Developed Countries  Prepared for:Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality, US HHS (Evidence Report/Technology Assessment Number 153, Part 1)   In another document, the AHRQ (Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality) states, “to prevent selection bias, the comparison groups in an observation study are supposed to be as similar as possible except for the factors under study. For investigators to derive a valid result from their observational studies, they must achieve this comparability between study groups.” (emphasis added) (Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality, U.S. DHHS, Systems to Rate the Strength of Scientific Evidence, Evidence Report/Technology Assessment: Number 47).   In the studies drawn on by the Surgeon General, the formula-feeding households are disproportionately low income (see above) and with employed mothers, which as a group have relatively high rates of infant health problems resulting from differences in the home and care environments (see Section D).  The high-breastfeeding mothers are disproportionately high income and better educated, and infants of this group have fewer health problems.  Therefore health comparisons of formula-fed infants with breastfed infants are in actuality comparisons of low-income households with higher-income households, with inherently differing illness levels that have nothing to do with breastfeeding.  In various of the studies cited by the Surgeon General, these home and care effects are recognized and the authors often say they have attempted to adjust for them, but it is completely open to question whether the adjustments have ever been remotely sufficient.  This author has been unable to find any explanations as to how the adjustment factors were arrived at, possibly because of the extreme difficulty that any researchers would have in arriving at anything more than a guess.  If any reader is aware of any study that satisfactorily explains a rigorous method of adjusting for dissimilarities of incomes as confounding factors in such studies, please notify this author, at dm@pollutionaction.org.  Until seeing such, this author feels safe in assuming that (a) differences in income levels and parental smoking across comparison groups are not properly adjusted for in the studies used to defend breastfeeding, and (b) the effects that result from these confounding factors are fully able in themselves to explain the illness rates that are alleged to be “risks” of formula-feeding.

 

The AHRQ probably recognizes virtual impossibility of determining suitable adjustment factors when they say simply, “for investigators to derive a valid result from their observational studies, they must achieve this comparability between study groups. To repeat the most important words from the AHRQ for clarity:  “Valid results”… must be achieved by means of maximum possible “comparability between study groups.”  No mention is made in that AHRQ statement about even attempting to make adjustments, in the absence of comparability.  If good comparability doesn’t exist (as apparently was the case in the studies cited by the Surgeon General), there is no reason to consider the results to be valid.  Given the likelihood of error, such studies are scientifically useful mainly for highlighting areas to think about for future research. 

 

Section C   Boundaries of Studies Done on this Subject, Biases of Researchers, and Establishment Viewpoint:

This author, having read many studies and having read about many studies on associations of lack of breastfeeding with illnesses and cognitive development, has observed that almost all of them have as their boundaries the simple question of how beneficial are the effects of breastfeeding.  Almost never do the pre-set boundaries extend over into the possible area of negative effects of breastfeeding.  If negative effects had been present, it appears that they would ordinarily not have been recorded.  Consider the previously-cited article from the journal of the American Academy of Pediatrics  (Pediatrics. 1984 Oct;74(4 Pt 2):615-38. American Academy of Pediatrics  Review of the epidemiologic evidence for an association between infant feeding and infant health. MG Kovar, Dr PH et al., p. 623), describing a study that found no benefits in breastfeeding:  The authors noted that the study had failed to include adjustment of its data for the distortion of data resulting from the known effects of low income; these authors recognized that “failure to adjust for that factor would lead to artifactually (artificially) higher rates of respiratory disease in bottle-fed infants.”  In other words, disease rates reported for the bottle-feeding group were biased on the high side because of the recognized effect of low income in leading to high disease rates; but, even though artificially high, the bottle-fed group’s disease rate was nevertheless no higher than that of the breastfed group.  Any attempt at adjustment for the known effects of low income (which would have to be a downward adjustment) would have indicated a favorable effect of bottle-feeding.  But “failure to adjust for that factor” was merely bypassed, because (even without adjustment) the conclusion had already been reached that “breastfeeding was not protective.”  The pre-determined boundary for findings had already been reached.  Data that certainly would have been negative to breastfeeding after well-warranted adjustment was simply recorded as zero.  The above seems to be essentially standard procedure in these studies.  There is normal variation around the null effect, but only the variation on one side of the zero point is recorded.  What a surprise that the summarized data then comes out on the side of beneficial effects of breastfeeding.

 

This sheds some light on how these studies are probably typically done.  Given the origins of both high illness rates and bottle feeding in low-income families, researchers would find that certain illnesses and bottle feeding occur disproportionately together in the same families.  The researchers then may or may not try to adjust to account for the bias arising from low incomes and tobacco smoking among the bottle-feeding families.  If they do “adjust” for these differences, they have a clear point that they know they need to stay short of in any “adjustments,” in order to be able to arrive at the expected results.  As mentioned earlier, adjusting for effects of low income and of parental smoking (of greatly varying levels and combinations), if adjusting is done at all, is something that could be done only with extreme imprecision; if the adjustment used is only one quarter of what real conditions would justify, nobody could point to any standard by which the adjustment could be considered insufficient. .

 

 As mentioned (Section B), the AHRQ merely points out that the comparison groups must be as similar as possible.  It doesn’t even attempt guidelines as to how adjustments should be made when the comparison groups are dissimilar.  Where the AHRQ discusses studies that were done comparing dissimilar groups (such as the ones cited by the Surgeon General), it makes it clear that any associations found do not necessarily indicate causation.  But unfortunately such studies might end up being inappropriately used to promote major public policy (such as in the Surgeon General’s Call to Action to Support Breastfeeding); the studies might be cited in a context that obscures the important message that “this association doesn’t necessarily show causation” and instead essentially presents the associations as actual “health risks.”  This kind of use of such studies as a basis for launching major governmental efforts, which could end up going in exactly the wrong direction, is exactly the kind of usage that the AHRQ warned against.

 

In addition to biasing effects resulting from non-comparable comparison groups, the possibility of personal biases affecting researchers’ findings is a recognized, serious problem. That appears to be especially true regarding the matter of breastfeeding, since there is a great deal of one-sided emotion present in much of what is written on this subject.  A team of four researchers, in a study of changing attitudes of pediatricians regarding breastfeeding, openly revealed their personal biases of a kind that is easily observed in much or most of the published research and advice on this subject:  After finding that a smaller number of pediatricians were recommending breastfeeding to their patients in 2004 than in 1995, the study summarized that the pediatricians’ “attitudes and commitment have deteriorated.”  The changed recommendations were seen to indicate “poor attitudes.”   (Arch Pediatr Adolesc Med. 2008 Dec;162(12):1142-9. Pediatricians and the promotion and support of breastfeeding. Feldman-Winter LB, Schanler RJ, O'Connor KG, Lawrence RA.  Division of Adolescent Medicine, Department of Pediatrics, Cooper University Hospital, University of Medicine and Dentistry of New Jersey-Robert Wood Johnson Medical School)   And another study points out that “Health care professionals can be a negative source of support (for breastfeeding) if their lack of knowledge results in inaccurate or inconsistent advice.” (J Obstet Gynecol Neonatal Nurs. 2002 Jan-Feb;31(1):12-32.  Breastfeeding initiation and duration: a 1990-2000 literature review. Dennis CL.  Faculty of Nursing, University of Toronto, Ontario, Canada. cindylee.dennis@utoronto.ca)   Yes, that must be it, “lack of knowledge”, “poor attitudes” and “deteriorated commitment,” those must be the only reasons why highly-educated, devoted health care professionals would provide allegedly “inaccurate” advice to their patients, by counseling against breastfeeding.  Serious study of the subject matter of their professions, or extensive long-term observations of their patients, couldn’t be affecting the advice they give.  If somebody advises against breastfeeding, by definition they couldn’t have good reasons for that.   To partially excuse the closed-mindedness that many researchers display regarding the subject that they ought to instead be considering with open minds, we should remember the very strongly-stated, indisputably one-sided position of the highest medical authority in the U.S. government, the Surgeon General. ( U.S. Public Health Service Office of the Surgeon General   at http://www.surgeongeneral.gov/topics/breastfeeding/calltoactiontosupportbreastfeeding.pdf, p. 47)  With extremely strong promotion of one side of this issue coming from the very top (also including from all of the other Federal health-related agencies), with obvious implications regarding attitudes expected of recipients of government research grants, how many researchers would be brave enough to express genuine question about benefits of breastfeeding?  Put another way, how many researchers would approach their studies today without already having accepted that the only matter that is open to question is, “how great are the benefits of breastfeeding?”

 

Typical mindsets of researchers:   Researchers label one of their charts “Cognitive Ability & Duration of Exclusive Breastfeeding / Controls Included“ when the “controls” apparently included no controls for parental intelligence.

 

Section D   Known Effects of Low Income and Tobacco Smoking on Health of Children:

Before examining more of the Surgeon General’s “Excess Health Risks”, we should quote some relevant findings of a study of health effects of poverty, which are crucial in understanding the basic differences between the two groups being compared in the data cited by the Surgeon General.  Bear in mind that the bottle-feeding vs. breastfeeding groups being compared differ greatly according to income levels, with bottle-feeding mothers being very disproportionately of low income, according to the Surgeon General’s own data for the U.S. and according to studies in the U.K. and Australia. (Section 1.2.s.1.a) According to a major study funded by the U.S. Public Health Service, “Disparities in childhood asthma can be directly tied to several factors which disproportionately affect lower income children and children of color, including substandard and over-crowded housing, poor ambient air quality (often related to living near freeways, ports, or industrial sources of pollution); exposure to pesticides, particularly among migrant families but also children attending schools close to fields where pesticides are sprayed; and attendance in older schools with poor indoor air quality. Lower income children are also more likely to face barriers to quality health care to treat and control their asthma. Obesity and its consequences, such as diabetes, are widespread in this country, especially among poor, ethnic and racial groups. Children covered by Medicaid are nearly six times more likely to be treated for a diagnosis of obesity than children covered by private insurance.” (Dana Hughes, DrPH, Mary Kreger, DrPH, et al.: REDUCING HEALTH DISPARITIES AMONG CHILDREN:  STRATEGIES AND PROGRAMS FOR HEALTH PLANS. Produced with support from the Health Resources and Services Administration, U.S. Public Health Service,  At http://nihcm.org/pdf/HealthDisparitiesFinal.pdf; also see Gallup Well-Being,  March 21, 2008  Among Americans, Smoking Decreases as Income Increases  by Rob Goszkowski   Am J Dis Child. 1984 Jul;138(7):629-32. Respiratory and gastrointestinal illnesses in breast- and formula-fed infants.  Myers MG,et al;    Effect of passive smoking on growth and infection rates of breast-fed and non-breast-fed infants.Yilmaz G, et al Department of Pediatrics, Keçiören Training and Research Hospital, Ankara, Turkey. gonca.yilmaz@tr.ne) )

 

Many other studies have extensively documented adverse health effects of poverty on children, including not only frequency but also severity (including the severity that leads to hospitalization for respiratory diseases – see Section a).  (Parker S, Double jeopardy: the impact of poverty on early child development. PediatrClinNorthAm.1968; 35:1227-1240.  Starfield B. Child health care and social factors: poverty, class, race. Bull N Y Acad Med. 1989; 65: 299-306.  Geltman PL, Welfare reform and children's health. Arch Pediatr Adolesc Med. 1996; 150: 384-389.   Palfrey JS. Community Child Health: An Action Plan for Today. Westport, Conn: Praeger Publishers; 1995.)  For children in low-income households, frequency of delayed immunization is three times the average, and asthma and bacterial meningitis are twice as common.  “In the first year of life after the neonatal period, death rates are double to triple those of other children;” (With regard to this, note the Surgeon General’s allegation of 56% “Excess risk” of sudden infant death syndrome in bottle-fed children, and the 35% / 67% “excess risks” of asthma, and consider whether those “excess risks” could stem merely from the low-income conditions and tobacco smoking that disproportionately characterize the bottle-feeding families);  ”after the first year, death rates due to disease are triple to quadruple among low-income children…. A study in Toronto demonstrated that children living in socioeconomically deprived areas were far more symptomatic than the adults in these areas from exposure to ambient air pollution in their neighborhood…. Several studies have linked pesticide exposure in childhood to increased rates of leukemia and brain cancer.” (Child Health Care and Social Factors:  Poverty, Class Race  Barbara Starfield, MD, MPH, Professor and Head, Division of Health Policy, Johns Hopkins University School of Hygiene and Public Health, presented at 1988 Annual Health Conference of the New York Academy of Medicine)

 

In trying to explain the reasons why lower-income children “suffer disproportionately from almost every disease and show higher rates of mortality,” poor housing, inadequate nutrition, and reduced access to medical care are key factors that are focused on.  The lower an individual is in socioeconomic status, the more likely he or she is to experience adverse environmental conditions, such as exposure to pathogens and carcinogens. (Socioeconomic Inequalities in Health:  No Easy Solution   Nancy E. Adler, PhD, (Vice-Chair, Dept. of Psychiatry & Director of the Center for Health and Community, University of California, San Francisco), et al., Journal of American Medical Association, 1993)  The reader should bear in mind that the outcomes alleged by the Surgeon General to result from not breastfeeding are known to result from conditions of households in which breastfeeding is relatively rare.

 

Smoking:  Smoking is known to be more prevalent in families in which infants are bottle fed.  A study in Germany found that non-smoking mothers were two-and-a-half times as likely to breastfeed as mothers who smoked; put another way, mothers who smoked had an odds ratio of 0.4 of breastfeeding (Verbreitung, Dauer und zeitlicher Trend des Stilles in Deutschland, Bundesgesundheitsblatt Gesundheitsforschung Gesundheitsschutz. 2007 May-Jun;50(5-6), p. 628)  In studies that included various controls, it was found that “women who resumed daily smoking were almost 4 times more likely to wean early than were women who abstained or smoked occasionally.” (Breastfeeding Initiation an Duration:  A 1990-2000 Literature Review  Cindy-Lee Dennis, RN, PhD  JOGNN in Review, Vol. 31, Number 1)   Data from the U.K. (in chart on left) shows the different rates of smoking across socio-economic groups; those socio-economic differences are known to equate with higher or lower rates of breastfeeding in the U.S., U.K. and Germany.  The following is taken from the “WHO Report on Tobacco Smoke and Child Health,” 1999:   “…maternal smoking during pregnancy causes well-established, demonstrable harm by reducing birth weight and increasing infant mortality…  Parental smoking is an important cause of lower respiratory tract illnesses … during the first years of life…. Both asthma and respiratory symptoms … are increased among children whose parents smoke, on the basis of over 60 studies…. Over 40 studies with different designs have investigated effects of parental smoking across a range of outcomes from acute otitis media to surgery for glue ear. Pooled relative risks for these outcomes range from 1.2 to 1.4…. Overall, parental smoking, particularly by the mother, appears to be responsible for between a third and a half of all SIDS cases….  Children of smokers… have lower scores in cognitive functioning tests… and have more behavioural problems, including conduct disorders, hyperactivity, and decreased attention spans…. Tobacco smoke, whether voluntarily or involuntarily inhaled, includes numerous carcinogens.” 

 

Notice that the toxins in tobacco smoke would affect the risk of disease in both mother and infant, which would be greater in bottle-feeding/bottle-fed mother-infant pairs because of the smoking rather than because of the bottle feeding.  However, typical studies such as cited by the Surgeon General would find an “association” between formula feeding and the various illnesses.  These associations would then be improperly labeled as “excess risks” of formula feeding.

 

Section E   Misuse of Observational Studies in Determining Public Policy:

Given what was related in the previous section, there is clearly good reason to believe that conditions associated with low-income living and parental smoking are underlying factors that lead to asthma, obesity, respiratory and ear infections, and other childhood illnesses.  As an entirely separate matter, low-income and tobacco-smoking mothers are known to be much less likely to breastfeed.  Studies that don’t (and can’t) properly take into account the underlying biasing conditions will find various childhood illnesses to be “associated” with not breastfeeding.

 

The Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality discusses the recognized problems inherent in observational studies (which are the sources of almost all of the Surgeon General’s data) further as follows:  The AHRQ’s central concern is “the likelihood that bias, rather than causal relationship, can explain a reported association.”  Other words used to describe the possible results of observational studies are “error” and “false conclusion.”  The AHRQ goes on to indicate circumstances in which it would be acceptable to pay attention to the results of observational studies, and situations in which it would not be proper to do so.  If “the negative consequences of error in this context are substantial,” clinicians and policymakers would not make decisions about this treatment based on observational studies.”  However, in a case in which (a) the consequences of a false conclusion would not be serious and (b) randomized, controlled studies (which have good procedures for avoiding bias in findings) have already demonstrated the benefit of a certain treatment for a different demographic group, then the “weaker study design” that is inherent in observational studies would be acceptable for providing additional basis for decision-making.  It must be pointed out here that the Surgeon General of the United States is instituting major public policy on the basis of observational studies, and error in that public policy has potentially extremely grave negative consequences.  It is not disputed that breastfeeding on the parts of typical women in present-day developed countries exposes infants to high dosages of neuro-developmental toxins.  (See Section 1.2.d, and also the indented sections of the introductory summary for a preview of some of the probable effects of exposure of infants to toxins typically contained in breast milk.)  The only question is how great the harm caused is in relation to the presumed benefits, and the Surgeon General does not provide evidence of a comparison having been conducted on this matter.  Basing her position on observational studies is extremely weak, especially in relation to the seriousness of the consequences of error.

 

The AHRQ also says that, when considering whether a particular study design is adequate for a purpose, two “critical questions” should be asked:  "How likely is it that bias is affecting the results?" and "How certain of the results is it necessary to be in order to change policy or practice?"  These questions clearly address the weaknesses of observational studies, in that such studies are very much subject to bias, and therefore are subject to false conclusions.  In response to the first question, results of observational studies in this area (such as the Surgeon General relies on almost exclusively for evidence of benefits of breastfeeding) are certain to be heavily affected by bias and are therefore very subject to false conclusions; that is because of the known effects of low income and smoking that underlie both higher rates of illnesses and lower rates of breastfeeding.  On the second matter, regarding how certain of the results it is necessary to be in order to affect policy or practice, it is absolutely critical to be certain in this case, given the likely bad effects of increasing breastfeeding in major parts of advanced countries during these times.  As mentioned in the introduction and in more detail elsewhere in this paper, it is not disputed that neuro-developmental toxins are present in breast milk in concentrations that give infants very unusually high doses at times when their brains are developing and at their most vulnerable time in terms of lack of resistance to toxins. (see Section 1.2.d, and earlier in Section 1.2 for background)  These toxins have been increasing in the environment (and in women’s bodies), and breastfeeding has been becoming more prevalent, at the same time as increased mental impairment of male children (including autism) and reduced mental abilities of boys and young men are becoming very apparent.  The reader can briefly return to the introduction (Intro) and look at the indented sections to observe just a few of many associations between breastfeeding and either mental impairment or greatly reduced fertility; there are also close relations of breastfeeding with increased absence of normal male sexual orientation. 

 

Therefore, by the standards set by the U.S. Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality, the observational studies cited by the Surgeon General to support her position are very much subject to false conclusions because the comparison groups are very dissimilar in important ways, and the consequences of error from such use of observational studies are extremely grave in the matter of the breastfeeding that she is promoting.

 

 

 

 

The case of the Los Angeles area:   A study published in 2010 found Los Angeles-area neighborhoods whose children had "approximately four times greater risk of autism than those born in any other place in California."   (THE SPATIAL STRUCTURE OF AUTISM IN CALIFORNIA, 1993–2001  Mazumdar et al.,  http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc   Health Place. 2010 May; 16(3): 539–546. Published online 2010 January 22.)  As indicated by the source cited in Section 1.2.d, population characteristics that are associated with high levels of breastfeeding are higher educational levels and white ethnicity.  In the high-autism cluster area of Los Angeles, the median property values in the various neighborhoods ranged from $300,000 to $500,000, while values in the comparison zone ranged from $150,000 to $175,000.  Also, 62% of the population in the high-autism area is white, compared with 41% in the comparison zone. 

 

In addition:  The EPA says that much more dioxin intake results from food consumed than from air breathed, and that generalization no doubt applies well to the average infant and average child-bearing woman. But other Calif study found effects of air supply near freeways.   And the air supply in this high-autism area is very different from the average.  Los Angeles is famous for its smog, which has a tendency to be trapped in a basin for extended periods. <<insert graphics from article, topog of area>> This topographical map shows a low area, almost surrounded by ridges and mountains, that seems very similar to the high-autism area found in the above study.  Pollution, especially diesel pollution (see Section 1.4 for details on that), from offshore as well as from truck traffic, would be blown into this area by the normal on-shore daytime winds, and would typically then be impeded by the mountains on the eastern side of this basin.  In most areas, the polluted air could drain out of the area at night, but in this area it would be largely trapped.  <<insert graphics showing on-shore/offshore winds;  likelihood of PM being deposited, like precip or with precip, on windward sides of mountains; forming high-dioxin dust and soil that infants ingest;  maybe also Tuolum/Marip >>  Bear in mind, as noted in Section << ??? >>, that dioxin releases in both on-road and off-road diesel emissions have been increasing very rapidly as of the most recently-published EPA data.

 

High-meat/fat diet more likely in high-autism area, because of income differences and lower Hispanic pop, which would affect infants in utero and via breast milk: 

 

Testosterone is also involved in female brain development, but it is clearly far less important than in males; and testosterone in females is obviously not produced in testicles, which are especially vulnerable to effects of toxins.  This could help explain why mental disability in females has been able to decline substantially during this same period, along with the major declines in environmental lead and PCBs, while mental disability was rising among males

 

 

Advice from National Toxicology Program re BPA:

What can I do to prevent exposure to BPA?

If you are concerned, you can make personal choices to reduce exposure:

• Don’t microwave polycarbonate plastic food containers.  Polycarbonate is strong and durable, but over time it may break down from repeated use at high temperatures.

• Avoid plastic containers with the #7 on the bottom (http://www.recyclenow.org/r_plastics.html).

• Don’t wash polycarbonate plastic containers in the dishwasher with harsh detergents.

• Reduce your use of canned foods.  Eat fresh or frozen foods.

• When possible, opt for glass, porcelain, or stainless steel containers, particularly for hot food or liquids.

• Use infant formula bottles that are BPA free and look for toys that are labeled BPA free.

 

It is widely known that BPA exposure comes from printed-out retail receipts.  From http://ferrignofit.com/bisphenol-a-bpa/ : "Based on analysis by the Environmental Working Group of biomonitoring data from the CDC, the average retail employee who comes into contact with receipts potentially hundreds of times a day, possessed 30% more BPA in their bodies than people who did not work in retail.  Some retailers (such as Target and Starbucks) have recently chosen to use BPA-free receipts. However, it is difficult for us to avoid receipts all-together or know indefinitely what retailers use BPA-free receipts. Therefore, what is to be done?  One way to avoid BPA is to simply use glass and ceramic in our homes and when heating food in microwaves. Another way is to buy and support companies who provide plastic products that are BPA-free. Also, when possible, choose fresh foods in lieu of canned ones."

 

"The American Academy of Pediatrics (AAP) …..revised clinical report (2008) states there are few indications for the use of soy protein-based formula in place of cow milk-based formula in infants. According to the AAP, the only real indications for soy formula use are for infants with congenital galactosemia, for use by families who are strict vegans, or infants who are truly lactose intolerant. For more information, read AAP's May 2008 statement Use of Soy Protein-Based Formulas in Infant Feeding (http://aappolicy.aappublications.org/cgi/reprint/pediatrics;121/5/1062.pdf) .

"There are a number of reasons the NTP (National Toxicology Program) panel is evaluating the safety of soy infant formula, including:

 

 

 

 

 

<<Move 1000-ft /hi-aut freeway study artcl to here?>>

 

Topographic map from http://www.sci.sdsu.edu/salton/SaltonTopographicL.jpg

 

Keywords:  causes of autism, considerations regarding breastfeeding, disadvantages of breastfeeding, environmental toxins, neuro-developmental toxins, dioxins in breast milk

 

Footnotes:

(a) In addition to the major increases in diagnosed cases of autism, far larger numbers of males born in the U.S. in recent decades apparently have a mental impairment other than autism, as reported to the Census Bureau.  (The Census Bureau’s question that provides this data asks, "Because of a physical, mental or emotional condition, does this person have serious difficulty concentrating, remembering, or making decisions?”)  The percentage of males said to have such mental difficulties who were born since the early 1990’s is twice as high as the percentage of females in the same age group (that is, 5.2% for male children nationwide, which includes many of those with autism); this in sharp contrast with the apparently gender-equal numbers that apply to those born in the half-century leading up to the mid-1970’s. Those born in the period between the mid-1970’s and the early 1990’s had an intermediate male-female disproportion of impairments.  This data is from U.S. Census Bureau Table B18104: SEX BY AGE BY COGNITIVE DISABILITY Universe: Civilian non-institutionalized population 5 years and over.  Data Set:  2008-2010 American Community Survey 3-Year Estimates (accessed Jan. 2012 at http://factfinder2.census.gov , using their search process)  The ratios quoted were arrived at by looking at the percentage reported for each sex in the various age groups. The even ratio of mental disability among people born up to the mid-1970's, becoming very uneven later, is compatible with various studies, as per the following statement about mental disabilities in the U.S.:  "Almost all studies report… especially among children less than 15 years of age… males have about a 1.5-fold greater prevalence….. Gender differences are not evident among adults." (Leonard et al. 2002; Gissler et al. 1999)." (emphasis added)  This quotation was taken from Maulik PK, Harbour CK, 2011:  Epidemiology of Intellectual Disability. In: JH Stone, M Blouin, editors. International Encyclopedia of Rehabilitation. Available online: http://cirrie.buffalo.edu/encyclopedia/en/article/144/ ) Note that the quoted ratio of 1.5 to 1 appears to be applied to the general population, not to children specifically; it was merely stated that the difference between the disability levels of the two sexes is especially large among children. To arrive at a general ratio of 1.5 to 1 when there is no gender difference in prevalence among most adults, the ratio among children has to be substantially more uneven than 1.5 to 1.

 

(b) This category increased greatly from about one in 1500 reported in the early1990's to about one in 88 as reported in 2012 for the U.S., during the same major period of mental disability increase that we are concerned with. Since over 1% of all infants currently being born will eventually be diagnosed with autism, and since the male-to-female ratio for autism is well over 4 to 1, the percentage of boys who are currently becoming autistic would be almost 2%.  Of that near-2%, less than half are considered to be retarded.  There are mental health professionals who say that the autism figures have risen solely because of changes in awareness of the disorder and substitution of diagnoses of ASD for diagnoses that in earlier years would have indicated other disabilities.  They often point to the similarity between current totals of mental disability figures of various kinds and what the totals were 20 years or so ago.  But such a focus on totals does not account for the major change that has taken place in the proportion of boys to girls among children with mental disabilities, which is best explained by rise of disabilities (such as autism) that affect the two sexes in greatly different proportions.

 

(c) "The Epidemiology of Autism Spectrum Disorders*, Craig J. Newschaffer,1 et al., Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Drexel University  Drexel E-Repository and Archive (iDEA)  http://idea.library.drexel.edu    ANRV305-PU28-21 ARI 22 December 2006 7:53.  Also  a CDC web page at www.cdc.gov/ncbddd/autism/data.html

(d) NIMH Director's blog at http://www.nimh.nih.gov/about/director/2009/nimhs-response-to-new-hrsa-autism-prevalence-estimate.shtml

 

(e) "On-Road Sampling of Diesel Engine Emissions of Polychlorinated Dibenzo-p-Dioxin and Polychlorinated Dibenzofuran," by Brian K. Gullett, Jeffrey V. Ryan, U.S. EPA, Air Pollution Prevention and Control Division (MD-65), National Risk Management Research Laboratory, Research Triangle Park, NC, article found at http://cfpub.epa.gov/ncea/cfm/recordisplay.cfm?deid=23969#Download

(f) EPA's Proposal to Designate an Emission Control Area for Nitrogen Oxides, Sulfur Oxides and Particulate Matter, Technical Support Document, Chapter 3:   Impacts of Shipping Emissions on Air Quality, Health and the Environment  At   http://www.epa.gov/otaq/regs/nonroad/marine/ci/420r09007-chap3.pdf , with the passage regarding marine diesel emissions found in Section 3.3.1.3 )

(g) From NIEHS/NIH website at http://www.niehs.nih.gov/health/topics/agents/endocrine/index.cfm)

(h) From http://www.niehs.nih.gov/health/docs/endocrine-disruptors-2010.pdf)

(i) Committee on Developmental Toxicology, Board on Environmental Studies and Toxicology, in  Scientific Frontiers in Developmental Toxicology and Risk Assessment (2000) , Commission on Life Sciences,  The National Academies Press, p. 56

(j) United States Office of Research May 25, 2001 Update, Environmental Protection and Development Agency, Dioxin: Scientific Highlights from Draft Reassessment (2000)

 

 

(k) ATDSR document on dioxins, section on environmental sources

(l) Judy L. Cameron, Dept. of Psychiatry, Neuroscience, and Cell Biology and Physiology, University of Pittsburgh, in "Effects of Sex Hormones on Brain Development," Chapter 5 of Handbook of Developmental Cognitive Neuroscience, MIT Press, 200, edited by Charles A. Nelson and Monica Luciana. Charles A. Nelson is Research Director, Developmental Medicine Center at Children's Hospital Boston, and Professor of Pediatrics and Richard David Scott Chair in Pediatric Developmental Medicine Research at Harvard Medical School; Monica Luciana is Associate Professor of Psychology and Child Development at the University of Minnesota.

(m) ”Steroid Hormones and Brain Development: Some Guidelines for Understanding Actions of Pseudohormones and Other Toxic Agents" by Bruce S. McEwen, Laboratory of Neuroendocrinology, Rockefeller University, New York, NY (published in Environmental Health Perspectives Vol. 74, pp. 177-184, 1987).  Research in the author's laboratory was supported by NIH Grant NS07080 and NIMH Grant MH41256. Institutional support from the Rockefeller Foundation for research in reproductive biology was also acknowledged.

(n) Stephen B. Klein and B. Michael Thorne in their Biological Psychology (2006), Worth Publishers, p. 390

(o) Sex matters in autism and other developmental disabilities, Thompson, Caruso and  Nellerbeck, Journal of Learning Disabilities  , Sage Publications, London,Thousand Oaks and New Delhi  p. 352, referring to COLLAER, M. L. & HINES, M.  ‘Human Behavioral Sex Differences: A Role for Gonadal Hormones during Early Development?’, Psychological Bulletin  

(p) Committee on Developmental Toxicology, listed above

(q) Sherry G. Selevan, Carole A. Kimmel and Pauline Mendola, National Center for Environmental Assessment, Office of Research and Development, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Washington, DC, USA)

(r) In "Epidemiologic Evidence of Relationships Between Reproductive and Child Health Outcomes and Environmental Chemical Contaminants", published in Journal of Toxicology and Environmental Health Part B, Volume 11, Issue 5 & 6 May 2008 , pages 373 – 517

(s) Winter JS, Hughes IA, Reyes FI, Faiman C, "Pituitary-gonadal Relations in Infancy", Clin Endocrinal Metab 1976, 42:679), (as reported in Principles and Practice of Endocrinology and Metabolism,  by Kenneth L. Becker  2001  (p. 914))

(t ) "Prevalence of Autism Spectrum Disorders --- Autism and Developmental Disabilities Monitoring Network, Six Sites, United States, 2000" and  "Prevalence of Autism Spectrum Disorders --- Autism and Developmental Disabilities Monitoring Network, United States, 2006", Corresponding author: Catherine Rice, PhD, National Center on Birth Defects and Developmental Disabilities, CDC, Atlanta, GA 30333,

(u) CDC web page at http://www.cdc.gov/ncbddd/autism/data.html

(v) Found at http://water.epa.gov/learn/training/dwatraining/upload/dwaNPDWR-risktoruletraining.pdf   p. 1-58

(w) "Particulate Matter (PM) Research Centers (1999–2005) and the Role of Interdisciplinary Center-Based Research", (Fanning et al.), p.4, found at http://www.epa.gov/ncer/science/pm/documents/11543.pdf

(x) Found a http://www.niehs.nih.gov/research/supported/centers/core/grantees/rochester/index.cfm  "Previous studies indicate that UFP (ultrafine particles) can translocate ...... to extrapulmonary organs …. within 4 to 24 hours post exposure. Additional studies were designed to determine whether translocation of inhaled UFP takes place to regions of the brain,   ...We demonstrated ..... increases in the striatum (a section of the brain), frontal cortex, and cerebellum. .....We conclude that the olfactory neuronal pathway is efficient for translocating inhaled UFPs to the central nervous system ....."

(y) in the EPA's Health Assessment Document for Diesel Engine Exhaust (2002), in the section that deals with bioavailability of organic constituents present on diesel exhaust particulates (specifically in sections 3.5.3 and 3.5.4)

(z)   "Residential Proximity to Freeways and Autism in the CHARGE Study" , Environmental Health Perspectives,

Published in 119(6) Jun 2011, Heather E. Volk, Irva Hertz-Picciotto et al.

(aa) EPA/600/8-90/057F, May 2002 "Health Assessment Document for Diesel Engine Exhaust", p. 1-1 and elsewhere.

(bb)"Deposition of Particles in Children's Lungs," Principal Investigator: Robert F. Phalen, Ph.D., University of California, Irvine  March 1985  ARB Contract No. A0-128-32

(cc) "Inhalation of Diesel Engine Exhaust Affects Spermatogenesis in Growing Male Rats," N Watanabe and Y Oonuki, Department of Environmental Health, Tokyo Metropolitan Research Laboratory of Public Health, Tokyo, Japan. nobuew@tokyo-eiken.go.jp.  Environmental Health Perspectives, Vol. 107, No. 7, accessed at http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC1566672/

 

(dd) Science, Vol. 266 Oct. 21, 1994,T.J. Nestrick and L.L. Lamparski, Anal. Chem.

(ee) http://www.dioxinfacts.org/sources_trends/forest_fires2.html .

(ff) Data found on the EPA website at http://www.epa.gov/cgi-bin/broker?_service=data&_debug=0&_program=dataprog.dw_do_all_emis_2005.sas&pol=231&stfips=06

(gg) EPA/600/P-03/002F, November 2006, "An Inventory of Sources and Environmental Releases of Dioxin-Like Compounds in the United States for the Years 1987, 1995, and 2000", section 1.2.1

 

(hh) Data found in the California state website at www.fire.ca.gov/communications/communications_factsheets.php , scrolling down to "Statistics"

(ii) News release for Santa Barbara County residents accessed at http://165.221.39.44/incident/article/1384/7470/

(jj) See www.wunderground.com for Santa Clara, wind history.

(kk) Data taken from the website of the California Air Resources Board, www.arb.ca.gov/adam/hourly/hourlydisplay.htm , showing hourly display of PM 2.5 for Alameda County/Livermore for this period.

 

(ll) as found at http://www.dds.ca.gov/Autism/docs/AutismReport_2007.pdf.  Hispanics constitute about 36% of California's population, but account for only 28% of those with autism.

(mm)  EPA/600/P-03/002F, November 2006:  "An Inventory of Sources and Environmental Releases of Dioxin-Like Compounds in the United States for the Years 1987, 1995, and 2000" , Section 2.4.1. Review of Laboratory-Scale Studies

(nn) This is mentioned in the EPA's web pages on dioxins as well as the following:  Chlorinated Organic Compounds in the Environment (CRC-Press, 1997), by Sub Ramamoorthy and Sita Ramamoorthy (p. 275).  One experiment (McCrady and Maggard, 1993) found that the half-life of dioxins (sorbed on the surface of grass) subject to photodegradation was a mere 44 hours.  (There is evidence that UV's are not the specific wavelengths within sunlight's spectrum that are responsible for the photodegradation, but that doesn't detract from the finding that sunlight causes degradation.)  Dioxins suspended in the atmosphere are also subject to photodegradation. (34,  pp. 11-24 and 9-12,13)  One study found the atmospheric lifetimes of dioxins to be as little as an estimated one half day, with TCDD (the most toxic of the various dioxin forms) having a lifetime of 0.8–2 days (Atkinson 1991).  (7b, Section 5.3.2.1)

(oo) http://zebu.uoregon.edu/text/ozone,  section 2.1

 

(pp) Data Accountability Center (DAC), providing data about children and youth with disabilities served under the Individuals with Disabilities Education Act (IDEA) - funded by the Office of Special Education Programs (OSEP), U.S. Department of Education.  Data accessed at https://www.ideadata.org/DACAnalyticTool/Intro_2.asp .  Data were not available for Vermont and Montana.  California was excluded from this map's data partly because it doesn't fit into a single latitude group and partly because its pollution levels are extremely atypical – see Figure 12.

(qq)  "Secular, medical trends fuel perceived autism 'epidemic” in Clinical Psychiatry News, May, 2002 by Sherry Boschert , reporting on presentation by Bryna S. Siegel, Ph.D., providing figures for 1987-1994.  Also "The changing prevalence of autism in California" by Croen, Grether and Hoogstrate in J. Autism Dev Disord, 2002 June;32(3): 207-15.  Also  Shattuck, Paul T. The Contribution of Diagnostic Substitution to the Growing Administrative Presence of Autism in US Special Education. PEDIATRICS Vol. 117 No. 4 April 2006, pp. 1028-1037, looking at the period 1994-2003 for the U.S. as a whole.  Also  in a publication of the California Dept. of Developmental Services , "The Epidemiology of Autism in California", p. 13, found at http://www.dds.ca.gov/Autism/docs/2background.pdf  

(rr) found at http://www.epa.gov/mercury/effects.htm

(ss) EPA-452/R-97-003  December 1997 Mercury Study Report to Congress Volume I

(tt) EPA-452/R-97-006, December 1997   MERCURY STUDY REPORT TO CONGRESS VOLUME IV

(uu) "The Epidemiologyof Autism Spectrum Disorders*, Craig J. Newschaffer,1 et al., Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Drexel University  Drexel E-Repository and Archive (iDEA)  http://idea.library.drexel.edu    ANRV305-PU28-21 ARI 22 December 2006 7:53

(vv) EPA-452/R-97-003  December 1997 Mercury Study Report to Congress Volume I: p. 19

 

(ww)  ”Research findings on particulate air pollution from the Southern California Particle Center",  John R. Froines, Ph.D., Director,  presented at EPA webinar Dec 8, 2010, found at http://www.epa.gov/airscience/seminars/SCPCwebinar8Dec10.pdf

 

(xx) "Secular, medical trends fuel perceived autism 'epidemic” in Clinical Psychiatry News, May, 2002 by Sherry Boschert , reporting on presentation by Bryna S. Siegel, Ph.D., providing figures for 1987-1994.  Also "The changing prevalence of autism in California" by Croen, Grether and Hoogstrate in J. Autism Dev Disord, 2002 June;32(3): 207-15.  Also  Shattuck, Paul T. The Contribution of Diagnostic Substitution to the Growing Administrative Presence of Autism in US Special Education. PEDIATRICS Vol. 117 No. 4 April 2006, pp. 1028-1037, looking at the period 1994-2003 for the U.S. as a whole.  Also  in a publication of the California Dept. of Developmental Services , "The Epidemiology of Autism in California" ,  p. 13, found at http://www.dds.ca.gov/Autism/docs/2background.pdf  

(yy) EPA-452/R-97-006, December 1997  Report to Congress, Office of Air Quality Planning & Standards and Office of Research and Development  "MERCURY STUDY REPORT TO CONGRESS VOLUME IV:  AN ASSESSMENT OF EXPOSURE TO MERCURY IN THE UNITED STATES" 2.5

(zz) EPA-452/R-97-003  December 1997 Mercury Study Report to Congress Volume I: p. 19

(aa1) EPA-452/R-97-004  December 1997  Mercury Study Report to Congress Vol. 2   Office of Air Quality Planning & Standards and Office of Research and Development

(aa2)  EPA's Proposal to Designate an Emission Control Area for Nitrogen Oxides, Sulfur Oxides and Particulate Matter,

Technical Support Document  Chapter 3:   Impacts of Shipping Emissions on Air Quality, Health and the Environment 

At   http://www.epa.gov/otaq/regs/nonroad/marine/ci/420r09007-chap3.pdf

(aa3) 3.1.1.4 of same proposal

 

(aa4) found at  http://www.ccohs.ca/oshanswers/chemicals/chem_profiles/ozone/health_ozo.html

 

(aa5) http://www.epa.gov/agingepa/resources/factsheets/lowlit_ehwhh_english_2005_12_.pdf

(aa6)  ”Research findings on particulate air pollution from the Southern California Particle Center",  John R. Froines, Ph.D., Director,  presented at EPA webinar Dec 8, 2010, found at http://www.epa.gov/airscience/seminars/SCPCwebinar8Dec10.pdf

 

 

(aa7) EPA-452/R-97-005 December 1997  Mercury Study Report to Congress c7o032-1-1 Office of Air Quality Planning & Standards and Office of Research and Development Volume III:  Fate and Transport of Mercury in the Environment, p. 2-9

 

(aa8) "Technical Information for California Health Officials,"  May 2003, California Department of Health Services, Environmental Health Investigations Branch, p. 6

 

(aa9):  http://www.ers.usda.gov/statefacts/ia.htm

 

(aa10) <<reference needs to be inserted here,  from EPA doc? re dioxins forming from HCl present)>> Various experiments have found a very direct correlation between the concentration of HCl present and the amount of dioxins produced during combustion.  In one experiment (Eklund et al., 1988), the production of chlorinated compounds (which include dioxins) was shown to drop to zero when the concentration of HCl was below a certain level.(p. 2-22)   And in some experiments it was found that, for a given percentage increase  in HCl fed into the combustion, the increase in dioxins produced was disproportionately higher than the increase in HCl.  p. 2-26). 

 

 

(aa11) “Proposal of Emission Control Area Designation for Geographic Control of Emissions from Ships”, EPA-420-F-09-015, March 2009; the complete, lengthy document can be read online at http://www.epa.gov/nonroad/marine/ci/420f09015.htm .  Quoting from <<Annex  __ of?>> that EPA document, "4.2.1, The United States Human Health Impacts," (paragraph 1): " The United States government estimates that emissions from ships operating in the proposed ECA are responsible (every year) for up to 11,500 premature mortalities…." in the U.S.

 

(aa12) The Pollution Control Agency of Minnesota has a web page on ”Health Effects of Wood Smoke" in which they link readers to publications of other authorities, including other states.  Of the seven links to publications of other states, a full three were to publications just from Washington.

(aa13)  ScienceDaily (Oct. 4, 2010)

(aa14)  EPA-452/R-97-003, December 1997  Mercury Study Report to Congress Volume I: Executive Summary, p. 0-1

(aa15)  http://www.cpbis.gatech.edu/data/mills-online?state=New+York  and U.S. Census 2010

(aa16)  EPA report: "Lake Superior Lakewide Management Plan", Stage 3 Report, 5.3.1.2: Sources

 

(aa17)  "Smoke Gets in Your Lungs", New York Environmental Protection Bureau, October 2005

 

(aa18)   http://www.apawood.org/level_b.cfm?content=srv_med_new_bkgd_ply100

(aa19) http://www.ecy.wa.gov/programs/air/indoor_woodsmoke/wood_smoke_page.htm

(aa20) EPA-452/R-97-005 December 1997 Mercury Study Report to Congress c7o032-1-1  Office of Air Quality Planning & Standards and Office of Research and Development Volume III: Fate and Transport of Mercury in the Environment, p. 2-9

(aa21) In "Tracing the Origins of Autism: A Spectrum of New Studies" by Michael Szpir, at http://ehp03.niehs.nih.gov/article/fetchArticle.action?articleURI=info:doi/10.1289/ehp.114-a412,linked to by NIEHS site, referring to the Childhood Autism Risks from Genetics and the Environment(CHARGE)study, quoting Hertz-Picciotto, the principal investigator of the study.   Also EUROPEAN COMMISSION HEALTH & CONSUMER PROTECTION DIRECTORATE-GENERAL Directorate C - Public Health and Risk Assessment C2 - Health information, Some elements about the prevalence of Autism Spectrum Disorders (ASD)in the European Union 2005, p. 3.

 

(aa22)  EPA's 2002 Health Assessment Document for Diesel Engine Exhaust, Section 4.4

(aa23) Potential developmental neurotoxicity of pesticides used in Europe   Bjørling-Poulsen et al;  Environ Health. 2008; 7: 50.Published online 2008 October 22

 

(aa23) (REPRINTED) ARCH PEDIATR ADOLESC MED/VOL 162 (NO. 11), NOV 2008  WWW.ARCHPEDIATRICS.COM  1032  ©2008 American Medical Association. All rights reserved.  Accessed at http://archpedi.ama-assn.org/cgi/reprint/162/11/1026.pdf

 

 

<<The male-to-female ratio of mental impairment among people born in the U.S. during the last two decades has become two-to-one, which appears to be a recent development.  It contrasts sharply with the even ratio that apparently prevailed among those born in the half-century leading up to the mid-1970's.  (Data drawn from U.S. Census Bureau website, which based data on questions concerning residents' possible "serious difficulty concentrating, remembering, or making decisions"; see endnote (1).)   One side of this transition is a major decline in the mental impairment rate among 5-to-17-year-old girls, with the rate dropping to only 2.6% of those born since the early 1990's; this compares with the 4.6% rate that represents the generations born in the three decades leading up to the mid-'70's.  The rest of the change has come from an increase in the rate of reported mental impairment among 5-to-17-year-old boys, climbing to an average rate of 5.2%.  Census Bureau data indicate serious mental difficulties for about one out of eleven boys in Maine and about one out of twelve in Rhode Island, even without considering the probably greater prevalence of impairment among those born more recently.

As background to the major changes that have apparently taken place in mental impairment rates, it should be pointed out that there was an approximately 90% decline that took place in environmental lead over recent decades, beginning in the 1970's, and also major declines in releases from major sources of dioxins and PCBs.   These substances are known to be neurological toxins, affecting infants and/or fetuses especially.  So a decline in mental problems should have been expected, and in fact there was a major decline among females.  What should be demanding our close attention is the large increase in mental disability among males that took place during that same period, when there were excellent reasons to expect instead a large decline.

Special attention should also be paid to the apparent major decline in mental impairment that has taken place among female children. This is a recent development, one which this author has found to be referred to almost nowhere outside the bare statistics in the many data tables in the website of the U.S. Census Bureau.  As indicated above, the decline in female mental impairment coincides with major declines in certain known developmental toxins in the environment, and a causal relationship is very likely. This appears to be a tremendous success story for the regulatory efforts that resulted in those declines, a result from which we should learn as much as possible, so that we can best achieve even greater benefits from further, similar efforts, as follows:

 

Some lessons to be learned:  (a) successful past regulatory efforts should be extended and increased whenever possible, including by removing the exemption that still allows aviation fuel to contain lead; (b) regulators should recognize that motivating the public is important, therefore they should not allow political correctness to prevent them from using terms that convey the true seriousness of the consequences of exposure to toxins (such as by using "developmental delay" to describe what is normally a permanent, life-impairing condition caused by exposure to certain toxins); and (c) it should be recognized how very powerfully certain common environmental toxins are related to neurological development; some valuable insights for future action should be achievable by studying major changes that have taken place in rates of male and female mental impairment together with rises and falls in exposures to specific neuro-developmental toxins that are judged to affect one gender more than the other.

 

Some influential people believe that environmental pollutants are not causing mental impairment in a substantial way, and their influence is helping prevent action and funding for additional research that could have considerable benefit in preventing future mental impairments.  If anybody is heard alleging that mental impairment (including autism) is not closely associated with environmental toxins, that person should be asked to provide a possible explanation as to why, in recent decades, mental impairment among recently-born females has declined so substantially while mental impairment among males has increased substantially (as indicated by Census Bureau data).  Heredity could not possibly account for such rapid changes. 

 

 "Prevailing winds":  This term should be defined here, since it will be used at various places later in this paper, and since it is subject to misinterpretation.  It is the direction in which winds in a particular area tend to blow more often than in any other direction, and it is typically measured during a span of daytime hours, such as 7 AM to 7 PM, when wind speeds are normally higher than at night.  But winds might be blowing in the prevailing direction less than 30% of the time overall and still is considered to be "prevailing."  If emissions are produced in the evening or at night, they are likely to fall closer to the source and travel in a direction that's different from that of the usual daytime winds. The prevailing winds in most of the U.S., beginning somewhere north of the 30th parallel of latitude, blow toward the northeast; the 30th parallel crosses the southern U.S. approximately at the Gulf Coast of Mississippi.  The "prevailing winds" on the West Coast are onshore, but that applies mainly during daytime hours, and there are many exceptions to that direction even during the day.

 

Boys are four times as likely to be diagnosed with attention deficit hyperactivity disorder as a girl, which doesn’t bode well for their progressing in school work and becoming self-sustaining, tax-paying, productive members of society.  A study of public schools in Fairfax County, Va., found that more than 20% of upper-middle-class white boys were taking Ritalin-like drugs by fifth grade. (Business Week, May 26, 2003)

 

 

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